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Pesaro vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 55-60
15-14 13-13 10-18 17-15
Position#15
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game74.3
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Avellino 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pesaro v Avellino
31 Mar 2019
PES91
AVE89
17 Dec 2017
PES78
AVE83
23 Oct 2016
PES55
AVE60
18 Jan 2016
PES82
AVE88
08 Feb 2015
PES62
AVE77
19 Jan 2014
PES88
AVE82
05 May 2013
PES80
AVE95
27 Nov 2011
PES72
AVE82
09 Jan 2011
PES69
AVE80
31 Jan 2010
PES94
AVE86
25 Apr 2009
PES89
AVE67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A20/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
A03/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A17/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H24/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
66-83
66
83
-17
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A09/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A16/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
19-21
23-26
10-18
16-18
16-17
19-18
20-19
24-14
15-31
22-22
26-20
17-20
17-15
18-9
18-21
17-23
27-16
14-22
20-21
26-25
24-22
22-22
24-21
12-17
21-20
18-24
15-22
20-14
19-9
12-18
25-22
19-21
21-20
21-12
18-30
25-23
15-18
10-20
18-16
156.4Avg total
77.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.374.3148.7+0.033%
Season at home (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)73.580.0153.5-6.50%
Last 10 (10)77.678.8156.4-1.240%
Last 5 (5)77.079.2156.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.081.4162.4-0.457%
vs Similar (23)74.476.9151.3-2.539%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
W
97-54
97
54
+43
H24/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H28/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A30/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-10
16-13
29-14
22-17
13-18
25-21
12-18
22-25
21-17
14-18
25-19
23-20
17-24
19-18
19-19
25-24
19-22
21-19
11-17
23-14
19-23
15-21
17-23
21-23
26-24
24-16
17-23
19-20
21-24
17-16
16-26
27-21
22-25
13-18
14-12
34-12
22-19
16-15
19-14
27-22
157.6Avg total
81.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.379.0162.3+4.367%
Season at home (2)84.575.0159.5+9.5100%
Season away (1)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)81.276.4157.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)81.279.4160.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.086.0160.0-12.00%
vs Similar (15)81.377.1158.5+4.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.377.3163.5+9.091%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
PesaroAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/03
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H26/03
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A03/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H10/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A17/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H24/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H02/10
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A16/10
Lega A
76.6Avg total
39.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.777.7+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.1+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.539.979.3-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.676.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.878.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.640.980.4-1.343%-
vs Similar (23)38.838.076.9+0.839%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#2
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H24/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H28/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H25/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Torino
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H02/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A09/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/10
Lega A
Mega Bemax
#40
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A18/10
Champions League
77.1Avg total
39.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.179.7+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.879.6+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.779.8+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.177.1+0.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.043.578.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (15)38.937.376.2+1.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.238.084.2+8.282%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.023.0
48.9%
51.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.05.7
28.3%
35.7%17.0
🏀 Free throws15.010.7
71.1%
74.0%10.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.3
54.5%
51.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.0
41.1%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.1%
74.0%12.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLWLWWLL
Avellino
WWLWLWLWLW
#15
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
+7.6
98.3
Offensive rating
111.2
98.3
Defensive rating
103.6
47.0%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.3%
3-point %
41.1%
44.2%
Assist %
71.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 111.2Defence98.3 · 103.6Shooting47.0% · 57.3%3-point %28.3% · 41.1%Ball care17.2% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 26.5%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
18/01/16Pesaro v Avellino82-88
04/10/15Avellino v Pesaro77-73
08/02/15Pesaro v Avellino62-77
26/10/14Avellino v Pesaro69-60
19/01/14Pesaro v Avellino88-82
13/10/13Avellino v Pesaro77-80
05/05/13Pesaro v Avellino80-95
13/01/13Avellino v Pesaro71-78
17/03/12Avellino v Pesaro81-89
27/11/11Pesaro v Avellino72-82
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/16ACantu68-77
09/10/16ATorino79-83
02/10/16HBrescia76-63
04/05/16ATorino66-83
24/04/16HCantu96-90
17/04/16AOlimpia Milano78-82
10/04/16HCapo d'Orlando70-65
03/04/16AVenezia100-96 OT
26/03/16HCaserta71-72
20/03/16ACremona72-77
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/16AMega Bemax84-70
15/10/16HPistoia83-67
09/10/16AOlimpia Milano81-87
02/10/16HTorino86-83
25/09/16HOlimpia Milano72-90
24/09/16HReggiana74-72
30/05/16AReggiana80-85
28/05/16HReggiana83-74
26/05/16AReggiana72-82
24/05/16HReggiana97-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game74.376.073.5
Allowed / game74.363.080.0
Point differential+0.0+13.0-6.5
Avg total148.7139.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game83.384.581.0
Allowed / game79.075.087.0
Point differential+4.3+9.5-6.0
Avg total162.3159.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%83.574.2+9.2
2 Sassari32167%84.777.0+7.7
3 Trento32167%75.768.3+7.3
4 Avellino32167%83.379.0+4.3
5 Reggiana32167%81.078.7+2.3
6 Venezia32167%80.779.0+1.7
7 Caserta32167%82.383.3-1.0
8 Varese31233%78.777.0+1.7
9 Pesaro31233%74.374.3+0.0
10 Brindisi31233%76.077.3-1.3
11 Cremona31233%82.084.0-2.0
12 Capo d'Orlando31233%74.777.3-2.7
13 Torino31233%81.085.0-4.0
14 Cantu31233%75.081.0-6.0
15 Pistoia31233%74.383.7-9.3
16 Brescia41325%73.081.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1513101755
Avellino1413181560
← all games of the day
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