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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 80-72
22-14 22-17 21-26 15-15
Position#10
Record6-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.2
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record4-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game74.6
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
81-92
81
92
-11
109avg 105
A21/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
79-68
79
68
+11
111avg 105
A29/10
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
125avg 105
H05/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A12/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
68-71
68
71
-3
94avg 105
H18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
109avg 105
A03/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H10/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-90
79
90
-11
99avg 105
A17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
81avg 105
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
80-67
80
67
+13
107avg 105
A02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
21-23
13-23
22-16
22-15
26-17
12-21
19-15
30-24
14-16
24-24
28-17
19-15
20-19
17-32
24-22
13-14
22-21
13-15
20-21
16-23
20-17
20-17
22-22
21-19
27-21
22-11
16-22
20-21
17-24
17-12
25-33
16-23
31-9
18-24
27-27
18-18
19-21
25-15
18-13
161.1Avg total
81.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.880.2161.0+0.746%
Season at home (6)82.376.8159.2+5.567%
Season away (7)79.683.0162.6-3.429%
Last 10 (10)81.979.2161.1+2.750%
Last 5 (5)83.078.4161.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.181.7157.9-5.629%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.279.7161.8+2.540%
vs Weaker (3)87.776.0163.7+11.7100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
94avg 108
A23/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
106avg 108
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
93-66
93
66
+27
128avg 108
H04/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
156avg 108
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
154avg 108
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
71-74
71
74
-3
96avg 108
A03/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
82-58
82
58
+24
114avg 108
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
90avg 108
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
14-28
17-17
23-11
18-16
26-23
9-20
28-14
31-12
18-17
28-19
16-18
16-10
14-17
11-20
20-18
16-27
22-17
8-18
15-20
15-22
12-18
19-16
25-18
17-14
24-16
26-17
15-11
15-14
19-21
17-25
15-16
14-17
24-19
17-15
19-23
15-23
18-19
23-20
26-20
150.9Avg total
75.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.974.6150.5+1.331%
Season at home (7)79.973.3153.1+6.657%
Season away (6)71.376.2147.5-4.80%
Last 10 (10)75.775.2150.9+0.530%
Last 5 (5)78.878.6157.4+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.981.5158.4-4.638%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.175.7151.8+0.450%
vs Weaker (4)81.075.0156.0+6.050%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A21/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A29/10
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/11
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A12/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H18/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/12
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H10/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
Lega A
80.7Avg total
41.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.481.0+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.338.382.6+5.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.040.479.4-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.080.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.280.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.741.981.6-2.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.539.280.7+2.245%-
vs Weaker (3)47.334.782.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A23/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H04/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A03/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/01
Lega A
72.8Avg total
36.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.878.1-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.338.980.1+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)35.340.776.0-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.772.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.636.671.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.244.682.9-6.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.738.176.8+0.656%-
vs Weaker (4)36.237.874.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.0
50.4%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.1
38.7%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.810.4
70.3%
73.0%10.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.1
49.6%
51.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.4
31.9%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.711.8
75.2%
73.0%11.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WWLWLLLWWL
Varese
LLLWLLLWWL
#10
League position
#8
+2.8
Net rating
+6.5
107.2
Offensive rating
106.5
104.4
Defensive rating
100.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.7%
3-point %
31.9%
52.5%
Assist %
49.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 106.5Defence104.4 · 100.1Shooting53.4% · 49.0%3-point %38.7% · 31.9%Ball care16.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds27.1% · 32.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cremona wins
8
Varese wins
DateGameScore
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
22/03/15Varese v Cremona86-82
30/11/14Cremona v Varese64-53
27/04/14Varese v Cremona78-70
29/12/13Cremona v Varese75-94
21/04/13Cremona v Varese88-92
30/12/12Varese v Cremona94-84
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/18ABrescia80-67
26/12/17HBrindisi92-83
17/12/17ATrento79-90
10/12/17HAvellino86-73
03/12/17AVirtus Bologna78-79
18/11/17HReggiana68-71
12/11/17ATorino80-88
05/11/17HSassari96-81
29/10/17APesaro79-68
21/10/17AVenezia81-92
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/18ABrindisi90-95 OT
26/12/17HVirtus Bologna85-90 OT
16/12/17AReggiana66-76
10/12/17HCapo d'Orlando82-58
03/12/17APesaro71-74
19/11/17HSassari61-82
12/11/17AAvellino61-65
04/11/17HTrento93-66
29/10/17HPistoia81-73
23/10/17ABrescia67-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game80.882.379.6
Allowed / game80.276.883.0
Point differential+0.7+5.5-3.4
Avg total161.0159.2162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%57%0%
Points / game75.979.971.3
Allowed / game74.673.376.2
Point differential+1.3+6.6-4.8
Avg total150.5153.1147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1310377%76.571.2+5.3
2 Avellino1310377%82.177.4+4.7
3 Brescia1410471%79.172.5+6.6
4 Venezia1410471%81.678.9+2.7
5 Torino149564%80.578.4+2.1
6 Sassari148657%83.779.7+4.0
7 Virtus Bologna137654%80.576.3+4.2
8 Cantu147750%85.985.6+0.2
9 Trento147750%76.776.7+0.0
10 Cremona136746%80.880.2+0.7
11 Reggiana145936%73.574.9-1.4
12 Capo d'Orlando145936%67.079.1-12.1
13 Varese134931%75.974.6+1.3
14 Pistoia134931%74.981.3-6.4
15 Brindisi1441029%76.181.1-5.0
16 Pesaro1431121%74.881.2-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2222211580
Varese1417261572
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