Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2009

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 73-66

21-16 17-17 16-14 19-19

Position#8

Record6-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game77.1

Avellino 🏆

Caserta

Position#2

Record8-2

FormLWWWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game75.9

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Avellino v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

88-77

+11

H11/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

82-58

+24

A18/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

78-74

A25/10

Lega A

Treviso

82-80 OT

H01/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

91-74

+17

A08/11

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

88-78 OT

+10

H14/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

55-73

-18

A22/11

Lega A

Siena

57-86

-29

H29/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

78-98

-20

A06/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-73

-7

H13/12

Lega A

24-19

25-12

23-22

16-24

25-14

21-16

21-10

15-18

27-20

19-18

7-17

25-19

18-17

12-16

17-18

22-18

21-23

27-10

23-19

20-22

19-21

29-16

12-21

15-17

16-25

10-9

13-22

16-17

14-20

13-28

9-26

21-12

19-28

25-21

18-15

16-34

15-13

15-15

27-28

9-17

153.6Avg total

76.5Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	76.5	77.1	153.6	-0.6	60%
Season at home (5)	76.2	78.8	155.0	-2.6	60%
Season away (5)	76.8	75.4	152.2	+1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	77.1	153.6	-0.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	68.8	81.6	150.4	-12.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	74.8	89.5	164.2	-14.8	0%
vs Similar (18)	76.1	79.8	155.9	-3.7	39%
vs Weaker (8)	81.2	67.2	148.5	+14.0	88%

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

77-68

H11/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

84-86

-2

A18/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

104-100 OT

104

100

H25/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

89-49

+40

A31/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

95-81

+14

H07/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

85-92

-7

A15/11

Lega A

Cremona

#12

97-74

+23

H22/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

84-72

+12

A28/11

Lega A

Cantu

82-67

+15

H06/12

Lega A

Treviso

72-70

A13/12

Lega A

20-10

14-17

19-14

24-27

12-22

25-19

28-27

19-18

19-23

23-23

22-11

14-21

21-20

27-16

18-8

23-5

21-25

21-24

25-16

28-16

27-28

21-21

25-14

12-29

27-19

15-22

32-17

23-16

17-18

17-14

21-13

29-27

25-16

15-22

16-12

26-17

17-18

12-19

24-13

19-20

162.8Avg total

86.9Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	86.9	75.9	162.8	+11.0	80%
Season at home (5)	91.0	78.0	169.0	+13.0	100%
Season away (5)	82.8	73.8	156.6	+9.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.9	75.9	162.8	+11.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	75.0	159.0	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	71.9	78.8	150.7	-6.9	27%
vs Similar (10)	78.6	81.0	159.6	-2.4	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	85.0	73.2	158.2	+11.8	78%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.7	40.5	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	15.2	19.5	34.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.2	37.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	16.3	37.5	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.5	16.9	34.4	+0.5	55%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.8	19.6	40.3	+1.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	17.3	36.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	16.1	35.7	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.8	36.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.5	17.1	37.6	+3.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.8	37.6	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.6	35.6	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	19.0	39.5	+1.5	73%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.8	33%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

49-31

+18

H11/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

46-30

+16

A18/10

Lega A

Virtus Roma

46-38

A25/10

Lega A

Treviso

30-33

-3

H01/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

48-33

+15

A08/11

Lega A

Ferrara

#15

48-37

+11

H14/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

26-34

-8

A22/11

Lega A

Siena

27-48

-21

H29/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

44-49

-5

A06/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

30-28

H13/12

Lega A

75.5Avg total

39.4Scored

36.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	37.4	74.7	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.0	35.9	71.9	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.1	75.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.2	74.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.0	41.8	74.8	-8.8	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.0	37.4	74.4	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.9	35.2	75.1	+4.6	62%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

34-27

H11/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

37-41

-4

A18/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-46

-4

H25/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

48-36

+12

A31/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

42-49

-7

H07/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

48-49

-1

A15/11

Lega A

Cremona

#12

42-41

H22/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-32

A28/11

Lega A

Cantu

40-38

H06/12

Lega A

Treviso

29-37

-8

A13/12

Lega A

79.2Avg total

39.6Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.1	75.5	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.9	74.7	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	39.2	76.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.4	78.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.9	35.9	73.8	+2.0	64%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.2	36.7	74.9	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.3	38.9	78.2	+0.4	56%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.4	38.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	24.0	41.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.9	15.1	36.0	+5.8	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	17.9	37.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.9	37.9	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	14.5	37.5	+8.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	13.8	37.4	+9.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.8	45%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.1	14.9	38.0	+8.2	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	19.4	34.8	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.2	17.2	38.5	+4.0	75%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	23.1	40.8	-5.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.6	41.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	15.5	23.5	39.0	-8.1	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	22.5	40.7	-4.3	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.6	19.4	42.0	+3.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	38.4	77.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	37.4	77.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	39.4	76.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	39.6	74.1	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.2	41.8	73.0	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.4	40.6	78.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.4	32.0	73.4	+9.4	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	39.9	78.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	38.7	78.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	34.1	78.8	+10.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	35.6	81.0	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.0	42.9	76.9	-8.9	9%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	41.5	78.5	-4.5	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	45.7	34.3	80.0	+11.3	89%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
10/05/09	Caserta v Avellino	65-74
18/01/09	Avellino v Caserta	85-58

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/09	H	Olimpia Milano	66-73
06/12/09	A	Teramo	78-98
29/11/09	H	Siena	57-86
22/11/09	A	Virtus Bologna	55-73
14/11/09	H	Ferrara	88-78 OT
08/11/09	A	Varese	91-74
01/11/09	H	Treviso	82-80 OT
25/10/09	A	Virtus Roma	78-74
18/10/09	A	NSB Napoli	82-58
11/10/09	H	Pesaro	88-77

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/12/09	A	Treviso	72-70
06/12/09	H	Cantu	82-67
28/11/09	A	Virtus Bologna	84-72
22/11/09	H	Cremona	97-74
15/11/09	A	Teramo	85-92
07/11/09	H	Pesaro	95-81
31/10/09	A	NSB Napoli	89-49
25/10/09	H	Olimpia Milano	104-100 OT
18/10/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	84-86
11/10/09	H	Biella	77-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	60%
Home	WWWLL	60%
Away	WWWLL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	60%	60%
Points / game	76.5	76.2	76.8
Allowed / game	77.1	78.8	75.4
Point differential	-0.6	-2.6	+1.4
Avg total	153.6	155.0	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	40%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	20%	40%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	80%	100%	60%
Points / game	86.9	91.0	82.8
Allowed / game	75.9	78.0	73.8
Point differential	+11.0	+13.0	+9.0
Avg total	162.8	169.0	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	60%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	11	0	100%	86.9	64.6	+22.3
2	Caserta	10	8	2	80%	86.9	75.9	+11.0
3	Olimpia Milano	10	7	3	70%	81.4	76.7	+4.7
4	Biella	10	6	4	60%	81.3	80.8	+0.5
5	Cantu	10	6	4	60%	75.9	76.0	-0.1
6	Avellino	10	6	4	60%	76.5	77.1	-0.6
7	Virtus Bologna	11	6	5	55%	74.6	72.8	+1.8
8	Teramo	10	5	5	50%	81.2	77.3	+3.9
9	Treviso	10	5	5	50%	83.3	81.0	+2.3
10	Sutor Montegranaro	10	5	5	50%	79.0	79.6	-0.6
11	Varese	10	5	5	50%	76.9	80.7	-3.8
12	Cremona	10	4	6	40%	86.1	86.7	-0.6
13	Virtus Roma	10	3	7	30%	78.0	81.3	-3.3
14	Pesaro	10	2	8	20%	76.1	83.4	-7.3
15	Ferrara	10	2	8	20%	71.9	81.5	-9.6
16	NSB Napoli	10	0	10	0%	60.2	83.2	-23.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	21	17	16	19	73
Caserta	16	17	14	19	66

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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