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Trieste vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 110-64
33-21 21-11 30-20 26-12
Position#10
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game85.2
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record6-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 10
Domestic2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H21/10
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A28/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H04/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-103
77
103
-26
A12/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
H25/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A09/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
21-16
16-12
19-20
19-27
20-24
26-14
23-27
22-24
15-22
24-15
13-25
24-19
18-25
27-20
21-22
17-21
23-25
15-21
11-11
31-21
21-14
23-15
21-29
21-22
16-24
16-25
24-32
15-23
22-15
23-12
25-24
24-21
26-24
39-15
13-22
18-19
21-21
22-21
17-26
165.8Avg total
82.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.085.2169.2-1.244%
Season at home (5)92.282.6174.8+9.680%
Season away (4)73.888.5162.2-14.80%
Last 10 (10)82.883.0165.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)87.685.0172.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.779.7145.3-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.876.6154.4+1.138%
vs Weaker (19)83.975.6159.5+8.384%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
110-72
110
72
+38
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
74-88
74
88
-14
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
71-92
71
92
-21
H12/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
19-8
24-19
12-17
32-18
26-26
28-10
24-18
33-30
26-22
22-25
18-18
22-19
20-24
20-21
21-15
15-20
22-19
26-16
14-19
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
22-18
19-28
26-19
7-23
14-20
11-23
6-16
18-20
25-25
21-24
24-16
12-16
16-24
14-19
24-30
17-19
161.2Avg total
80.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.381.2166.6+4.167%
Season at home (5)85.881.8167.6+4.060%
Season away (4)84.880.5165.2+4.275%
Last 10 (10)80.580.7161.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)73.483.0156.4-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.387.5166.8-8.233%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.078.7159.7+2.358%
vs Weaker (5)89.877.4167.2+12.4100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -3.4-3.4
TriesteAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H04/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A12/11
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H17/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H25/11
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/12
Lega A
83.2Avg total
41.0Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.578.9+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.338.080.3+4.353%-
Last 30 away (13)38.039.277.2-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.283.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.883.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.138.278.4+1.938%-
vs Weaker (19)41.337.778.9+3.658%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/11
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
H25/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/12
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/12
Champions League
83.9Avg total
42.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.881.7+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.642.986.5+0.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.036.276.2+3.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.783.9+0.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.542.881.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.239.680.8+1.647%-
vs Weaker (5)48.836.685.4+12.280%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.4
51.5%
51.0%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.9
39.4%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
72.9%
72.3%12.6
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.323.5
54.3%
51.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.1
34.2%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
72.3%11.6
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWWLWLWLLW
Avellino
LWLLWWWWWL
#10
League position
#9
-1.1
Net rating
+2.4
107.6
Offensive rating
105.7
108.7
Defensive rating
103.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
34.2%
55.7%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 105.7Defence108.7 · 103.3Shooting54.7% · 53.2%3-point %39.4% · 34.2%Ball care19.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 22.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Trieste   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
0
Avellino wins
No previous meetings.
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/18ACremona78-87
25/11/18HCantu102-82
17/11/18HTrento85-74
12/11/18APesaro77-103
04/11/18HPistoia96-79
28/10/18AVarese66-78
21/10/18HBrescia90-86
13/10/18ATorino74-86
07/10/18HVirtus Bologna88-92
16/06/18ACasale Monferrato72-63
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/18HNizhny Novgorod71-92
09/12/18HPesaro82-81
25/11/18HVenezia49-79
21/11/18HVentspils74-88
18/11/18AReggiana91-75
14/11/18ALe Mans77-74
11/11/18AVarese83-79
07/11/18HBanvit99-95
03/11/18HTrento110-72
30/10/18AMurcia69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game84.092.273.8
Allowed / game85.282.688.5
Point differential-1.2+9.6-14.8
Avg total169.2174.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game85.385.884.8
Allowed / game81.281.880.5
Point differential+4.1+4.0+4.2
Avg total166.6167.6165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano10100100%95.681.8+13.8
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Cremona107370%89.483.7+5.7
4 Varese107370%76.972.6+4.3
5 Avellino96367%85.381.2+4.1
6 Brindisi105550%76.776.0+0.7
7 Virtus Bologna105550%82.185.0-2.9
8 Trieste94544%84.085.2-1.2
9 Sassari104640%85.984.2+1.7
10 Brescia104640%78.176.8+1.3
11 Pesaro104640%85.089.7-4.7
12 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
13 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
14 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
15 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
16 Pistoia103730%79.690.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste33213026110
Avellino2111201264
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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