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Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-96
25-26 21-22 24-18 20-30
Position#9
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#11
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game88.0
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Bologna
21 Oct 2018
AVE90
VIR96
07 Jan 2018
AVE87
VIR59
20 Mar 2016
AVE82
VIR74
29 Mar 2015
AVE96
VIR79
06 Apr 2014
AVE72
VIR80
28 Oct 2012
AVE87
VIR77
16 Oct 2011
AVE96
VIR90
06 Feb 2011
AVE105
VIR101
21 Mar 2010
AVE79
VIR82
20 Feb 2010
AVE61
VIR73
28 Feb 2009
AVE64
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
97avg 120
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
113avg 120
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
106avg 120
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
80-59
80
59
+21
118avg 120
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
99avg 120
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
87avg 120
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
137avg 120
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
no box
A09/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
A14/10
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
96-77
96
77
+19
no box
A17/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
15-13
13-13
24-23
19-19
17-18
18-20
24-17
17-18
21-17
20-13
19-31
24-15
20-18
16-10
20-16
21-17
20-20
17-19
22-32
20-21
17-21
19-24
12-18
32-20
26-26
22-19
18-16
23-19
17-22
17-11
18-23
23-26
21-16
25-26
19-26
24-15
23-16
24-23
25-23
162.8Avg total
83.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.087.5180.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)98.081.0179.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)88.094.0182.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)83.579.3162.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)90.085.8175.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.093.5187.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (18)76.276.9153.1-0.739%
vs Weaker (9)89.474.8164.2+14.778%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
111avg 112
H07/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
67-65
67
65
+2
91avg 112
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
92avg 112
H22/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
74-61
74
61
+13
103avg 112
A29/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
86avg 112
H06/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
123avg 112
A09/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
111avg 112
A07/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
W
83-78 OT
83
78
+5
no box
H10/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
106avg 112
H14/10
Lega A
Oostende
#27
W
89-60
89
60
+29
no box
H16/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-21
17-22
22-23
16-22
25-12
10-13
16-18
22-18
14-10
16-19
17-24
23-14
22-18
14-14
15-15
15-18
13-15
13-13
23-24
15-25
16-25
32-27
36-27
27-19
24-20
14-26
27-23
10-19
14-14
19-21
26-15
16-22
24-17
24-30
15-19
21-22
22-3
27-14
19-21
157.2Avg total
79.9Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.588.0173.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)79.088.0167.0-9.00%
Season away (1)92.088.0180.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.977.3157.2+2.650%
Last 5 (5)88.483.6172.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.077.7147.7-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.481.3159.8-2.938%
vs Weaker (10)81.270.7151.9+10.590%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
AvellinoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A06/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/10
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/10
Champions League
79.0Avg total
41.8Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.277.4+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.835.679.4+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)38.736.875.5+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.837.279.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.485.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.041.583.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.236.374.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (9)47.335.282.6+12.189%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H10/10
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/10
Lega A
Oostende
#27
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H16/10
Champions League
73.9Avg total
38.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.976.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.076.9+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)37.338.876.1-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.335.673.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.275.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.339.373.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.738.976.6-1.238%-
vs Weaker (10)41.535.176.6+6.470%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.4
58.3%
51.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.2
38.0%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.011.1
79.3%
72.3%11.1
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.2
52.7%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.911.5
72.3%
72.3%11.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLWWLLWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWLLWLWL
#9
League position
#11
+4.4
Net rating
-1.9
106.4
Offensive rating
107.5
102.1
Defensive rating
109.4
57.8%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
22.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.0%
3-point %
35.0%
64.1%
Assist %
47.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 107.5Defence102.1 · 109.4Shooting57.8% · 52.7%3-point %38.0% · 35.0%Ball care22.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Avellino   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Avellino wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/18ALudwigsburg96-77
14/10/18ACremona88-94
09/10/18ANizhny Novgorod100-93 OT
06/10/18HCantu98-81
19/05/18ATrento68-84
17/05/18ATrento80-88
15/05/18HTrento80-59
13/05/18HTrento77-79
09/05/18HTrento78-74
06/05/18AVirtus Bologna70-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/18HOostende89-60
14/10/18HOlimpia Milano79-88
10/10/18HNeptunas83-78 OT
07/10/18ATrieste92-88
09/05/18AReggiana99-104
06/05/18HAvellino64-70
29/04/18APistoia74-61
22/04/18HVarese69-71
14/04/18ATorino67-65
07/04/18HCantu83-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game93.098.088.0
Allowed / game87.581.094.0
Point differential+5.5+17.0-6.0
Avg total180.5179.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game85.579.092.0
Allowed / game88.088.088.0
Point differential-2.5-9.0+4.0
Avg total173.5167.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano330100%99.384.7+14.7
2 Venezia220100%86.572.0+14.5
3 Cantu32167%87.083.0+4.0
4 Sassari32167%79.376.3+3.0
5 Varese32167%78.078.7-0.7
6 Cremona32167%92.394.3-2.0
7 Avellino21150%93.087.5+5.5
8 Torino21150%80.575.0+5.5
9 Reggiana21150%82.080.0+2.0
10 Virtus Bologna21150%85.588.0-2.5
11 Pesaro21150%78.082.5-4.5
12 Brescia31233%83.083.3-0.3
13 Brindisi31233%88.088.7-0.7
14 Trieste31233%84.088.0-4.0
15 Trento3030%85.393.7-8.3
16 Pistoia3030%76.395.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino2521242090
Virtus Bologna2622183096
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