Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2009

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 93-90 (OT)

18-24 18-21 23-19 23-18 11-8

Position#2

Record8-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game81.5

Virtus Roma 🏆

Avellino

Position#10

Record7-6

FormLLWWL

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game75.1

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

80-86 OT

-6

H30/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#19

70-64

H04/12

Euroleague

Ferrara

67-73

-6

A07/12

Lega A

Joventut Badalona

#15

93-97

-4

A11/12

Euroleague

Treviso

96-75

+21

H14/12

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

74-69 OT

H18/12

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

91-90 OT

A21/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

88-70

+18

H28/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

85-68

+17

A04/01

Lega A

Baskonia

96-103 OT

103

-7

H08/01

Euroleague

19-20

17-14

18-23

16-13

19-14

16-18

15-11

20-21

16-17

12-19

13-16

26-21

24-26

24-22

21-28

24-21

29-21

24-17

20-23

23-14

22-16

12-15

18-12

10-19

18-28

20-9

19-19

22-23

17-10

24-26

21-22

26-12

26-17

15-10

19-20

25-21

25-20

21-25

22-22

17-18

163.5Avg total

84.0Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	86.4	81.5	167.8	+4.9	62%
Season at home (6)	85.2	79.2	164.3	+6.0	67%
Season away (7)	87.4	83.4	170.9	+4.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	79.5	163.5	+4.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	80.0	166.8	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	85.7	93.7	179.3	-8.0	33%
vs Similar (5)	87.0	75.6	162.6	+11.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	82.8	78.3	161.1	+4.5	64%

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

76-81

-5

A30/11

Lega A

Olympiacos

66-91

-25

A03/12

Euroleague

Siena

77-85

-8

H07/12

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

72-86

-14

H11/12

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

82-71

+11

A14/12

Lega A

Unicaja

68-72

-4

A18/12

Euroleague

Udine

#16

85-89

-4

H21/12

Lega A

Teramo

91-78

+13

A28/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

82-78

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

88-92

-4

A07/01

Euroleague

19-16

12-14

21-26

24-25

16-20

9-21

15-32

26-18

24-28

18-18

21-23

14-16

23-24

17-24

16-17

16-21

24-18

27-17

18-21

13-15

17-20

16-15

20-14

15-23

16-13

22-14

16-30

31-32

27-26

14-15

23-17

27-20

17-22

11-8

26-13

28-35

19-27

18-23

16-23

35-19

161.0Avg total

78.7Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	77.1	75.1	152.2	+2.0	54%
Season at home (7)	77.4	77.6	155.0	-0.1	43%
Season away (6)	76.7	72.2	148.8	+4.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	82.3	161.0	-3.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	81.8	164.6	+1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	72.4	82.4	154.9	-10.0	14%
vs Similar (11)	75.9	74.3	150.2	+1.6	55%
vs Weaker (4)	83.8	80.2	164.0	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.1	16.1	36.2	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.9	40.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	17.3	36.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.5	19.7	39.1	-0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.5	18.1	38.6	+2.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.4	21.3	39.6	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	19.9	38.5	-1.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.0	14.8	36.8	+7.2	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	82%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.0	35.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	24.7	47.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.8	18.2	40.0	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	18.4	38.9	+2.2	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	16.8	16.3	33.1	+0.5	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	16.3	16.8	33.1	-0.5	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.3	15.8	33.1	+1.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	16.9	33.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	15.0	31.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.3	19.7	35.0	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.2	14.0	30.2	+2.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.0	16.8	37.8	+4.2	75%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

36-34

H30/11

Lega A

Alba Berlin

#19

35-32

H04/12

Euroleague

Ferrara

28-36

-8

A07/12

Lega A

Joventut Badalona

#15

48-48

A11/12

Euroleague

Treviso

53-38

+15

H14/12

Lega A

Petrol Olimpija

#21

34-31

H18/12

Euroleague

NSB Napoli

#13

38-37

A21/12

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

41-36

H28/12

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

41-27

+14

A04/01

Lega A

Baskonia

46-45

H08/01

Euroleague

76.4Avg total

40.0Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	41.3	37.1	78.4	+4.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.9	35.5	75.4	+4.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.6	38.7	81.4	+3.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.4	76.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	35.2	75.2	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.3	42.0	84.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	40.2	36.5	76.7	+3.7	86%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

31-30

A30/11

Lega A

Olympiacos

25-41

-16

A03/12

Euroleague

Siena

42-46

-4

H07/12

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

40-48

-8

H11/12

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

51-35

+16

A14/12

Lega A

Unicaja

33-35

-2

A18/12

Euroleague

Udine

#16

38-27

+11

H21/12

Lega A

Teramo

41-41

A28/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

28-30

-2

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

37-50

-13

A07/01

Euroleague

74.9Avg total

36.6Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	36.2	36.0	72.2	+0.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	36.8	34.9	71.7	+1.9	45%	-
Last 30 away (11)	35.6	37.1	72.7	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.3	74.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	36.6	72.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.7	41.9	76.6	-7.1	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	34.7	33.9	68.6	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	31.5	74.5	+11.5	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.5	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.7	20.7	42.3	+1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.4	18.9	37.2	-0.5	21%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	20.9	40.8	-1.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.5	22.1	39.5	-4.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.6	22.1	40.7	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.6	19.5	38.1	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.5	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	22.8	20.4	43.2	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	36%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	9%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.8	17.9	40.7	+4.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	22.4	45.3	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	25.8	53.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.7	19.8	41.5	+1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.8	22.8	44.5	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	40.3	39.9	80.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.0	37.2	76.2	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.6	42.6	84.3	-1.0	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	37.9	77.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.6	77.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.7	45.7	85.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	43.4	39.8	83.2	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.4	38.7	78.1	+0.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.9	42.8	81.7	-3.9	18%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.3	40.0	80.3	+0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	44.0	86.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	45.2	92.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	37.7	40.6	78.3	-2.9	14%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.4	39.3	79.6	+1.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	48.8	89.5	-8.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Avellino wins

No previous meetings.

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/01/09	H	Baskonia	96-103 OT
04/01/09	A	Olimpia Milano	85-68
28/12/08	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-70
21/12/08	A	NSB Napoli	91-90 OT
18/12/08	H	Petrol Olimpija	74-69 OT
14/12/08	H	Treviso	96-75
11/12/08	A	Joventut Badalona	93-97
07/12/08	A	Ferrara	67-73
04/12/08	H	Alba Berlin	70-64
30/11/08	H	Virtus Bologna	80-86 OT

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/09	A	Le Mans	88-92
04/01/09	H	Pesaro	82-78
28/12/08	A	Teramo	91-78
21/12/08	H	Udine	85-89
18/12/08	A	Unicaja	68-72
14/12/08	A	Fortitudo Bologna	82-71
11/12/08	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	72-86
07/12/08	H	Siena	77-85
03/12/08	A	Olympiacos	66-91
30/11/08	A	Sutor Montegranaro	76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	62%
Home	WLLWW	67%
Away	LLLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	62%	67%	57%
Points / game	86.4	85.2	87.4
Allowed / game	81.5	79.2	83.4
Point differential	+4.9	+6.0	+4.0
Avg total	167.8	164.3	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	23%	33%	14%

Avellino

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	54%
Home	LWLLW	43%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	54%	43%	67%
Points / game	77.1	77.4	76.7
Allowed / game	75.1	77.6	72.2
Point differential	+2.0	-0.1	+4.5
Avg total	152.2	155.0	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	14%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	33% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	13	13	0	100%	90.7	71.8	+18.8
2	Virtus Bologna	14	9	5	64%	78.8	76.1	+2.6
3	Teramo	14	9	5	64%	83.7	82.3	+1.4
4	Virtus Roma	13	8	5	62%	86.4	81.5	+4.9
5	Treviso	14	8	6	57%	79.6	78.0	+1.6
6	Avellino	13	7	6	54%	77.1	75.1	+2.0
7	Cantu	13	7	6	54%	80.4	83.5	-3.2
8	Sutor Montegranaro	14	7	7	50%	75.4	80.1	-4.8
9	Pesaro	13	6	7	46%	81.5	78.2	+3.3
10	Olimpia Milano	13	6	7	46%	75.5	74.9	+0.5
11	Caserta	14	6	8	43%	75.1	78.4	-3.3
12	Biella	13	5	8	38%	84.2	84.0	+0.2
13	Fortitudo Bologna	14	5	9	36%	75.3	82.1	-6.9
14	NSB Napoli	13	4	9	31%	73.5	77.9	-4.5
15	Udine	13	4	9	31%	80.1	85.5	-5.4
16	Ferrara	13	3	10	23%	71.2	78.1	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Virtus Roma	18	18	23	23	11	93
Avellino	24	21	19	18	8	90

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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