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Avellino vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2018
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 101-71
24-17 27-18 29-21 21-15
Position#4
Record13-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.3
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#13
Record6-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game79.7
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Avellino v Pistoia
13 Jan 2019
AVE82
PIS78
11 Feb 2018
AVE101
PIS71
15 Oct 2016
AVE83
PIS67
09 May 2016
AVE83
PIS70
07 May 2016
AVE93
PIS76
07 Feb 2016
AVE84
PIS76
13 Apr 2015
AVE73
PIS69
26 Jan 2014
AVE75
PIS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
87-59
87
59
+28
H07/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A10/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H17/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A07/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
22-15
13-16
30-18
14-17
15-14
16-7
16-13
24-17
24-32
21-25
25-9
7-19
21-17
13-13
16-15
22-24
20-23
16-17
28-25
16-28
24-16
16-22
21-15
24-19
14-22
26-22
21-22
21-25
22-8
20-17
16-16
19-9
21-13
20-22
17-15
19-21
21-18
17-18
17-22
151.4Avg total
78.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.777.3161.0+6.372%
Season at home (8)81.969.8151.6+12.188%
Season away (10)85.183.4168.5+1.760%
Last 10 (10)78.772.7151.4+6.050%
Last 5 (5)80.476.2156.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)84.579.8164.3+4.760%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.471.0147.4+5.460%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H04/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-16
26-15
18-16
22-25
23-26
18-21
23-11
23-26
18-17
20-22
20-23
18-26
23-17
15-24
23-19
20-25
18-23
17-9
12-18
19-26
13-9
14-21
17-23
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
27-17
19-17
29-19
16-16
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
24-13
11-21
22-17
19-14
154.3Avg total
76.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.079.7154.7-4.733%
Season at home (9)79.078.1157.1+0.956%
Season away (9)71.081.2152.2-10.211%
Last 10 (10)76.977.4154.3-0.540%
Last 5 (5)75.275.4150.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.283.4157.6-9.214%
vs Similar (12)79.577.1156.6+2.458%
vs Weaker (4)80.570.5151.0+10.075%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
AvellinoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/01
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A10/01
Champions League
Trento
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A13/01
Lega A
Zielona Gora
#36
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H17/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/01
Lega A
Nymburk
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/01
Champions League
Brescia
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/01
Lega A
Aris
#39
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H31/01
Champions League
Torino
#12
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A04/02
Lega A
Bonn
#31
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/02
Champions League
75.9Avg total
39.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.136.275.2+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.633.772.3+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.538.377.8+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.775.9+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)39.336.976.1+2.453%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.935.574.3+3.460%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H03/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H09/12
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A02/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H08/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/02
Lega A
80.1Avg total
39.4Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.979.2-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.039.179.1+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.879.3-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.780.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.644.180.7-7.414%-
vs Similar (12)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (4)40.034.274.2+5.8100%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.3
57.9%
51.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.7
40.4%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.610.9
74.7%
73.0%10.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.3
49.6%
51.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.4
35.1%
34.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.8%
73.0%9.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWLLLLWWW
Pistoia
WLWLLLLLWW
#4
League position
#13
+15.1
Net rating
+0.0
115.6
Offensive rating
106.0
100.5
Defensive rating
106.0
59.0%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
40.4%
3-point %
35.1%
56.8%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 106.0Defence100.5 · 106.0Shooting59.0% · 50.8%3-point %40.4% · 35.1%Ball care18.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Avellino   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Avellino wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
22/10/17Pistoia v Avellino71-86
05/02/17Pistoia v Avellino67-59
15/10/16Avellino v Pistoia83-67
11/05/16Pistoia v Avellino90-92 OT
09/05/16Avellino v Pistoia83-70
07/05/16Avellino v Pistoia93-76
07/02/16Avellino v Pistoia84-76
25/10/15Pistoia v Avellino76-70
13/04/15Avellino v Pistoia73-69
21/12/14Pistoia v Avellino61-68
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/18ABonn74-79
04/02/18ATorino77-59
31/01/18HAris79-66
28/01/18HBrescia95-96 OT
23/01/18ANymburk77-81
20/01/18AReggiana86-89
17/01/18HZielona Gora57-64
13/01/18ATrento94-83
10/01/18AOostende61-51
07/01/18HVirtus Bologna87-59
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/18HCremona76-65
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88
21/01/18HCapo d'Orlando91-69
14/01/18ABrescia72-76
08/01/18HOlimpia Milano63-79
02/01/18AVirtus Bologna67-75
23/12/17HTrento79-86
16/12/17ASassari81-88
09/12/17HPesaro86-83
03/12/17HTorino80-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW72%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %72%88%60%
Points / game83.781.985.1
Allowed / game77.369.883.4
Point differential+6.3+12.1+1.7
Avg total161.0151.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %28%25%30%
Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%56%11%
Points / game75.079.071.0
Allowed / game79.778.181.2
Point differential-4.7+0.9-10.2
Avg total154.7157.1152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1914574%78.071.3+6.7
2 Venezia1914574%80.778.6+2.2
3 Avellino1813572%83.777.3+6.3
4 Brescia1813572%79.973.9+6.0
5 Virtus Bologna1911858%79.976.2+3.7
6 Torino1810856%79.279.8-0.6
7 Sassari1910953%83.780.3+3.4
8 Cremona1991047%82.381.2+1.1
9 Trento1991047%77.777.8-0.2
10 Reggiana1991047%75.976.2-0.3
11 Cantu1991047%87.087.7-0.7
12 Varese1871139%77.175.7+1.4
13 Pistoia1861233%75.079.7-4.7
14 Brindisi1961332%77.180.3-3.2
15 Capo d'Orlando1951426%67.681.6-14.0
16 Pesaro1841422%76.083.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino24272921101
Pistoia1718211571
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