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Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 79-75
8-19 26-15 23-17 22-24
Position#3
Record18-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#13
Record11-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.5
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Caserta
30 Apr 2017
AVE79
KAS75
23 Dec 2015
AVE62
KAS70
19 Apr 2015
AVE70
KAS74
16 Nov 2013
AVE76
KAS70
30 Dec 2012
AVE84
KAS86
27 Dec 2011
AVE84
KAS74
28 Dec 2010
AVE79
KAS68
19 Dec 2009
AVE73
KAS66
18 Jan 2009
AVE85
KAS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caserta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#14
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H09/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H15/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
12-10
15-18
4-13
28-24
21-16
11-23
15-19
14-21
13-19
22-16
19-16
20-15
21-21
13-20
24-22
26-15
14-21
19-18
18-11
5-24
21-17
27-23
21-30
17-24
19-21
21-14
18-19
29-13
12-25
24-20
27-28
21-19
22-16
22-24
20-19
18-19
11-20
25-17
22-12
152.6Avg total
76.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.976.2156.1+3.864%
Season at home (14)82.674.5157.1+8.179%
Season away (14)77.277.9155.1-0.650%
Last 10 (10)76.176.5152.6-0.450%
Last 5 (5)80.480.8161.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.066.0144.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (9)74.374.8149.1-0.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)77.971.6149.5+6.363%
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-82
86
82
+4
H23/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
18-11
11-18
13-19
20-17
15-20
19-17
20-24
13-23
19-17
22-12
12-24
10-21
19-12
28-24
22-28
17-15
19-21
17-21
18-17
21-13
12-10
11-24
14-14
15-6
13-17
16-19
18-22
24-14
21-24
9-25
29-13
14-31
19-20
16-15
18-17
28-26
15-20
18-17
25-19
146.6Avg total
71.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.081.5159.5-3.439%
Season at home (14)79.978.0157.9+1.957%
Season away (14)76.184.9161.1-8.821%
Last 10 (10)71.075.6146.6-4.620%
Last 5 (5)71.273.2144.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.184.3161.4-7.220%
vs Similar (20)77.179.0156.1-2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
AvellinoCaserta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#14
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A23/04
Lega A
73.4Avg total
36.2Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.673.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.835.274.0+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)35.738.073.7-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.273.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.674.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (9)34.435.970.3-1.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.636.475.1+2.258%-
This opponent (Caserta) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A13/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H26/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H26/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A02/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H23/04
Lega A
72.1Avg total
35.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.177.0-3.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.377.1+0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)34.941.976.9-7.013%-
Last 10 (10)35.436.772.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.272.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.341.779.0-4.430%-
vs Similar (20)36.739.376.0-2.625%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.5
53.7%
51.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.4
40.6%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.011.1
74.0%
74.0%11.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Casertatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caserta: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.2
51.7%
51.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.0
31.0%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
74.0%12.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WWWLLWWLLL
Caserta
WLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#13
+0.6
Net rating
-7.1
108.5
Offensive rating
94.5
107.9
Defensive rating
101.5
56.9%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
21.9%
Turnover %
23.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.6%
3-point %
31.0%
67.0%
Assist %
44.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 94.5Defence107.9 · 101.5Shooting56.9% · 49.4%3-point %40.6% · 31.0%Ball care21.9% · 23.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 26.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Avellino   ■ Caserta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Caserta wins
DateGameScore
01/01/17Caserta v Avellino82-86
17/04/16Caserta v Avellino87-92
23/12/15Avellino v Caserta62-70
19/04/15Avellino v Caserta70-74
26/12/14Caserta v Avellino91-105
02/03/14Caserta v Avellino76-57
16/11/13Avellino v Caserta76-70
21/04/13Caserta v Avellino75-85
30/12/12Avellino v Caserta84-86 OT
15/04/12Caserta v Avellino76-67
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/17ACapo d'Orlando76-68
15/04/17HCremona85-78
09/04/17HCantu92-86
03/04/17AVenezia75-78
26/03/17ABrindisi74-94
18/03/17HSassari77-65
12/03/17AReggiana90-89 OT
08/03/17HVenezia68-72
05/03/17HVarese75-82
01/03/17AVenezia49-53
Casertalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/17HBrindisi86-82
15/04/17APesaro67-83
09/04/17HTorino83-76
02/04/17ABrescia62-64
26/03/17HVenezia58-61
19/03/17ACapo d'Orlando71-74
12/03/17HCantu79-85
04/03/17ATrento66-76
26/02/17HOlimpia Milano74-78
13/02/17APistoia64-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game79.982.677.2
Allowed / game76.274.577.9
Point differential+3.8+8.1-0.6
Avg total156.1157.1155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Caserta
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game78.079.976.1
Allowed / game81.578.084.9
Point differential-3.4+1.9-8.8
Avg total159.5157.9161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (8)40% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%86.379.4+6.9
2 Venezia2819968%81.177.9+3.3
3 Avellino28181064%79.976.2+3.8
4 Sassari28171161%76.673.3+3.4
5 Trento28161257%78.073.2+4.8
6 Reggiana28161257%81.881.2+0.6
7 Pistoia28141450%76.977.1-0.2
8 Capo d'Orlando28141450%75.676.4-0.8
9 Brindisi28131546%83.782.3+1.4
10 Varese28121643%77.379.9-2.6
11 Brescia28121643%78.681.4-2.7
12 Torino28121643%81.385.0-3.6
13 Caserta28111739%78.081.5-3.4
14 Cantu28111739%78.182.0-3.9
15 Pesaro2891932%75.280.1-4.9
16 Cremona2882029%78.480.2-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino826232279
Caserta1915172475
← all games of the day
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