PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 75-67
8-12 22-27 21-14 24-14
Position#3
Record20-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.8
Avellino 🏆
Italy
vs
Reggiana
Italy
Position#6
Record17-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game81.5
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Avellino v Reggiana
17 Mar 2019
AVE91
REG59
02 Oct 2017
AVE66
REG62
15 May 2017
AVE75
REG67
13 May 2017
AVE82
REG64
13 Nov 2016
AVE81
REG86
24 Sep 2016
AVE74
REG72
28 May 2016
AVE83
REG74
24 May 2016
AVE97
REG54
22 May 2016
AVE89
REG75
23 Jan 2016
AVE75
REG67
15 Nov 2014
AVE88
REG94
11 May 2014
AVE82
REG74
14 Apr 2013
AVE69
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
no box
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
111avg 109
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
96avg 109
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
75-78
75
78
-3
94avg 109
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
92-86
92
86
+6
127avg 109
H09/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
118avg 109
H15/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
107avg 109
A23/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
112avg 109
H30/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
98avg 109
A07/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
82-64
82
64
+18
121avg 109
H13/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
21-21
13-20
24-22
26-15
14-21
19-18
18-11
5-24
21-17
27-23
21-30
17-24
19-21
21-14
18-19
29-13
12-25
24-20
27-28
21-19
22-16
22-24
20-19
18-19
11-20
25-17
22-12
8-19
26-15
23-17
22-24
17-24
17-22
27-7
14-24
17-10
21-15
19-21
25-18
157.9Avg total
80.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.875.8155.6+4.065%
Season at home (16)82.473.9156.2+8.581%
Season away (15)77.177.8154.9-0.747%
Last 10 (10)80.577.4157.9+3.170%
Last 5 (5)79.472.4151.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.066.0144.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.873.4148.2+1.450%
vs Weaker (18)77.272.2149.4+4.961%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
H12/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
117avg 107
A19/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
139avg 107
H27/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
62-59
62
59
+3
88avg 107
A02/04
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
73-68
73
68
+5
99avg 107
H09/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
91-80
91
80
+11
123avg 107
H15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
105avg 107
A23/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
106avg 107
H30/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
91-101
91
101
-10
121avg 107
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
88avg 107
A13/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
21-21
20-13
22-24
27-23
17-22
29-15
18-21
36-17
16-18
30-16
21-19
15-14
19-16
15-15
13-14
18-7
20-21
20-17
15-23
17-29
25-19
23-19
26-13
19-28
18-19
27-25
15-27
21-14
25-23
15-20
16-11
24-20
23-33
24-18
20-30
10-17
15-21
21-19
18-25
161.8Avg total
82.0Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.481.5162.8-0.155%
Season at home (15)85.179.3164.3+5.873%
Season away (16)77.983.5161.4-5.638%
Last 10 (10)82.079.8161.8+2.260%
Last 5 (5)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.688.0170.6-5.440%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.080.0159.9-0.050%
vs Weaker (4)87.884.0171.8+3.875%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
AvellinoReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H09/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A23/04
Lega A
Caserta
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/04
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/05
Lega A
73.7Avg total
36.2Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.136.473.5+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.834.773.5+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.338.273.5-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.573.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.871.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.044.079.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.736.070.7-1.350%-
vs Weaker (18)38.436.174.6+2.356%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H12/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H27/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A02/04
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H09/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/04
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A13/05
Lega A
80.3Avg total
40.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.381.8+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.338.281.5+5.180%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.482.0-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.280.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.684.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.044.087.0-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.039.479.3+0.655%-
vs Weaker (4)48.842.291.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.417.2
54.8%
51.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.9
39.8%
35.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.911.5
72.3%
74.0%11.5
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.1
50.8%
51.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.7
36.5%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLWWWWLLWW
Reggiana
LLWLWWWWWL
#3
League position
#6
+3.2
Net rating
+1.6
109.8
Offensive rating
110.1
106.6
Defensive rating
108.4
57.1%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.8%
3-point %
36.5%
70.8%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 110.1Defence106.6 · 108.4Shooting57.1% · 52.4%3-point %39.8% · 36.5%Ball care20.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Avellino   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
4
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
13/05/17Avellino v Reggiana82-64
12/03/17Reggiana v Avellino89-90 OT
13/11/16Avellino v Reggiana81-86
24/09/16Avellino v Reggiana74-72
30/05/16Reggiana v Avellino85-80
28/05/16Avellino v Reggiana83-74
26/05/16Reggiana v Avellino82-72
24/05/16Avellino v Reggiana97-54
22/05/16Avellino v Reggiana89-75
20/05/16Reggiana v Avellino86-78
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/17HReggiana82-64
07/05/17ATrento75-77
30/04/17HCaserta79-75
23/04/17ACapo d'Orlando76-68
15/04/17HCremona85-78
09/04/17HCantu92-86
03/04/17AVenezia75-78
26/03/17ABrindisi74-94
18/03/17HSassari77-65
12/03/17AReggiana90-89 OT
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/17AAvellino64-82
07/05/17ACremona91-101
30/04/17HPistoia77-68
23/04/17AOlimpia Milano79-99
15/04/17HTorino91-80
09/04/17HVarese73-68
02/04/17ACapo d'Orlando62-59
27/03/17HBrescia103-70
19/03/17APesaro91-81
12/03/17HAvellino89-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%81%47%
Points / game79.882.477.1
Allowed / game75.873.977.8
Point differential+4.0+8.5-0.7
Avg total155.6156.2154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %10%6%13%
Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeLWWWW73%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%73%38%
Points / game81.485.177.9
Allowed / game81.579.383.5
Point differential-0.1+5.8-5.6
Avg total162.8164.3161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (4)71% (7)
Overtime %6%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3224875%86.279.8+6.4
2 Venezia3223972%81.377.2+4.2
3 Avellino31201165%79.875.8+4.0
4 Trento32201262%77.872.6+5.2
5 Reggiana31171455%81.481.5-0.1
6 Sassari32171553%75.873.7+2.1
7 Capo d'Orlando32161650%76.977.8-0.9
8 Pistoia32151747%76.476.7-0.3
9 Brindisi30141647%83.282.2+1.0
10 Varese30131743%77.380.1-2.8
11 Brescia30131743%78.781.8-3.1
12 Torino30131743%81.885.0-3.2
13 Caserta30121840%77.981.0-3.1
14 Cantu30111937%77.882.5-4.7
15 Pesaro30102033%76.280.7-4.5
16 Cremona3092130%79.080.5-1.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino822212475
Reggiana1227141467
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.