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Avellino vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-81
32-20 26-26 22-19 18-16
Position#9
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Cantu
06 Oct 2018
AVE98
KAN81
28 Oct 2017
AVE86
KAN71
09 Apr 2017
AVE92
KAN86
06 Mar 2016
AVE81
KAN77
01 Feb 2015
AVE76
KAN79
23 Feb 2014
AVE59
KAN77
03 Mar 2013
AVE20
KAN0
04 Mar 2012
AVE63
KAN72
20 Nov 2010
AVE71
KAN75
24 Apr 2010
AVE76
KAN85
08 Feb 2009
AVE61
KAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
no box
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
97avg 118
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
97avg 118
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
113avg 118
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
106avg 118
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
80-59
80
59
+21
118avg 118
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
99avg 118
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
87avg 118
A19/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
25-13
15-15
12-20
25-25
15-23
15-15
14-14
13-25
17-9
16-29
21-17
13-15
19-26
29-22
18-18
18-15
15-13
13-13
24-23
19-19
17-18
18-20
24-17
17-18
21-17
20-13
19-31
24-15
20-18
16-10
20-16
21-17
20-20
17-19
22-32
20-21
17-21
19-24
12-18
150.4Avg total
74.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.575.9150.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)76.676.8153.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.177.9154.0-1.832%
vs Weaker (10)86.572.1158.6+14.480%
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
116avg 114
H29/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
70-71
70
71
-1
97avg 114
A06/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
98-85
98
85
+13
128avg 114
H09/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-105
73
105
-32
no box
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
98avg 114
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-74
65
74
-9
92avg 114
H16/05
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#48
W
69-68
69
68
+1
no box
H20/09
Champions League
Szolnoki Olaj
#48
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
A22/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
76-84
76
84
-8
no box
H25/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
94-100
94
100
-6
no box
A30/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-20
24-17
21-17
20-15
24-16
8-16
18-24
23-28
27-22
20-17
28-18
18-33
21-22
19-29
15-21
17-24
22-30
16-14
20-19
14-15
13-28
18-12
20-19
17-18
17-14
19-13
16-23
20-18
31-21
17-13
22-19
22-13
18-29
15-19
21-23
23-26
22-20
21-27
28-27
162.4Avg total
80.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.082.4162.4-2.440%
Last 5 (5)78.879.4158.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.292.0172.2-11.822%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.088.6176.6-0.646%
vs Weaker (7)87.774.7162.4+13.086%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.1-0.1
AvellinoCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/05
Lega A
74.0Avg total
37.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.575.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.177.6+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)37.836.073.8+1.864%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.874.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.236.573.7+0.758%-
vs Weaker (10)46.234.180.3+12.190%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H29/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/05
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H09/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A12/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H16/05
Lega A
Szolnoki Olaj
#48
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H20/09
Champions League
Szolnoki Olaj
#48
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A22/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H25/09
Champions League
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/09
Champions League
85.1Avg total
41.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.885.9+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.441.583.9+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)43.844.187.9-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.785.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.147.186.2-8.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.344.888.2-1.523%-
vs Weaker (7)45.934.180.0+11.7100%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.1
57.6%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.9
38.0%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.810.9
73.6%
72.3%10.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.9
52.9%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
35.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.314.4
67.6%
72.3%14.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLWLWWLLLW
Cantu
LLWWLLLWLW
#9
League position
#8
+4.2
Net rating
-4.7
106.9
Offensive rating
105.4
102.6
Defensive rating
110.1
57.3%
Effective FG%
50.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
22.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.0%
3-point %
30.4%
64.3%
Assist %
47.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 105.4Defence102.6 · 110.1Shooting57.3% · 50.4%3-point %38.0% · 30.4%Ball care22.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Avellino wins
7
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
04/03/18Cantu v Avellino83-82
28/10/17Avellino v Cantu86-71
09/04/17Avellino v Cantu92-86
12/12/16Cantu v Avellino75-74
06/03/16Avellino v Cantu81-77
15/11/15Cantu v Avellino84-82
01/02/15Avellino v Cantu76-79
19/10/14Cantu v Avellino74-65
23/02/14Avellino v Cantu59-77
10/11/13Cantu v Avellino74-67
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/18ATrento68-84
17/05/18ATrento80-88
15/05/18HTrento80-59
13/05/18HTrento77-79
09/05/18HTrento78-74
06/05/18AVirtus Bologna70-64
02/05/18AVenezia79-81
29/04/18HSassari67-80
25/04/18HVenezia69-77
22/04/18ACapo d'Orlando77-73 OT
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/18AAntwerp Giants94-100
25/09/18HAntwerp Giants76-84
22/09/18ASzolnoki Olaj90-71
20/09/18HSzolnoki Olaj69-68
16/05/18HOlimpia Milano65-74
14/05/18AOlimpia Milano75-87
12/05/18AOlimpia Milano73-105
09/05/18HBrindisi98-85
06/05/18ACapo d'Orlando70-71
29/04/18HReggiana90-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cantu
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino3226221898
Cantu2026191681
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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