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Varese vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 77-79 (OT)
19-16 16-20 18-17 15-15 9-11
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.8
Varese
Italy
vs
Avellino 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.2
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Avellino
11 Nov 2018
VAR79
AVE83
18 Mar 2018
VAR82
AVE75
06 Nov 2016
VAR77
AVE79
07 Dec 2015
VAR81
AVE93
10 May 2015
VAR66
AVE73
03 Nov 2013
VAR85
AVE68
06 Oct 2012
VAR91
AVE83
11 Jan 2012
VAR94
AVE78
30 Jan 2011
VAR83
AVE85
08 Nov 2009
VAR74
AVE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Benfica
#25
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
101avg 109
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
93-74
93
74
+19
130avg 109
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
95avg 109
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
no box
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
no box
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
64-97
64
97
-33
no box
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
H01/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
16-13
13-14
21-17
23-20
16-19
14-15
17-18
15-21
13-17
19-23
25-17
20-23
23-12
27-19
23-20
16-22
17-22
19-18
19-17
16-25
23-19
22-14
22-24
15-22
18-18
19-16
24-20
17-24
14-29
17-14
12-27
14-20
14-22
15-28
21-27
12-17
23-21
20-14
15-23
155.3Avg total
74.9Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.281.8160.0-3.640%
Season at home (2)92.077.5169.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)69.084.7153.7-15.70%
Last 10 (10)74.980.4155.3-5.540%
Last 5 (5)73.685.8159.4-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.178.2151.3-5.238%
vs Similar (17)82.480.3162.6+2.165%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
117avg 111
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
108avg 111
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
115avg 111
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
85avg 111
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
W
72-69
72
69
+3
no box
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
133avg 111
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A01/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
21-19
11-17
23-14
19-23
15-21
17-23
21-23
26-24
24-16
17-23
19-20
21-24
17-16
16-26
27-21
22-25
13-18
14-12
34-12
22-19
16-15
19-14
27-22
14-15
13-13
18-10
15-17
18-18
11-22
22-13
21-16
25-21
22-11
21-19
24-28
18-18
19-21
27-21
20-23
154.3Avg total
78.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.474.2154.6+6.280%
Season at home (3)87.076.3163.3+10.7100%
Season away (2)70.571.0141.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.875.5154.3+3.380%
Last 5 (5)78.471.2149.6+7.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.090.0162.0-18.00%
vs Similar (14)81.577.8159.3+3.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)84.676.2160.9+8.493%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
VareseAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A30/10
Lega A
PAOK
#22
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H01/11
Champions League
76.4Avg total
35.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.578.8-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.838.679.4+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)35.143.078.1-7.98%-
Last 10 (10)35.041.476.4-6.410%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.476.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.242.578.8-6.323%-
vs Similar (17)39.939.078.9+0.947%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A18/10
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Strasbourg
#9
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/10
Champions League
Brescia
#11
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H30/10
Lega A
Cibona
#37
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A01/11
Champions League
75.6Avg total
37.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.679.1+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.779.9+6.569%-
Last 30 away (14)39.438.778.1+0.736%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.175.6-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.634.670.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)39.337.676.9+1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.236.981.1+7.371%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.5
46.2%
51.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.9%
35.7%24.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.1%
74.0%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.0
54.9%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.6
38.7%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
74.0%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/5 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLWWLWLLW
Avellino
WWWWWWLWLW
#10
League position
#3
-10.6
Net rating
+11.1
97.1
Offensive rating
109.7
107.6
Defensive rating
98.6
49.0%
Effective FG%
56.2%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
21.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
38.7%
59.8%
Assist %
70.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 109.7Defence107.6 · 98.6Shooting49.0% · 56.2%3-point %35.9% · 38.7%Ball care21.2% · 19.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
26/03/16Avellino v Varese89-71
07/12/15Varese v Avellino81-93
10/05/15Varese v Avellino66-73
11/01/15Avellino v Varese67-91
16/02/14Avellino v Varese83-63
03/11/13Varese v Avellino85-68
27/01/13Avellino v Varese82-83 OT
06/10/12Varese v Avellino91-83
02/05/12Avellino v Varese78-77
11/01/12Varese v Avellino94-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/16HPAOK70-75
30/10/16APistoia64-97
25/10/16ANeptunas60-94
23/10/16HBrindisi91-81 OT
19/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne83-82
16/10/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
09/10/16HCaserta93-74
03/10/16ASassari72-78
29/09/16HBenfica70-72
27/09/16ABenfica75-72
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/16ACibona84-83
30/10/16HBrescia92-79
26/10/16HStrasbourg72-69
23/10/16APesaro60-55
18/10/16AMega Bemax84-70
15/10/16HPistoia83-67
09/10/16AOlimpia Milano81-87
02/10/16HTorino86-83
25/09/16HOlimpia Milano72-90
24/09/16HReggiana74-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game78.292.069.0
Allowed / game81.877.584.7
Point differential-3.6+14.5-15.7
Avg total160.0169.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%50%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game80.487.070.5
Allowed / game74.276.371.0
Point differential+6.2+10.7-0.5
Avg total154.6163.3141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%89.079.0+10.0
2 Avellino54180%80.474.2+6.2
3 Reggiana54180%82.479.0+3.4
4 Sassari64267%79.774.7+5.0
5 Trento53260%78.473.0+5.4
6 Venezia53260%80.479.0+1.4
7 Caserta53260%80.283.0-2.8
8 Capo d'Orlando63350%81.076.5+4.5
9 Brindisi52340%79.280.4-1.2
10 Varese52340%78.281.8-3.6
11 Cantu52340%73.681.6-8.0
12 Pistoia62433%75.576.3-0.8
13 Torino62433%84.087.3-3.3
14 Cremona51420%80.283.6-3.4
15 Pesaro51420%67.473.8-6.4
16 Brescia61517%76.784.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Varese19161815977
Avellino162017151179
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