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Avellino vs Cantu Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 92-86
29-13 12-25 24-20 27-28
Position#3
Record15-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#14
Record10-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Cantu
06 Oct 2018
AVE98
KAN81
28 Oct 2017
AVE86
KAN71
09 Apr 2017
AVE92
KAN86
06 Mar 2016
AVE81
KAN77
01 Feb 2015
AVE76
KAN79
23 Feb 2014
AVE59
KAN77
03 Mar 2013
AVE20
KAN0
04 Mar 2012
AVE63
KAN72
20 Nov 2010
AVE71
KAN75
24 Apr 2010
AVE76
KAN85
08 Feb 2009
AVE61
KAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cantu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
25-15
17-11
21-15
22-13
16-26
16-17
14-13
20-24
27-21
21-25
19-21
18-12
12-10
15-18
4-13
28-24
21-16
11-23
15-19
14-21
13-19
22-16
19-16
20-15
21-21
13-20
24-22
26-15
14-21
19-18
18-11
5-24
21-17
27-23
21-30
17-24
19-21
21-14
18-19
149.7Avg total
74.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.476.0155.4+3.460%
Season at home (12)81.773.2154.9+8.475%
Season away (13)77.378.6155.9-1.346%
Last 10 (10)74.275.5149.7-1.330%
Last 5 (5)76.879.6156.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar (11)74.574.2148.7+0.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.770.6147.2+6.156%
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A05/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H26/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H06/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A12/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H19/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A26/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H02/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
15-27
13-27
21-23
21-13
19-12
15-18
26-22
15-22
26-12
15-23
17-21
14-21
23-12
17-24
11-23
11-23
12-25
24-12
26-19
26-24
21-24
26-14
25-21
21-10
12-19
24-28
28-22
24-26
19-14
21-22
19-15
11-25
21-23
19-19
25-20
24-26
20-20
14-23
14-16
158.4Avg total
77.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.881.6159.4-3.840%
Season at home (13)80.879.0159.8+1.854%
Season away (12)74.684.4159.0-9.825%
Last 10 (10)77.880.6158.4-2.840%
Last 5 (5)82.882.2165.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.483.5164.9-2.142%
vs Similar (17)76.981.6158.5-4.635%
vs Weaker (1)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
AvellinoCantu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Lega A
75.5Avg total
37.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.573.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.134.972.9+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)36.138.174.2-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.075.5-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.673.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (11)35.035.870.8-0.855%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.836.275.1+2.656%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H29/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/02
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/02
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A12/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/03
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H02/04
Lega A
77.2Avg total
37.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.580.0-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.881.7+0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.278.3-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.477.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.041.883.8+0.267%-
vs Similar (17)37.540.778.2-3.241%-
vs Weaker (1)43.021.064.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.6
49.7%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.4
38.1%
35.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws14.910.5
70.5%
74.0%10.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.0
48.0%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.1
37.0%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.310.9
76.2%
74.0%10.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLWWLLLLLW
Cantu
LLWWWLLLWL
#3
League position
#14
-1.1
Net rating
-3.7
101.9
Offensive rating
104.6
103.0
Defensive rating
108.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
20.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.1%
3-point %
37.0%
58.2%
Assist %
54.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 104.6Defence103.0 · 108.4Shooting52.7% · 50.8%3-point %38.1% · 37.0%Ball care20.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Cantu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Avellino wins
8
Cantu wins
DateGameScore
12/12/16Cantu v Avellino75-74
06/03/16Avellino v Cantu81-77
15/11/15Cantu v Avellino84-82
01/02/15Avellino v Cantu76-79
19/10/14Cantu v Avellino74-65
23/02/14Avellino v Cantu59-77
10/11/13Cantu v Avellino74-67
03/03/13Avellino v Cantu20-0
04/11/12Cantu v Avellino79-67
04/03/12Avellino v Cantu63-72
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/17AVenezia75-78
26/03/17ABrindisi74-94
18/03/17HSassari77-65
12/03/17AReggiana90-89 OT
08/03/17HVenezia68-72
05/03/17HVarese75-82
01/03/17AVenezia49-53
26/02/17ABrescia87-91
17/02/17HSassari68-69
12/02/17HPesaro79-62
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/17HVarese72-85
26/03/17ATorino76-87
19/03/17HBrindisi83-77
12/03/17ACaserta85-79
06/03/17HReggiana98-83
26/02/17HCapo d'Orlando73-79
12/02/17ASassari65-80
05/02/17APesaro73-78
29/01/17HBrescia81-65
22/01/17AVenezia72-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%75%46%
Points / game79.481.777.3
Allowed / game76.073.278.6
Point differential+3.4+8.4-1.3
Avg total155.4154.9155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%58%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Cantu
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWLWWL54%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%54%25%
Points / game77.880.874.6
Allowed / game81.679.084.4
Point differential-3.8+1.8-9.8
Avg total159.4159.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2621581%86.579.8+6.7
2 Venezia2617965%80.877.7+3.1
3 Avellino25151060%79.476.0+3.4
4 Trento26151158%77.173.3+3.8
5 Sassari26151158%76.373.4+2.9
6 Reggiana25141156%81.981.1+0.8
7 Capo d'Orlando25141156%77.176.6+0.5
8 Brindisi25121348%83.982.2+1.7
9 Pistoia25121348%76.877.8-1.0
10 Torino25121348%81.784.7-3.0
11 Brescia25111444%79.180.6-1.5
12 Varese25111444%77.379.9-2.6
13 Cantu25101540%77.881.6-3.8
14 Caserta2591636%78.081.6-3.6
15 Cremona2571828%77.779.8-2.0
16 Pesaro2571828%73.979.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2912242792
Cantu1325202886
← all games of the day
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