PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Avellino vs Ventspils Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-88
22-18 19-28 26-19 7-23
Position#25
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#32
Record2-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game88.8
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ventspils winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
96-77
96
77
+19
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H23/10
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
110-72
110
72
+38
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
23-16
24-23
25-23
25-26
21-22
24-18
20-30
28-26
23-23
24-24
19-21
13-20
21-19
21-15
22-20
14-28
19-8
24-19
12-17
32-18
26-26
28-10
24-18
33-30
26-22
22-25
18-18
22-19
20-24
20-21
21-15
15-20
22-19
26-16
14-19
34-12
17-10
22-23
18-30
171.3Avg total
89.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.085.5176.5+5.583%
Season at home (2)102.098.5200.5+3.5100%
Season away (4)85.579.0164.5+6.575%
Last 10 (10)89.781.6171.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)92.079.0171.0+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)89.088.5177.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.778.9159.6+1.855%
vs Weaker (6)91.274.3165.5+16.8100%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A16/10
Champions League
BK Liepaja
#14
W
110-66
110
66
+44
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Banvit
#15
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H23/10
Champions League
Rapla
#9
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#31
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A31/10
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H06/11
Champions League
Valga
#13
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H14/11
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
21-18
20-28
27-25
33-21
27-14
32-16
18-15
23-20
27-23
17-15
19-22
35-17
20-19
25-12
20-13
19-21
16-25
20-15
21-30
18-14
22-13
23-24
15-9
17-23
23-26
25-10
19-25
17-22
24-13
26-18
15-12
17-19
12-20
25-18
21-23
15-18
26-34
26-18
28-15
165.1Avg total
88.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.288.8171.0-6.733%
Season at home (4)83.087.8170.8-4.850%
Season away (2)80.591.0171.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)88.077.1165.1+10.970%
Last 5 (5)84.676.4161.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.384.5166.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (16)90.675.1165.8+15.588%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
AvellinoVentspils
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/10
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/10
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/10
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/11
Lega A
Banvit
#15
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H07/11
Champions League
Varese
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/11
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
A18/11
Lega A
86.1Avg total
45.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.980.9+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.440.186.5+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.635.875.4+3.853%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.386.1+5.550%-
Last 5 (5)49.440.089.4+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.042.886.8+1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.638.579.2+2.155%-
vs Weaker (6)50.232.782.8+17.5100%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A16/10
Champions League
BK Liepaja
#14
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Banvit
#15
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H23/10
Champions League
Rapla
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Le Mans
#31
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A31/10
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#11
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ludwigsburg
#43
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H06/11
Champions League
Valga
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H14/11
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#12
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
82.9Avg total
42.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.082.8+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.840.484.2+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)43.737.781.3+6.073%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.082.9+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.039.278.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.142.986.0+0.260%-
vs Weaker (16)45.336.681.9+8.881%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.924.1
57.5%
52.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.3
36.9%
34.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.112.7
78.9%
73.8%12.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Avellino wins
0
Ventspils wins
No previous meetings.
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18AReggiana91-75
14/11/18ALe Mans77-74
11/11/18AVarese83-79
07/11/18HBanvit99-95
03/11/18HTrento110-72
30/10/18AMurcia69-72
27/10/18ABrescia77-74
23/10/18HAnwil Wloclawek105-102 OT
21/10/18HVirtus Bologna90-96
17/10/18ALudwigsburg96-77
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18HValmiera Glass Via95-85
14/11/18HNizhny Novgorod75-80
09/11/18AValga82-65
06/11/18HLudwigsburg93-92 OT
03/11/18HLatvijas Universitate78-60
31/10/18ALe Mans76-91
27/10/18HRapla100-61
23/10/18HBanvit86-80
20/10/18ABK Liepaja110-66
16/10/18AMurcia85-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Champions League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game91.0102.085.5
Allowed / game85.598.579.0
Point differential+5.5+3.5+6.5
Avg total176.5200.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %33%50%25%
Ventspils
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game82.283.080.5
Allowed / game88.887.891.0
Point differential-6.7-4.8-10.5
Avg total171.0170.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife660100%83.563.5+20.0
2 Virtus Bologna770100%87.774.6+13.1
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem76186%88.077.0+11.0
4 AEK Athens76186%80.976.0+4.9
5 Avellino65183%91.085.5+5.5
6 Murcia97278%76.469.1+7.3
7 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
8 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
9 Venezia75271%87.482.3+5.1
10 Promitheas75271%81.980.4+1.4
11 Hapoel Holon64267%83.879.7+4.2
12 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
13 Antwerp Giants117464%83.079.1+3.9
14 Nanterre85362%83.171.9+11.2
15 Nizhny Novgorod138562%78.272.7+5.5
16 Banvit74357%82.174.1+8.0
17 Bamberg74357%83.380.7+2.6
18 Strasbourg74357%76.375.1+1.1
19 PAOK63350%81.875.5+6.3
20 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
21 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
22 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
23 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
24 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
25 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
26 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
27 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
28 Fribourg Olympic136746%79.182.8-3.7
29 Bayreuth94544%77.172.9+4.2
30 Lietkabelis73443%77.676.3+1.3
31 Anwil Wloclawek73443%84.083.9+0.1
32 Neptunas73443%84.984.7+0.1
33 Besiktas73443%77.378.6-1.3
34 Bonn73443%82.986.7-3.9
35 Fuenlabrada73443%79.484.3-4.9
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Ventspils62433%82.288.8-6.7
38 Nymburk72529%76.983.1-6.3
39 Le Mans72529%70.476.9-6.4
40 Ludwigsburg72529%77.384.1-6.9
41 Oostende72529%72.781.6-8.9
42 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
43 Dijon71614%71.179.6-8.4
44 Petrol Olimpija71614%75.384.6-9.3
45 Opava71614%73.391.7-18.4
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino221926774
Ventspils1828192388
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.