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Avellino vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 81-86
16-18 17-19 20-28 28-21
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game74.7
Avellino
Italy
vs
Reggiana 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game78.7
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Reggiana
17 Mar 2019
AVE91
REG59
02 Oct 2017
AVE66
REG62
15 May 2017
AVE75
REG67
13 May 2017
AVE82
REG64
13 Nov 2016
AVE81
REG86
24 Sep 2016
AVE74
REG72
28 May 2016
AVE83
REG74
24 May 2016
AVE97
REG54
22 May 2016
AVE89
REG75
23 Jan 2016
AVE75
REG67
15 Nov 2014
AVE88
REG94
11 May 2014
AVE82
REG74
14 Apr 2013
AVE69
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
117avg 111
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
108avg 111
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
115avg 111
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
85avg 111
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
133avg 111
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
no box
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H08/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
24-16
17-23
19-20
21-24
17-16
16-26
27-21
22-25
13-18
14-12
34-12
22-19
16-15
19-14
27-22
14-15
13-13
18-10
15-17
18-18
11-22
22-13
21-16
25-21
22-11
21-19
24-28
18-18
19-21
27-21
20-23
16-19
20-16
17-18
15-15
22-15
22-26
11-19
17-17
154.0Avg total
79.3Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.274.7154.8+5.583%
Season at home (3)87.076.3163.3+10.7100%
Season away (3)73.373.0146.3+0.367%
Last 10 (10)79.374.7154.0+4.680%
Last 5 (5)79.877.0156.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.476.5156.9+3.950%
vs Weaker (16)83.576.3159.8+7.288%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-97
73
97
-24
no box
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
H13/06
Lega A
Avellino
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Caserta
#13
L
75-78
75
78
-3
92avg 108
A02/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
112avg 108
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
106avg 108
A16/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
112avg 108
H23/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
107avg 108
A30/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
90-77
90
77
+13
121avg 108
H06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
20-17
18-16
22-21
8-29
23-23
29-22
13-23
19-21
19-8
12-16
20-29
22-19
19-21
17-11
14-23
14-18
23-22
26-20
12-18
13-16
17-26
29-15
27-23
18-21
24-17
18-23
22-17
19-16
21-19
25-17
20-27
22-18
22-30
16-16
24-16
27-19
28-19
27-17
8-22
159.1Avg total
79.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.778.7162.3+5.083%
Season at home (3)87.078.7165.7+8.3100%
Season away (3)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)79.879.3159.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)85.478.8164.2+6.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.883.0160.8-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.779.5161.2+2.269%
vs Weaker (5)84.477.0161.4+7.480%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
AvellinoReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
Champions League
Varese
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/11
Lega A
Oostende
#35
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H08/11
Champions League
75.3Avg total
38.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.378.2+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.337.080.3+6.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.237.675.9+0.636%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.275.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.936.874.7+1.233%-
vs Weaker (16)43.737.180.8+6.675%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H13/06
Lega A
Avellino
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Caserta
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A02/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H06/11
Lega A
80.0Avg total
39.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.180.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.537.879.2+3.875%-
Last 30 away (14)39.942.882.6-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.180.0-0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.282.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.042.882.8-2.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.439.378.8+0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)46.038.484.4+7.660%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.6
38.7%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
74.0%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.8
57.3%
51.1%41.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.8
36.3%
35.7%26.5
🏀 Free throws19.014.5
76.3%
74.0%14.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
LWWWWWWWLW
Reggiana
WWWWWLLLLW
#3
League position
#6
+11.1
Net rating
+6.7
109.7
Offensive rating
110.8
98.6
Defensive rating
104.1
56.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.7%
3-point %
36.3%
70.9%
Assist %
50.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 110.8Defence98.6 · 104.1Shooting56.2% · 56.2%3-point %38.7% · 36.3%Ball care19.0% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 27.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Avellino   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
4
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
24/09/16Avellino v Reggiana74-72
30/05/16Reggiana v Avellino85-80
28/05/16Avellino v Reggiana83-74
26/05/16Reggiana v Avellino82-72
24/05/16Avellino v Reggiana97-54
22/05/16Avellino v Reggiana89-75
20/05/16Reggiana v Avellino86-78
18/05/16Reggiana v Avellino83-69
19/02/16Reggiana v Avellino87-94
23/01/16Avellino v Reggiana75-67
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/16HOostende72-77
06/11/16AVarese79-77 OT
01/11/16ACibona84-83
30/10/16HBrescia92-79
26/10/16HStrasbourg72-69
23/10/16APesaro60-55
18/10/16AMega Bemax84-70
15/10/16HPistoia83-67
09/10/16AOlimpia Milano81-87
02/10/16HTorino86-83
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/16HCantu90-77
30/10/16ATrento84-80
23/10/16HVenezia85-79
16/10/16ABrindisi82-78
08/10/16HSassari86-80
02/10/16ACaserta75-78
24/09/16AAvellino72-74
13/06/16HOlimpia Milano70-74
11/06/16AOlimpia Milano73-97
09/06/16HOlimpia Milano81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game80.287.073.3
Allowed / game74.776.373.0
Point differential+5.5+10.7+0.3
Avg total154.8163.3146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.787.080.3
Allowed / game78.778.778.7
Point differential+5.0+8.3+1.7
Avg total162.3165.7159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%89.079.0+10.0
2 Avellino65183%80.274.7+5.5
3 Reggiana65183%83.778.7+5.0
4 Sassari64267%79.774.7+5.0
5 Caserta64267%80.880.3+0.5
6 Capo d'Orlando63350%81.076.5+4.5
7 Trento63350%76.574.8+1.7
8 Brindisi63350%80.078.5+1.5
9 Venezia63350%80.079.8+0.2
10 Pistoia62433%75.576.3-0.8
11 Torino62433%84.087.3-3.3
12 Varese62433%78.081.3-3.3
13 Pesaro62433%70.274.5-4.3
14 Cantu62433%74.283.0-8.8
15 Cremona61517%78.383.7-5.3
16 Brescia61517%76.784.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1617202881
Reggiana1819282186
← all games of the day
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