Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Dec 2012

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 84-86 (OT)

21-20 22-14 18-16 16-27 7-9

Position#11

Record3-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game85.2

Avellino

Caserta 🏆

Position#12

Record5-7

FormLWWLL

Points / game68.8

Allowed / game75.8

Lega ARound 13

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Avellino v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

80-58

+22

H15/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

83-94

-11

A21/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

87-77

+10

H28/10

Lega A

Cantu

67-79

-12

A04/11

Lega A

Sassari

81-102

102

-21

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

74-82

-8

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

81-71

+10

H25/11

Lega A

Siena

65-101

101

-36

A03/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

79-94

-15

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

64-91

-27

A23/12

Lega A

18-20

22-11

21-14

19-13

25-24

19-23

17-24

22-23

26-15

21-17

21-16

19-29

10-19

18-14

16-28

23-18

17-30

19-23

23-26

22-23

20-16

15-25

19-20

20-21

15-15

19-25

15-11

32-20

20-25

16-16

14-31

15-29

21-24

19-25

28-21

11-24

12-18

14-23

17-26

21-24

161.0Avg total

76.1Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.5	85.2	161.7	-8.7	25%
Season at home (6)	79.2	77.3	156.5	+1.8	50%
Season away (6)	73.8	93.0	166.8	-19.2	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.1	84.9	161.0	-8.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	72.6	87.8	160.4	-15.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	73.1	88.0	161.1	-14.9	8%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.3	78.7	156.0	-1.3	60%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	82.0	156.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

65-82

-17

A14/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

78-67

+11

H21/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

57-86

-29

A28/10

Lega A

Varese

56-73

-17

H04/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

65-56

H11/11

Lega A

Siena

66-86

-20

A18/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

77-63

+14

A25/11

Lega A

Cantu

76-74 OT

H02/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

74-82

-8

A09/12

Lega A

Venezia

77-83 OT

-6

H23/12

Lega A

16-24

18-18

15-19

16-21

18-23

22-14

17-11

21-19

21-25

11-17

13-11

12-33

19-19

15-21

14-14

8-19

15-10

14-16

17-15

19-15

13-18

20-23

17-27

16-18

13-14

20-15

24-19

20-15

18-13

16-21

12-12

22-22

14-21

20-16

14-21

26-24

20-14

17-22

15-19

17-14

144.3Avg total

69.1Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	68.8	75.8	144.5	-7.0	42%
Season at home (6)	69.2	68.8	138.0	+0.3	67%
Season away (6)	68.3	82.7	151.0	-14.3	17%
Last 10 (10)	69.1	75.2	144.3	-6.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	77.6	151.6	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	69.1	80.9	150.0	-11.8	20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	76.5	78.6	155.1	-2.2	47%
vs Weaker (1)	65.0	82.0	147.0	-17.0	0%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.1	20.4	39.6	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	19.6	37.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.4	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.3	19.6	39.9	+0.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	19.7	38.3	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.1	34.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	16.0	31.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	18.7	36.2	-1.2	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	24.0	40.0	-8.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.2	19.9	38.2	-1.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.3	20.5	37.8	-3.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.8	39.4	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.2	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	25.0	40.0	-10.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	19.6	37.0	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.6	37.5	-1.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	19.5	36.5	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	18.3	35.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.3	21.6	37.9	-5.3	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.0	18.5	36.5	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

40-31

H15/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

44-47

-3

A21/10

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

47-32

+15

H28/10

Lega A

Cantu

28-33

-5

A04/11

Lega A

Sassari

36-53

-17

A11/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

35-41

-6

H18/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

34-40

-6

H25/11

Lega A

Siena

36-41

-5

A03/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

40-49

-9

H09/12

Lega A

Reggiana

26-41

-15

A23/12

Lega A

77.4Avg total

36.6Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	40.4	77.8	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.3	39.1	77.3	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	41.8	78.2	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.8	77.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	42.4	76.6	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.5	43.1	79.6	-6.5	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.4	37.6	76.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#17

34-42

-8

A14/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#14

40-37

H21/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

32-42

-10

A28/10

Lega A

Varese

34-40

-6

H04/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

29-26

H11/11

Lega A

Siena

33-41

-8

A18/11

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

33-29

A25/11

Lega A

Cantu

34-34

H02/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

34-37

-3

A09/12

Lega A

Venezia

37-36

H23/12

Lega A

70.4Avg total

34.0Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.1	39.2	75.3	-3.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.9	38.5	75.4	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	39.9	75.2	-4.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	36.4	70.4	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	35.4	69.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.8	40.3	74.1	-6.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.5	38.4	75.9	-0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	42.0	76.0	-8.0	0%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	25.1	41.4	-8.8	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.7	40.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.4	22.7	40.1	-5.3	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	16.3	32.9	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	16.8	32.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.6	36.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.1	18.0	34.1	-1.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.4	20.1	39.4	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	19.0	34.0	-4.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	22.7	42.3	-3.0	28%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	23.8	43.1	-4.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.6	43.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	20.7	39.5	-1.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.7	39.9	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.6	20.6	38.2	-3.0	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.6	20.8	40.4	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	21.0	37.0	-5.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.0	43.4	81.4	-5.3	21%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	48.9	84.4	-13.3	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	44.1	83.6	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	45.4	83.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.5	44.9	81.5	-8.4	8%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.6	41.2	80.9	-1.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.9	40.0	76.9	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	42.9	80.8	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	36.8	70.3	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	38.2	74.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	33.7	38.6	72.3	-4.9	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	39%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	40.0	71.0	-9.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
15/04/12	Caserta v Avellino	76-67
27/12/11	Avellino v Caserta	84-74
17/04/11	Caserta v Avellino	75-83
28/12/10	Avellino v Caserta	79-68
18/04/10	Caserta v Avellino	81-79
19/12/09	Avellino v Caserta	73-66
10/05/09	Caserta v Avellino	65-74
18/01/09	Avellino v Caserta	85-58

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/12	A	Reggiana	64-91
09/12/12	H	Virtus Roma	79-94
03/12/12	A	Siena	65-101
25/11/12	H	Brindisi	81-71
18/11/12	H	Biella	74-82
11/11/12	A	Sassari	81-102
04/11/12	A	Cantu	67-79
28/10/12	H	Virtus Bologna	87-77
21/10/12	A	Cremona	83-94
15/10/12	H	Olimpia Milano	80-58

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/12	H	Venezia	77-83 OT
09/12/12	A	Brindisi	74-82
02/12/12	H	Cantu	76-74 OT
25/11/12	A	Pesaro	77-63
18/11/12	A	Siena	66-86
11/11/12	H	Virtus Bologna	65-56
04/11/12	H	Varese	56-73
28/10/12	A	Virtus Roma	57-86
21/10/12	H	Sutor Montegranaro	78-67
14/10/12	A	Biella	65-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	25%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	76.5	79.2	73.8
Allowed / game	85.2	77.3	93.0
Point differential	-8.7	+1.8	-19.2
Avg total	161.7	156.5	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	42%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LLLWL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	42%	67%	17%
Points / game	68.8	69.2	68.3
Allowed / game	75.8	68.8	82.7
Point differential	-7.0	+0.3	-14.3
Avg total	144.5	138.0	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	17%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	13	12	1	92%	87.7	78.8	+8.8
3	Sassari	13	11	2	85%	86.2	79.8	+6.4
4	Siena	13	10	3	77%	76.0	64.3	+11.7
5	Cantu	13	9	4	69%	79.0	68.8	+10.2
6	Virtus Roma	13	8	5	62%	80.1	76.6	+3.5
7	Brindisi	13	7	6	54%	81.7	79.3	+2.4
8	Olimpia Milano	13	7	6	54%	79.3	78.4	+0.9
9	Reggiana	13	6	7	46%	75.2	73.2	+2.0
10	Venezia	13	6	7	46%	75.8	76.8	-1.0
11	Virtus Bologna	13	6	7	46%	71.5	72.9	-1.4
12	Caserta	12	5	7	42%	68.8	75.8	-7.0
13	Cremona	13	4	9	31%	74.2	79.1	-4.8
14	Sutor Montegranaro	13	4	9	31%	80.0	85.5	-5.5
15	Avellino	12	3	9	25%	76.5	85.2	-8.7
16	Biella	13	3	10	23%	70.5	80.8	-10.4
17	Pesaro	13	2	11	15%	70.2	78.5	-8.3
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Avellino	21	22	18	16	7	84
Caserta	20	14	16	27	9	86

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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