Avellino vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 84-70

22-18 25-17 18-13 19-22

Position#3

Record17-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game76.7

Avellino 🏆

Cremona

Position#4

Record18-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game73.4

Lega ARound 27

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Avellino v Cremona

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cremona winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

80-68

+12

A13/02

Lega A

Reggiana

94-87

A19/02

Italian Cup

Trento

71-69

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

76-82

-6

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

95-94

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

81-77

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

89-82

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

82-74

H20/03

Lega A

Varese

89-71

+18

H26/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

74-78

-4

A03/04

Lega A

14-27

15-15

17-13

34-13

17-22

27-17

18-14

32-34

18-16

16-14

21-23

16-16

11-21

25-22

19-17

21-22

34-28

19-22

24-30

18-14

23-20

19-16

19-12

20-29

23-16

20-26

21-20

25-20

23-19

22-16

16-15

21-24

29-19

25-15

19-17

16-20

20-19

18-20

11-20

25-19

161.3Avg total

83.1Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.9	76.7	155.6	+2.2	65%
Season at home (13)	79.5	75.6	155.2	+3.9	77%
Season away (13)	78.2	77.8	156.1	+0.4	54%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	78.2	161.3	+4.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	76.4	159.4	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	77.1	76.5	153.6	+0.6	64%
vs Weaker (14)	79.7	75.6	155.4	+4.1	71%

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cremona

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

74-73 OT

H07/02

Lega A

Torino

#15

66-50

+16

H14/02

Lega A

Sassari

97-89 OT

H19/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

58-90

-32

H20/02

Italian Cup

Reggiana

77-86

-9

A28/02

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

74-73

H06/03

Lega A

Pistoia

79-72

A13/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

77-72

H20/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

66-73

-7

A26/03

Lega A

Cantu

#11

95-85 OT

+10

H03/04

Lega A

23-12

16-16

10-15

12-18

14-18

17-15

23-10

12-7

20-23

14-6

15-27

28-21

17-24

14-21

14-31

13-14

13-23

22-18

21-21

21-24

8-18

24-17

20-24

22-14

22-15

17-14

26-25

14-18

12-20

21-19

26-23

18-10

13-16

16-22

19-17

18-18

21-21

20-9

12-19

17-21

152.6Avg total

76.3Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	75.6	73.4	149.0	+2.2	69%
Season at home (13)	74.4	69.8	144.2	+4.6	85%
Season away (13)	76.8	77.0	153.8	-0.2	54%
Last 10 (10)	76.3	76.3	152.6	+0.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	75.0	153.2	+3.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	73.7	93.3	167.0	-19.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.4	75.8	153.2	+1.7	67%
vs Weaker (8)	71.8	67.1	138.9	+4.6	75%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoCremona

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	18.6	42.2	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	21.0	32.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	20.6	40.6	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	22.0	17.5	39.5	+4.5	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.1	35.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.0	35.3	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.0	33.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	24.0	45.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.4	17.6	36.1	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	14.5	16.4	30.9	-1.9	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.1	39.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	18.3	38.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.4	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	16.6	34.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	15.8	33.3	+1.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	15.7	33.8	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.2	35.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	22.3	38.7	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	15.5	33.8	+2.8	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.1	18.2	35.4	-1.1	38%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

29-42

-13

A13/02

Lega A

Reggiana

44-39

A19/02

Italian Cup

Trento

34-30

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

36-43

-7

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

53-50

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

42-36

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

43-42

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

45-35

+10

H20/03

Lega A

Varese

54-34

+20

H26/03

Lega A

Torino

#15

38-39

-1

A03/04

Lega A

80.8Avg total

41.8Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	38.3	78.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.0	35.9	76.9	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	40.8	80.7	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	37.2	81.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (14)	41.7	36.9	78.6	+4.9	64%	-

This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Venezia

39-28

+11

H07/02

Lega A

Torino

#15

31-33

-2

H14/02

Lega A

Sassari

34-29

H19/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

31-45

-14

H20/02

Italian Cup

Reggiana

35-41

-6

A28/02

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

32-35

-3

H06/03

Lega A

Pistoia

39-29

+10

A13/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#12

33-39

-6

H20/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

29-38

-9

A26/03

Lega A

Cantu

#11

41-30

+11

H03/04

Lega A

69.1Avg total

34.4Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	34.7	70.1	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.0	33.9	69.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	35.6	70.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	34.7	69.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	34.2	69.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.7	46.3	84.0	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.8	33.1	69.9	+3.7	61%	-
vs Weaker (8)	31.6	34.6	66.2	-3.0	38%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.9	36.7	+0.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	17.5	36.5	+1.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.1	36.6	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (14)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.4	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.4	38.0	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	20.4	38.4	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.2	39.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.2	39.4	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.3	39.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (14)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.6	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	17.4	35.2	+0.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.3	42.6	+0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	16.5	34.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.2	34.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.5	20.9	40.4	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.4	14.5	33.9	+4.9	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.0	76.1	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	39.2	76.3	-2.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	36.9	75.9	+2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.2	80.5	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	39.2	77.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	37.9	37.1	74.9	+0.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (14)	37.3	38.2	75.5	-0.9	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	38.6	76.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	35.9	37.8	73.7	-1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.7	39.5	80.2	+1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	37.7	73.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	37.8	76.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.0	47.0	83.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.4	39.3	76.7	-1.9	39%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.1	32.5	72.6	+7.6	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Cremona wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/15	Cremona v Avellino	64-58
03/05/15	Avellino v Cremona	84-79
04/01/15	Cremona v Avellino	88-81
16/03/14	Cremona v Avellino	83-75
01/12/13	Avellino v Cremona	77-72
17/02/13	Avellino v Cremona	93-81
21/10/12	Cremona v Avellino	94-83
25/04/12	Cremona v Avellino	83-55
03/01/12	Avellino v Cremona	64-62
10/04/11	Cremona v Avellino	89-78

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/16	A	Torino	74-78
26/03/16	H	Varese	89-71
20/03/16	H	Virtus Bologna	82-74
14/03/16	A	Brindisi	89-82
06/03/16	H	Cantu	81-77
28/02/16	A	Sassari	95-94
21/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	76-82
20/02/16	H	Trento	71-69
19/02/16	A	Reggiana	94-87
13/02/16	A	Trento	80-68

Cremonalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/04/16	H	Cantu	95-85 OT
26/03/16	A	Virtus Bologna	66-73
20/03/16	H	Pesaro	77-72
13/03/16	A	Pistoia	79-72
06/03/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	74-73
28/02/16	A	Reggiana	77-86
20/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	58-90
19/02/16	H	Sassari	97-89 OT
14/02/16	H	Torino	66-50
07/02/16	H	Venezia	74-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	77%
Away	WWWWL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	65%	77%	54%
Points / game	78.9	79.5	78.2
Allowed / game	76.7	75.6	77.8
Point differential	+2.2	+3.9	+0.4
Avg total	155.6	155.2	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	23%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	75% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Cremona

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	69%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WLLWL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	69%	85%	54%
Points / game	75.6	74.4	76.8
Allowed / game	73.4	69.8	77.0
Point differential	+2.2	+4.6	-0.2
Avg total	149.0	144.2	153.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	23%	31%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	15%	15%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	26	20	6	77%	83.0	73.2	+9.8
2	Reggiana	26	19	7	73%	80.3	74.0	+6.3
3	Cremona	26	18	8	69%	75.6	73.4	+2.2
4	Avellino	26	17	9	65%	78.9	76.7	+2.2
5	Venezia	26	13	13	50%	77.9	74.8	+3.1
6	Sassari	26	13	13	50%	82.5	80.2	+2.2
7	Trento	26	13	13	50%	76.9	76.1	+0.8
8	Pistoia	26	13	13	50%	77.4	78.6	-1.2
9	Brindisi	26	11	15	42%	78.7	80.3	-1.5
10	Varese	26	11	15	42%	74.5	78.8	-4.2
11	Capo d'Orlando	26	11	15	42%	68.7	73.2	-4.5
12	Cantu	26	10	16	38%	80.0	79.9	+0.0
13	Pesaro	26	10	16	38%	75.8	78.3	-2.4
14	Caserta	26	10	16	38%	72.1	75.6	-3.5
15	Virtus Bologna	26	10	16	38%	74.6	78.7	-4.2
16	Torino	26	9	17	35%	74.7	79.8	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	22	25	18	19	84
Cremona	18	17	13	22	70

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Cremona Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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