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Avellino vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-89 (OT)
22-18 18-14 13-19 21-23 8-15
Position#5
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Avellino
Italy
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2018
Meetings · Avellino v Cremona
27 Jan 2019
AVE62
CRE70
08 Apr 2018
AVE95
CRE72
15 Feb 2018
AVE82
CRE89
15 Apr 2017
AVE85
CRE78
10 Apr 2016
AVE84
CRE70
03 May 2015
AVE84
CRE79
01 Dec 2013
AVE77
CRE72
17 Feb 2013
AVE93
CRE81
03 Jan 2012
AVE64
CRE62
19 Dec 2010
AVE83
CRE69
24 Jan 2010
AVE71
CRE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#35
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A10/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H17/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
15-14
16-7
16-13
24-17
24-32
21-25
25-9
7-19
21-17
13-13
16-15
22-24
20-23
16-17
28-25
16-28
24-16
16-22
21-15
24-19
14-22
26-22
21-22
21-25
22-8
20-17
16-16
19-9
21-13
20-22
17-15
19-21
21-18
17-18
17-22
24-17
27-18
29-21
21-15
154.0Avg total
80.1Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.173.9154.0+6.250%
Last 5 (5)85.274.2159.4+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.479.8164.2+4.657%
vs Weaker (16)77.971.0148.9+6.962%
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H10/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
A17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A02/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H07/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H28/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H11/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
27-21
22-11
16-22
20-21
17-24
17-12
25-33
16-23
31-9
18-24
27-27
18-18
19-21
25-15
18-13
22-14
22-17
21-26
15-15
21-27
25-23
21-14
28-21
21-23
18-25
25-21
16-13
33-17
24-33
31-27
21-23
13-24
21-11
17-22
14-19
20-17
23-31
19-13
21-24
166.2Avg total
84.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.981.3166.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)86.485.6172.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.682.6162.2-3.025%
vs Similar (17)83.182.5165.6+0.641%
vs Weaker (5)84.677.8162.4+6.880%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
AvellinoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#35
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A10/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/02
Champions League
Pistoia
#13
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H11/02
Lega A
77.6Avg total
39.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.774.9+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.433.873.2+5.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.037.776.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.777.6+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.434.076.4+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)38.736.174.8+2.657%-
vs Weaker (16)39.635.475.1+4.262%-
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H28/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/02
Lega A
85.0Avg total
43.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.583.6+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.539.584.9+6.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.582.3-4.813%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.885.0+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.290.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.043.985.9-1.925%-
vs Similar (17)41.541.582.9+0.041%-
vs Weaker (5)44.437.882.2+6.660%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.921.3
57.7%
-42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.6
42.2%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
72.3%
-9.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.0
49.9%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.1
36.9%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
-12.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLWWLLLLWW
Cremona
LLWLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#4
+17.8
Net rating
+4.7
118.2
Offensive rating
108.9
100.4
Defensive rating
104.3
60.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.2%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.2%
3-point %
36.9%
60.8%
Assist %
48.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Avellino   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
4
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
10/12/17Cremona v Avellino86-73
15/04/17Avellino v Cremona85-78
18/12/16Cremona v Avellino73-86
10/04/16Avellino v Cremona84-70
20/12/15Cremona v Avellino64-58
03/05/15Avellino v Cremona84-79
04/01/15Cremona v Avellino88-81
16/03/14Cremona v Avellino83-75
01/12/13Avellino v Cremona77-72
17/02/13Avellino v Cremona93-81
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18HPistoia101-71
07/02/18ABonn74-79
04/02/18ATorino77-59
31/01/18HAris79-66
28/01/18HBrescia95-96 OT
23/01/18ANymburk77-81
20/01/18AReggiana86-89
17/01/18HZielona Gora57-64
13/01/18ATrento94-83
10/01/18AOostende61-51
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/18HVenezia83-85
04/02/18APistoia65-76
28/01/18HCantu109-100
22/01/18AOlimpia Milano80-82
14/01/18ACapo d'Orlando95-85
07/01/18HVarese80-72
02/01/18ABrescia80-67
26/12/17HBrindisi92-83
17/12/17ATrento79-90
10/12/17HAvellino86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Italian Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cremona
Italian Cup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Avellino22181321882
Cremona181419231589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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