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Pistoia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 71-86
19-14 10-26 20-26 22-20
Position#13
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game73.7
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pistoia v Avellino
12 May 2019
PIS73
AVE88
22 Oct 2017
PIS71
AVE86
05 Feb 2017
PIS67
AVE59
11 May 2016
PIS90
AVE92
25 Oct 2015
PIS76
AVE70
21 Dec 2014
PIS61
AVE68
20 Oct 2013
PIS75
AVE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
119avg 103
H23/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
93avg 103
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
119avg 103
H07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
97avg 103
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
68-72
68
72
-4
99avg 103
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
89-75
89
75
+14
121avg 103
H17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
73-57
73
57
+16
102avg 103
A05/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
77-92
77
92
-15
104avg 103
A15/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
22-17
22-19
23-25
14-21
23-25
20-15
11-16
22-17
23-18
17-10
24-17
18-22
12-17
22-24
19-21
28-22
4-14
19-17
17-19
22-24
19-10
19-19
29-22
23-28
24-23
19-25
13-16
27-14
10-17
24-13
12-13
26-16
20-18
21-15
16-28
18-31
22-16
20-25
17-20
155.2Avg total
78.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.775.3153.0+2.367%
Season at home (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)75.074.5149.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.177.1155.2+1.050%
Last 5 (5)80.278.6158.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.489.4170.8-8.040%
vs Similar (20)77.075.5152.6+1.550%
vs Weaker (5)76.871.4148.2+5.480%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
99avg 107
A28/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
96-83
96
83
+13
128avg 107
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
73-75
73
75
-2
101avg 107
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A03/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
110avg 107
H05/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
66-62
66
62
+4
89avg 107
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-96
75
96
-21
102avg 107
A08/10
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A11/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
72-63
72
63
+9
100avg 107
H14/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
20-14
12-25
30-22
20-22
23-21
30-22
23-18
17-22
13-18
22-16
21-19
22-19
6-23
22-18
16-18
24-21
19-31
13-18
27-14
18-22
14-8
23-16
11-16
26-20
18-29
20-21
11-26
23-31
24-17
27-16
12-16
23-18
15-19
17-14
17-12
19-19
11-19
18-19
33-32
157.3Avg total
77.5Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.073.7144.7-2.767%
Season at home (2)69.062.5131.5+6.5100%
Season away (1)75.096.0171.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)77.579.8157.3-2.340%
Last 5 (5)76.078.0154.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)78.079.2157.2-1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.372.0147.3+3.364%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
PistoiaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H23/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H07/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A15/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H17/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H19/05
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/10
Lega A
78.9Avg total
39.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.976.4-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.637.577.1+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.540.275.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.278.9+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.481.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.647.286.8-7.620%-
vs Similar (20)37.638.075.7-0.445%-
vs Weaker (5)35.233.869.0+1.480%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A28/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/06
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H05/06
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/10
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A11/10
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H14/10
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/10
Champions League
79.0Avg total
37.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.675.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.837.675.4+0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)35.939.675.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.079.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)36.540.276.7-3.728%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.436.073.4+1.473%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.222.2
49.1%
51.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.9
34.3%
34.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.5
77.2%
73.0%12.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.3
56.5%
51.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.2
39.1%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
73.0%12.2
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWWLWLLWLW
Avellino
LWWLWLLLWL
#13
League position
#4
+0.9
Net rating
-1.5
99.9
Offensive rating
106.6
99.0
Defensive rating
108.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
57.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
20.1%
Turnover %
22.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.3%
3-point %
39.1%
58.4%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 106.6Defence99.0 · 108.2Shooting49.8% · 57.4%3-point %34.3% · 39.1%Ball care20.1% · 22.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pistoia wins
8
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
05/02/17Pistoia v Avellino67-59
15/10/16Avellino v Pistoia83-67
11/05/16Pistoia v Avellino90-92 OT
09/05/16Avellino v Pistoia83-70
07/05/16Avellino v Pistoia93-76
07/02/16Avellino v Pistoia84-76
25/10/15Pistoia v Avellino76-70
13/04/15Avellino v Pistoia73-69
21/12/14Pistoia v Avellino61-68
26/01/14Avellino v Pistoia75-70
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/17ACremona77-92
09/10/17HBrindisi83-77
05/10/17ACapo d'Orlando73-57
19/05/17HVenezia79-92
17/05/17HVenezia89-75
15/05/17AVenezia68-72
13/05/17AVenezia71-84
07/05/17HBrescia86-62
30/04/17AReggiana68-77
23/04/17HPesaro87-83
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/17ANanterre81-89
14/10/17HTorino72-63
11/10/17ABesiktas86-80
08/10/17ABrescia75-96
02/10/17HReggiana66-62
05/06/17HVenezia83-84
03/06/17AVenezia66-78
01/06/17HVenezia73-75
30/05/17HVenezia96-83
28/05/17AVenezia77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game77.783.075.0
Allowed / game75.377.074.5
Point differential+2.3+6.0+0.5
Avg total153.0160.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game71.069.075.0
Allowed / game73.762.596.0
Point differential-2.7+6.5-21.0
Avg total144.7131.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia330100%78.367.0+11.3
2 Venezia440100%82.073.8+8.2
3 Olimpia Milano330100%72.765.0+7.7
4 Virtus Bologna32167%81.068.3+12.7
5 Sassari32167%87.781.3+6.3
6 Pistoia32167%77.775.3+2.3
7 Torino32167%77.377.0+0.3
8 Avellino32167%71.073.7-2.7
9 Varese31233%76.772.7+4.0
10 Pesaro31233%82.383.0-0.7
11 Trento31233%70.773.0-2.3
12 Cantu31233%80.389.7-9.3
13 Cremona41325%78.285.5-7.2
14 Brindisi3030%72.777.3-4.7
15 Reggiana3030%74.781.7-7.0
16 Capo d'Orlando3030%57.076.3-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1910202271
Avellino1426262086
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