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Avellino vs Ludwigsburg Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 82-76
22-11 21-17 21-28 18-20
Position#25
Record5-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#43
Record2-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game84.6
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
110-72
110
72
+38
147avg 119
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
112avg 119
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
173avg 119
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
79avg 119
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
141avg 119
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
no box
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
64-110
64
110
-46
83avg 119
A16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-18
26-26
28-10
24-18
33-30
26-22
22-25
18-18
22-19
20-24
20-21
21-15
15-20
22-19
26-16
14-19
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
22-18
19-28
26-19
7-23
14-20
11-23
6-16
18-20
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
21-33
11-21
20-30
12-26
164.5Avg total
80.0Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.486.6173.0-0.262%
Season at home (4)87.294.2181.5-7.050%
Season away (4)85.579.0164.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)80.084.5164.5-4.560%
Last 5 (5)68.090.0158.0-22.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.387.5166.8-8.233%
vs Similar (19)80.480.7161.2-0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)89.877.4167.2+12.4100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
L
85-93
85
93
-8
no box
H30/10
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H03/11
BBL
Ventspils
#32
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
A06/11
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
no box
A10/11
BBL
Murcia
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H13/11
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
62-52
62
52
+10
no box
H18/11
BBL
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
76-74
76
74
+2
no box
A21/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
no box
A09/12
BBL
Banvit
#15
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
H12/12
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H15/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
19-25
24-23
14-26
18-23
23-17
18-20
16-20
23-17
26-23
10-25
25-19
24-21
19-14
31-17
17-30
21-23
20-18
17-23
23-16
15-14
18-10
15-18
14-10
25-19
14-20
19-16
18-19
20-26
22-16
24-20
21-25
25-20
12-21
22-22
17-25
22-13
16-11
18-27
26-19
163.1Avg total
81.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.184.6161.8-7.525%
Season at home (4)79.889.2169.0-9.525%
Season away (4)74.580.0154.5-5.525%
Last 10 (10)81.981.2163.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.076.8155.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.484.8161.2-8.420%
vs Similar (10)81.586.3167.8-4.830%
vs Weaker (9)84.174.2158.3+9.989%
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
AvellinoLudwigsburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
Trieste
#10
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A16/12
Lega A
85.6Avg total
42.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.582.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.143.787.7+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.476.9+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.585.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.847.081.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.542.881.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (19)40.940.881.8+0.142%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)48.836.685.4+12.280%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/10
Champions League
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/11
BBL
Ventspils
#32
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/11
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A10/11
BBL
Murcia
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/11
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H18/11
BBL
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A21/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/12
BBL
Banvit
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H12/12
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#16
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H15/12
BBL
78.0Avg total
41.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.078.6+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.838.076.8+0.859%-
Last 30 away (13)40.740.280.9+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.078.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.071.8+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
vs Similar (10)40.039.379.3+0.760%-
vs Weaker (9)40.736.977.6+3.867%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.9
52.4%
52.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.2
35.3%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.211.9
73.5%
73.8%11.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.025.0
62.5%
52.8%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.0
27.3%
34.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.020.0
76.9%
73.8%20.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LLWLLWWWWW
Ludwigsburg
WLLWWWWLLL
#25
League position
#43
-1.7
Net rating
+37.0
104.8
Offensive rating
130.1
106.5
Defensive rating
93.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
40.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.3%
3-point %
27.3%
60.5%
Assist %
71.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 130.1Defence106.5 · 93.1Shooting52.6% · 54.8%3-point %35.3% · 27.3%Ball care16.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds23.1% · 40.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Ludwigsburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Avellino wins
0
Ludwigsburg wins
DateGameScore
17/10/18Ludwigsburg v Avellino77-96
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18ATrieste64-110
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
25/11/18HVenezia49-79
21/11/18HVentspils74-88
18/11/18AReggiana91-75
14/11/18ALe Mans77-74
11/11/18AVarese83-79
07/11/18HBanvit99-95
03/11/18HTrento110-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HCrailsheim Merlins82-70
12/12/18HBanvit76-88
09/12/18ABasketball Braunschweig99-100 OT
21/11/18ANizhny Novgorod76-74
18/11/18HGottingen62-52
13/11/18HMurcia81-80
10/11/18AUlm91-82
06/11/18AVentspils92-93 OT
03/11/18Hs.Oliver Wurzburg75-80
30/10/18HAnwil Wloclawek85-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Champions League 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game86.487.285.5
Allowed / game86.694.279.0
Point differential-0.2-7.0+6.5
Avg total173.0181.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game77.179.874.5
Allowed / game84.689.280.0
Point differential-7.5-9.5-5.5
Avg total161.8169.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife98189%82.767.4+15.2
2 AEK Athens98189%81.075.3+5.7
3 Virtus Bologna87188%87.476.2+11.1
4 Murcia119282%75.968.5+7.4
5 Hapoel M. Jerusalem97278%87.076.9+10.1
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Antwerp Giants139469%83.577.8+5.6
9 Nizhny Novgorod1510567%79.671.9+7.7
10 Hapoel Holon96367%83.278.7+4.6
11 Venezia96367%84.280.2+4.0
12 Bamberg96367%84.380.8+3.6
13 Strasbourg96367%77.775.0+2.7
14 Promitheas96367%81.980.8+1.1
15 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
16 Avellino85362%86.486.6-0.2
17 Banvit95456%81.675.6+6.0
18 PAOK95456%79.076.4+2.6
19 Nanterre116555%83.072.7+10.3
20 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
21 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
22 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
23 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
24 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
25 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
26 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
27 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
28 Fribourg Olympic157847%79.783.1-3.5
29 Bayreuth115645%78.274.0+4.2
30 Neptunas94544%83.683.9-0.3
31 Anwil Wloclawek94544%81.682.7-1.1
32 Bonn94544%85.187.0-1.9
33 Besiktas94544%76.978.9-2.0
34 Oostende83538%74.681.9-7.2
35 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
36 Lietkabelis93633%75.277.9-2.7
37 Le Mans93633%72.176.6-4.4
38 Ventspils93633%79.284.2-5.0
39 Fuenlabrada93633%77.785.2-7.6
40 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
41 Ludwigsburg82625%77.184.6-7.5
42 Dijon92722%76.081.8-5.8
43 Nymburk92722%76.983.4-6.6
44 Petrol Olimpija91811%75.183.7-8.6
45 Opava91811%72.692.1-19.6
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 55 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2221211882
Ludwigsburg1117282076
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