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Avellino vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-78
21-19 22-16 22-24 20-19
Position#3
Record16-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.4
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#16
Record7-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 27
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Cremona
27 Jan 2019
AVE62
CRE70
08 Apr 2018
AVE95
CRE72
15 Feb 2018
AVE82
CRE89
15 Apr 2017
AVE85
CRE78
10 Apr 2016
AVE84
CRE70
03 May 2015
AVE84
CRE79
01 Dec 2013
AVE77
CRE72
17 Feb 2013
AVE93
CRE81
03 Jan 2012
AVE64
CRE62
19 Dec 2010
AVE83
CRE69
24 Jan 2010
AVE71
CRE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
16-26
16-17
14-13
20-24
27-21
21-25
19-21
18-12
12-10
15-18
4-13
28-24
21-16
11-23
15-19
14-21
13-19
22-16
19-16
20-15
21-21
13-20
24-22
26-15
14-21
19-18
18-11
5-24
21-17
27-23
21-30
17-24
19-21
21-14
18-19
29-13
12-25
24-20
27-28
153.4Avg total
75.5Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.976.4156.3+3.562%
Season at home (13)82.574.2156.7+8.277%
Season away (13)77.378.6155.9-1.346%
Last 10 (10)75.577.9153.4-2.430%
Last 5 (5)81.682.4164.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.571.0147.5+5.550%
vs Similar (10)74.574.6149.1-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)77.671.5149.1+6.159%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H29/01
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A05/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
117-82
117
82
+35
H12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H26/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
82-94
82
94
-12
A05/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H12/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A19/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H26/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A02/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H09/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
15-17
22-17
13-23
20-14
22-16
15-16
18-33
30-19
32-15
27-17
28-31
27-18
24-17
23-21
17-26
21-25
22-30
18-14
21-25
22-18
17-17
23-17
20-34
20-23
21-25
18-19
19-19
27-27
21-22
20-15
9-14
14-17
16-16
20-14
23-16
21-24
17-17
18-16
24-29
162.8Avg total
81.4Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.880.0157.8-2.227%
Season at home (13)80.480.3160.7+0.131%
Season away (13)75.279.7154.9-4.523%
Last 10 (10)81.481.4162.8+0.030%
Last 5 (5)78.079.8157.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.782.7157.4-8.014%
vs Similar (22)77.978.7156.6-0.832%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -5.8-5.8
AvellinoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H17/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#11
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A26/02
Lega A
Venezia
#14
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A01/03
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H08/03
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Lega A
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.473.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.235.173.3+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.974.1-1.843%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.276.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)35.035.370.3-0.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.936.475.3+2.659%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H29/01
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A05/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H12/02
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A05/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H12/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H26/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A02/04
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H09/04
Lega A
81.6Avg total
41.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.978.6+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.537.579.0+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.178.2-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.881.6+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.280.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.340.979.1-2.629%-
vs Similar (22)39.637.777.4+1.945%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.7
49.7%
51.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.7
39.8%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.510.2
70.3%
74.0%10.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
51.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.9
37.6%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
74.0%12.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLLWWLLLLL
Cremona
LWLLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#16
-0.8
Net rating
+0.8
102.8
Offensive rating
107.6
103.6
Defensive rating
106.8
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.1%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
37.6%
65.5%
Assist %
48.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 107.6Defence103.6 · 106.8Shooting53.6% · 54.5%3-point %39.8% · 37.6%Ball care21.1% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.5% · 22.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Avellino   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
18/12/16Cremona v Avellino73-86
10/04/16Avellino v Cremona84-70
20/12/15Cremona v Avellino64-58
03/05/15Avellino v Cremona84-79
04/01/15Cremona v Avellino88-81
16/03/14Cremona v Avellino83-75
01/12/13Avellino v Cremona77-72
17/02/13Avellino v Cremona93-81
21/10/12Cremona v Avellino94-83
25/04/12Cremona v Avellino83-55
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17HCantu92-86
03/04/17AVenezia75-78
26/03/17ABrindisi74-94
18/03/17HSassari77-65
12/03/17AReggiana90-89 OT
08/03/17HVenezia68-72
05/03/17HVarese75-82
01/03/17AVenezia49-53
26/02/17ABrescia87-91
17/02/17HSassari68-69
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/17HBrescia80-86
02/04/17APesaro73-63
26/03/17HSassari77-78
19/03/17AOlimpia Milano78-86
12/03/17HCapo d'Orlando82-86
05/03/17ABrindisi82-94
26/02/17HVenezia91-82
12/02/17HTorino117-82
05/02/17ACaserta75-79
29/01/17HTrento59-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%77%46%
Points / game79.982.577.3
Allowed / game76.474.278.6
Point differential+3.5+8.2-1.3
Avg total156.3156.7155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)50% (4)56% (9)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Cremona
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeWWLLL31%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game77.880.475.2
Allowed / game80.080.379.7
Point differential-2.2+0.1-4.5
Avg total157.8160.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)0% (4)17% (6)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2721678%85.879.4+6.4
2 Venezia2617965%80.877.7+3.1
3 Avellino26161062%79.976.4+3.5
4 Trento26151158%77.173.3+3.8
5 Sassari26151158%76.373.4+2.9
6 Reggiana26151158%81.580.6+1.0
7 Capo d'Orlando26141254%76.476.5-0.2
8 Pistoia26131350%76.777.0-0.3
9 Brindisi27131448%83.782.1+1.6
10 Brescia26121446%79.480.6-1.2
11 Torino26121446%81.584.7-3.2
12 Varese26111542%77.079.7-2.7
13 Caserta26101638%78.281.4-3.2
14 Cantu26101638%78.282.0-3.8
15 Pesaro2681831%74.780.3-5.7
16 Cremona2671927%77.880.0-2.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2122222085
Cremona1916241978
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