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Reggiana vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 89-86
24-22 23-20 17-16 25-28
Position#11
Record5-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game75.5
Reggiana 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#4
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.5
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Reggiana v Avellino
18 Nov 2018
REG75
AVE91
20 Jan 2018
REG89
AVE86
17 May 2017
REG79
AVE80
12 Mar 2017
REG89
AVE90
30 May 2016
REG85
AVE80
26 May 2016
REG82
AVE72
20 May 2016
REG86
AVE78
18 May 2016
REG83
AVE69
19 Feb 2016
REG87
AVE94
11 Oct 2015
REG87
AVE68
08 Mar 2015
REG96
AVE72
11 Jan 2014
REG96
AVE73
23 Dec 2012
REG91
AVE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H16/12
Lega A
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A20/12
Eurocup
Torino
#12
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A23/12
Lega A
Bayern
#3
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H27/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H30/12
Lega A
Limoges
#17
W
87-54
87
54
+33
H02/01
Eurocup
Brindisi
#14
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H07/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A10/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A13/01
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A16/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
21-19
25-17
16-15
20-18
21-22
21-20
17-6
19-25
9-21
17-27
19-14
19-25
19-23
22-13
30-21
15-18
27-17
22-21
22-24
16-18
24-13
18-12
29-11
19-22
21-19
19-12
14-24
19-13
12-19
14-20
19-16
24-17
21-27
14-25
16-16
21-12
16-24
18-16
16-17
149.9Avg total
76.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.675.5149.1-1.933%
Season at home (7)80.073.4153.4+6.643%
Season away (8)68.077.4145.4-9.425%
Last 10 (10)76.573.4149.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)74.070.6144.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.574.1142.6-5.625%
vs Similar (14)73.477.4150.9-4.043%
vs Weaker (8)80.670.2150.9+10.450%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H13/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/12
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
H20/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
97-69
97
69
+28
H27/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
A02/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H07/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A10/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H17/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-27
11-22
22-16
22-14
18-16
22-18
28-26
29-8
14-25
20-27
20-18
12-15
25-18
22-20
21-27
27-18
25-16
20-18
25-17
22-20
23-21
16-27
23-16
22-10
22-15
13-16
30-18
14-17
15-14
16-7
16-13
24-17
24-32
21-25
25-9
7-19
21-17
13-13
16-15
159.7Avg total
83.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.276.5159.7+6.780%
Season at home (7)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Season away (8)86.085.8171.8+0.262%
Last 10 (10)83.975.8159.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)78.869.0147.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)83.279.8163.1+3.459%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.670.2144.8+4.462%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +5.1+5.1
ReggianaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/12
Lega A
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#23
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A20/12
Eurocup
Torino
#12
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A23/12
Lega A
Bayern
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H27/12
Eurocup
Cantu
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/12
Lega A
Limoges
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H02/01
Eurocup
Brindisi
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A10/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A13/01
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A16/01
Eurocup
76.4Avg total
37.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.837.874.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.437.676.9+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)34.538.172.6-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.738.776.4-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.875.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.139.572.6-6.412%-
vs Similar (14)36.938.175.0-1.343%-
vs Weaker (8)40.235.675.9+4.688%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A10/12
Lega A
Besiktas
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/12
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/12
Lega A
Nanterre
#15
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/12
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A10/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/01
Champions League
76.6Avg total
40.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.275.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.935.273.1+2.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.739.478.1-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.076.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.475.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)38.838.577.3+0.241%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.735.473.1+2.362%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.2
48.4%
51.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
34.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.312.5
76.7%
73.0%12.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.921.1
60.5%
51.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.2
37.9%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws15.011.2
74.7%
73.0%11.2
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
WLLLWWWLWW
Avellino
LWWWWWLWWL
#11
League position
#4
+2.8
Net rating
+11.6
102.2
Offensive rating
113.1
99.4
Defensive rating
101.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
59.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.6%
3-point %
37.9%
54.3%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 113.1Defence99.4 · 101.5Shooting48.6% · 59.0%3-point %32.6% · 37.9%Ball care18.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds30.7% · 27.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Reggiana   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Reggiana wins
7
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
02/10/17Avellino v Reggiana66-62
17/05/17Reggiana v Avellino79-80
15/05/17Avellino v Reggiana75-67
13/05/17Avellino v Reggiana82-64
12/03/17Reggiana v Avellino89-90 OT
13/11/16Avellino v Reggiana81-86
24/09/16Avellino v Reggiana74-72
30/05/16Reggiana v Avellino85-80
28/05/16Avellino v Reggiana83-74
26/05/16Reggiana v Avellino82-72
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/18AUnics Kazan71-69
13/01/18AVirtus Bologna75-85
10/01/18ALyon-Villeurbanne64-68
07/01/18HBrindisi73-77
02/01/18HLimoges87-54
30/12/17HCantu86-80
27/12/17HBayern90-82
23/12/17ATorino64-87
20/12/17AHapoel M. Jerusalem79-66
16/12/17HVarese76-66
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/18HZielona Gora57-64
13/01/18ATrento94-83
10/01/18AOostende61-51
07/01/18HVirtus Bologna87-59
02/01/18ASassari95-88 OT
27/12/17HCapo d'Orlando97-69
20/12/17HNanterre102-106 OT
17/12/17APesaro83-78
13/12/17HBesiktas90-74
10/12/17ACremona73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWLWWL43%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%43%25%
Points / game73.680.068.0
Allowed / game75.573.477.4
Point differential-1.9+6.6-9.4
Avg total149.1153.4145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%100%62%
Points / game83.280.086.0
Allowed / game76.566.085.8
Point differential+6.7+14.0+0.2
Avg total159.7146.0171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %27%14%38%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino1512380%83.276.5+6.7
2 Brescia1511473%78.972.5+6.5
3 Olimpia Milano1511473%76.971.5+5.4
4 Venezia1511473%81.879.0+2.8
5 Torino1510567%81.379.1+2.2
6 Cantu169756%87.086.3+0.7
7 Virtus Bologna158753%79.476.9+2.5
8 Cremona158753%81.779.9+1.8
9 Sassari168850%84.681.6+2.9
10 Trento157847%77.177.9-0.7
11 Reggiana1551033%73.675.5-1.9
12 Capo d'Orlando1551033%68.280.1-11.9
13 Varese1541127%76.576.1+0.4
14 Brindisi1541127%76.781.5-4.8
15 Pesaro1541127%75.781.5-5.8
16 Pistoia1541127%73.980.8-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana2423172589
Avellino2220162886
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