Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2009

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 85-58

16-11 21-15 18-19 30-13

Position#10

Record7-7

FormWWLLW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game76.4

Avellino 🏆

Caserta

Position#14

Record6-8

FormWWLLW

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game78.4

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Avellino v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

77-85

-8

H07/12

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

72-86

-14

H11/12

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

82-71

+11

A14/12

Lega A

Unicaja

68-72

-4

A18/12

Euroleague

Udine

#16

85-89

-4

H21/12

Lega A

Teramo

91-78

+13

A28/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

82-78

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

88-92

-4

A07/01

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

90-93 OT

-3

A11/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

79-75

H15/01

Euroleague

24-28

18-18

21-23

14-16

23-24

17-24

16-17

16-21

24-18

27-17

18-21

13-15

17-20

16-15

20-14

15-23

16-13

22-14

16-30

31-32

27-26

14-15

23-17

27-20

17-22

11-8

26-13

28-35

19-27

18-23

16-23

35-19

24-18

21-18

19-23

18-23

13-18

28-18

12-15

26-24

163.3Avg total

81.4Scored

81.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	78.0	76.4	154.4	+1.6	50%
Season at home (7)	77.4	77.6	155.0	-0.1	43%
Season away (7)	78.6	75.1	153.7	+3.4	57%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	81.9	163.3	-0.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	83.2	169.2	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.6	83.8	158.4	-9.1	12%
vs Similar (12)	76.2	74.3	150.5	+1.8	58%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	83.8	80.2	164.0	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

82-89

-7

A15/11

Lega A

Ferrara

86-70

+16

A23/11

Lega A

Udine

#16

90-78

+12

H30/11

Lega A

Biella

81-103

103

-22

A07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

68-83

-15

H10/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

78-68

+10

H13/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

88-79

A20/12

Lega A

Siena

66-73

-7

H28/12

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

59-60

-1

A04/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

76-74 OT

H10/01

Lega A

18-21

23-17

26-28

15-23

24-16

26-20

18-14

18-20

23-23

20-14

18-21

29-20

21-29

17-22

25-25

18-27

19-20

17-15

15-21

17-27

11-18

24-20

19-7

24-23

21-14

26-22

22-16

19-27

9-15

19-13

16-21

22-24

17-12

15-15

15-16

12-17

24-15

12-21

16-18

16-14

155.1Avg total

77.4Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.1	78.4	153.6	-3.3	43%
Season at home (7)	72.9	75.7	148.6	-2.9	57%
Season away (7)	77.4	81.1	158.6	-3.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	77.7	155.1	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	70.8	144.2	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	76.1	79.8	155.9	-3.6	38%
vs Similar (6)	73.8	76.7	150.5	-2.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.4	19.5	38.9	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	18.1	38.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	19.8	37.8	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	22.0	14.8	36.8	+7.2	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	17.9	19.1	37.0	-1.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.9	20.0	37.9	-2.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (7)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	14.8	31.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.5	19.8	36.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	17.4	16.5	33.9	+1.0	58%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.2	16.9	34.2	+0.3	58%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.6	16.0	33.6	+1.6	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.0	36.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	14.3	31.5	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.9	16.3	34.1	+1.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (7)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.1	17.5	36.6	+1.6	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.7	17.7	35.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Siena

42-46

-4

H07/12

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

40-48

-8

H11/12

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

51-35

+16

A14/12

Lega A

Unicaja

33-35

-2

A18/12

Euroleague

Udine

#16

38-27

+11

H21/12

Lega A

Teramo

41-41

A28/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

28-30

-2

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

37-50

-13

A07/01

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

45-36

A11/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

41-36

H15/01

Euroleague

78.0Avg total

39.6Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	36.8	36.0	72.8	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.2	35.0	72.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.4	37.0	73.4	-0.6	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	38.4	78.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	38.6	77.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	41.1	77.1	-5.1	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.2	34.1	69.3	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	43.0	31.5	74.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Teramo

41-38

A15/11

Lega A

Ferrara

50-36

+14

A23/11

Lega A

Udine

#16

43-37

H30/11

Lega A

Biella

38-51

-13

A07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

36-35

H10/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-38

-3

H13/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

47-36

+11

A20/12

Lega A

Siena

28-28

H28/12

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

32-27

A04/01

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

36-36

H10/01

Lega A

74.8Avg total

38.6Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	36.4	36.6	73.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	35.7	36.3	72.0	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	37.1	37.0	74.1	+0.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	36.2	74.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	33.0	68.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.6	37.2	72.9	-1.6	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.5	35.8	73.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	25%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	20.4	39.7	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	22.2	40.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	36%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	15.3	17.6	32.9	-2.3	14%	-
Last 30 away (7)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	15.6	33.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.8	18.8	35.7	-2.0	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	17%	-
Last 30 away (12)	22.4	18.3	40.8	+4.1	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.8	45.1	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	24.2	51.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.1	20.2	42.2	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	36%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	20.7	21.0	41.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.7	22.6	39.3	-5.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	39.4	41.5	80.9	-2.1	25%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.8	42.5	81.3	-3.7	17%	-
Last 30 away (12)	40.0	40.5	80.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	42.4	83.4	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	42.4	88.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	41.2	78.9	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	40.2	39.2	79.4	+0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	40.8	48.8	89.5	-8.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	37.5	40.6	78.1	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	36.0	38.6	74.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	39.0	42.6	81.6	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.9	78.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	36.6	72.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	39.4	41.1	80.5	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.0	39.8	74.8	-4.8	17%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Caserta wins

No previous meetings.

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/01/09	H	Cibona	79-75
11/01/09	A	Virtus Roma	90-93 OT
07/01/09	A	Le Mans	88-92
04/01/09	H	Pesaro	82-78
28/12/08	A	Teramo	91-78
21/12/08	H	Udine	85-89
18/12/08	A	Unicaja	68-72
14/12/08	A	Fortitudo Bologna	82-71
11/12/08	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	72-86
07/12/08	H	Siena	77-85

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/01/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	76-74 OT
04/01/09	A	NSB Napoli	59-60
28/12/08	H	Siena	66-73
20/12/08	A	Sutor Montegranaro	88-79
13/12/08	H	Virtus Bologna	78-68
10/12/08	H	Pesaro	68-83
07/12/08	A	Biella	81-103
30/11/08	H	Udine	90-78
23/11/08	A	Ferrara	86-70
15/11/08	A	Teramo	82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	LWLLW	43%
Away	WLWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	50%	43%	57%
Points / game	78.0	77.4	78.6
Allowed / game	76.4	77.6	75.1
Point differential	+1.6	-0.1	+3.4
Avg total	154.4	155.0	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	14%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	29% (7)	33% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Caserta

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	43%
Home	WLWLW	57%
Away	LWLWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	43%	57%	29%
Points / game	75.1	72.9	77.4
Allowed / game	78.4	75.7	81.1
Point differential	-3.3	-2.9	-3.7
Avg total	153.6	148.6	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	15	15	0	100%	89.9	70.7	+19.3
2	Virtus Roma	14	9	5	64%	86.9	82.1	+4.8
3	Teramo	14	9	5	64%	83.7	82.3	+1.4
4	Treviso	15	9	6	60%	79.7	77.1	+2.5
5	Virtus Bologna	15	9	6	60%	77.9	76.5	+1.4
6	Cantu	14	8	6	57%	80.8	83.6	-2.8
7	Avellino	14	7	7	50%	78.0	76.4	+1.6
8	Sutor Montegranaro	14	7	7	50%	75.4	80.1	-4.8
9	Olimpia Milano	15	7	8	47%	75.5	74.9	+0.7
10	Pesaro	14	6	8	43%	81.6	78.7	+2.9
11	Caserta	14	6	8	43%	75.1	78.4	-3.3
12	Biella	14	5	9	36%	83.3	84.2	-0.9
13	Fortitudo Bologna	14	5	9	36%	75.3	82.1	-6.9
14	Ferrara	14	4	10	29%	73.6	77.1	-3.4
15	NSB Napoli	14	4	10	29%	72.8	79.9	-7.1
16	Udine	14	4	10	29%	78.7	85.9	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	16	21	18	30	85
Caserta	11	15	19	13	58

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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