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Cantu vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-71
21-21 12-14 21-18 19-18
Position#14
Record10-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.0
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#7
Record13-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game77.0
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Cantu v Pistoia
06 Jun 2023
KAN67
PIS75
29 May 2023
KAN82
PIS68
27 May 2023
KAN74
PIS73
23 Apr 2023
KAN68
PIS70
16 Mar 2022
KAN75
PIS59
15 Mar 2020
KAN v PIS
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
KAN100
PIS79
11 Mar 2018
KAN106
PIS85
15 Apr 2017
KAN73
PIS71
29 Feb 2016
KAN82
PIS74
07 Dec 2014
KAN76
PIS80
13 Oct 2013
KAN87
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
115avg 105
H29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
96avg 105
A05/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
90avg 105
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
98avg 105
H26/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
98-83
98
83
+15
134avg 105
H06/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
110avg 105
A12/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
108avg 105
H19/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
99avg 105
A26/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
95avg 105
H02/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
110avg 105
A09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
19-12
15-18
26-22
15-22
26-12
15-23
17-21
14-21
23-12
17-24
11-23
11-23
12-25
24-12
26-19
26-24
21-24
26-14
25-21
21-10
12-19
24-28
28-22
24-26
19-14
21-22
19-15
11-25
21-23
19-19
25-20
24-26
20-20
14-23
14-16
13-29
25-12
20-24
28-27
159.7Avg total
79.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.282.0160.2-3.838%
Season at home (13)80.879.0159.8+1.854%
Season away (13)75.585.0160.5-9.523%
Last 10 (10)79.280.5159.7-1.340%
Last 5 (5)80.484.0164.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.884.2165.9-2.438%
vs Similar (16)76.480.8157.2-4.338%
vs Weaker (1)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
L
85-86
85
86
-1
113avg 103
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
67-59
67
59
+8
92avg 103
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
77-64
77
64
+13
113avg 103
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
96avg 103
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
104avg 103
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
71-78
71
78
-7
97avg 103
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
91-99
91
99
-8
no box
A18/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
85-74
85
74
+11
117avg 103
H26/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
no box
A02/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
75-59
75
59
+16
106avg 103
H09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
25-14
19-26
21-23
14-22
13-13
16-6
24-18
29-22
11-18
18-11
19-13
11-15
14-20
22-21
23-19
12-21
30-19
10-18
23-23
17-19
24-17
17-28
13-14
21-30
22-31
31-16
17-22
22-20
20-20
18-13
25-21
13-20
19-23
18-9
28-26
14-17
25-15
18-13
18-14
155.7Avg total
79.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.777.0153.7-0.350%
Season at home (13)80.470.5150.8+9.985%
Season away (13)73.083.6156.6-10.615%
Last 10 (10)79.176.6155.7+2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.480.2163.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.989.0169.9-8.129%
vs Similar (21)75.074.4149.4+0.748%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.572.0148.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
CantuPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A12/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/04
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/04
Lega A
77.0Avg total
37.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.580.2-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.881.7+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.278.8-1.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.277.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.878.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.741.883.5-0.162%-
vs Similar (16)37.940.778.6-2.844%-
vs Weaker (1)43.021.064.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A29/01
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H05/02
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A27/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A04/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A18/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H26/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/04
Lega A
77.5Avg total
37.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.639.275.8-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.936.974.7+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.641.276.8-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.977.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.647.787.3-8.129%-
vs Similar (21)36.236.973.1-0.748%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
51.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.7
38.0%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
74.0%12.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.2
47.7%
51.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.4
33.2%
35.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws14.010.6
75.7%
74.0%10.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLLWWWLLLW
Pistoia
WWWLLLLWWL
#14
League position
#7
-1.5
Net rating
+3.2
107.4
Offensive rating
98.8
108.8
Defensive rating
95.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
48.4%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.0%
3-point %
33.2%
54.4%
Assist %
62.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 98.8Defence108.8 · 95.6Shooting51.3% · 48.4%3-point %38.0% · 33.2%Ball care15.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 26.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cantu   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cantu wins
5
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
19/12/16Pistoia v Cantu94-87 OT
29/02/16Cantu v Pistoia82-74
08/11/15Pistoia v Cantu95-89
30/03/15Pistoia v Cantu88-87 OT
07/12/14Cantu v Pistoia76-80 OT
19/01/14Pistoia v Cantu82-77 OT
13/10/13Cantu v Pistoia87-77
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17AAvellino86-92
02/04/17HVarese72-85
26/03/17ATorino76-87
19/03/17HBrindisi83-77
12/03/17ACaserta85-79
06/03/17HReggiana98-83
26/02/17HCapo d'Orlando73-79
12/02/17ASassari65-80
05/02/17APesaro73-78
29/01/17HBrescia81-65
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17HCapo d'Orlando75-59
02/04/17ATorino95-91 OT
26/03/17HOlimpia Milano85-74
18/03/17ATrento91-99
12/03/17HVenezia71-78
04/03/17ASassari75-81
27/02/17AVarese70-75
13/02/17HCaserta77-64
05/02/17HAvellino67-59
29/01/17ABrindisi85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLLWLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %38%54%23%
Points / game78.280.875.5
Allowed / game82.079.085.0
Point differential-3.8+1.8-9.5
Avg total160.2159.8160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%85%15%
Points / game76.780.473.0
Allowed / game77.070.583.6
Point differential-0.3+9.9-10.6
Avg total153.7150.8156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.879.4+6.4
2 Venezia2617965%80.877.7+3.1
3 Avellino26161062%79.976.4+3.5
4 Trento26151158%77.173.3+3.8
5 Sassari26151158%76.373.4+2.9
6 Reggiana26151158%81.580.6+1.0
7 Capo d'Orlando26141254%76.476.5-0.2
8 Pistoia26131350%76.777.0-0.3
9 Brindisi27131448%83.782.1+1.6
10 Brescia26121446%79.480.6-1.2
11 Torino26121446%81.584.7-3.2
12 Varese26111542%77.079.7-2.7
13 Caserta26101638%78.281.4-3.2
14 Cantu26101638%78.282.0-3.8
15 Pesaro2681831%74.780.3-5.7
16 Cremona2671927%77.880.0-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2112211973
Pistoia2114181871
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