Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2015

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 96-79

22-19 25-13 30-22 19-25

Position#13

Record8-15

FormLLLLL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game78.8

Avellino 🏆

Virtus Bologna

Position#9

Record12-11

FormWWLWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game77.7

Lega ARound 24

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Avellino v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#12

67-91

-24

H11/01

Lega A

Venezia

71-79

-8

A25/01

Lega A

Cantu

76-79

-3

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

77-62

+15

A08/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

78-95

-17

A16/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

58-60

-2

A20/02

Italian Cup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

65-75

-10

H01/03

Lega A

Reggiana

72-96

-24

A08/03

Lega A

Sassari

70-83

-13

H15/03

Lega A

Trento

85-92

-7

A22/03

Lega A

16-25

26-19

13-22

12-25

20-19

20-21

15-17

16-22

30-21

9-19

19-19

18-20

14-20

14-16

31-7

18-19

23-21

17-27

18-21

20-26

18-13

11-19

16-10

13-18

15-21

9-14

26-14

15-26

17-25

15-23

22-27

18-21

26-24

11-17

19-20

14-22

24-25

21-20

15-23

25-24

153.1Avg total

71.9Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.0	78.8	154.8	-2.8	35%
Season at home (11)	74.0	77.2	151.2	-3.2	36%
Season away (12)	77.8	80.2	158.1	-2.4	33%
Last 10 (10)	71.9	81.2	153.1	-9.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	81.2	151.2	-11.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.8	83.3	160.1	-6.5	18%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.2	78.3	155.5	-1.1	40%
vs Weaker (3)	80.7	73.7	154.3	+7.0	67%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#14

84-90

-6

A04/01

Lega A

Trento

88-78

+10

H11/01

Lega A

Sassari

80-75

H25/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

72-63

A01/02

Lega A

Caserta

#16

76-81

-5

A08/02

Lega A

Cantu

108-96

108

+12

H15/02

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

90-67

+23

H01/03

Lega A

Venezia

71-96

-25

A08/03

Lega A

Brindisi

75-68

H15/03

Lega A

Reggiana

56-66

-10

A21/03

Lega A

12-22

20-17

24-18

28-33

13-10

23-27

29-21

23-20

27-21

15-18

15-19

23-17

12-17

20-20

23-17

17-9

20-17

16-27

18-20

22-17

27-21

28-19

18-32

35-24

21-16

20-26

28-11

21-14

13-25

12-22

26-21

20-28

21-14

17-19

19-20

18-15

14-15

13-18

15-19

14-14

158.0Avg total

80.0Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.6	77.7	153.2	-2.1	52%
Season at home (12)	79.7	76.2	155.9	+3.4	75%
Season away (11)	71.1	79.2	150.3	-8.1	27%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	78.0	158.0	+2.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	78.6	158.6	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	75.8	79.1	154.9	-3.3	47%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	75.6	75.3	150.9	+0.3	54%
vs Weaker (2)	74.0	73.0	147.0	+1.0	50%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	18.8	40.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.1	41.3	+1.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	18.0	37.3	+1.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.3	38.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.3	37.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	19.5	34.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	18.6	32.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	20.5	38.9	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	17.1	19.5	36.7	-2.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	15.3	32.0	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	21.3	39.7	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.8	38.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.2	20.4	37.6	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	50%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Varese

#12

42-44

-2

H11/01

Lega A

Venezia

40-40

A25/01

Lega A

Cantu

39-40

-1

H01/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#17

28-36

-8

A08/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

40-48

-8

A16/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

29-32

-3

A20/02

Italian Cup

Capo d'Orlando

#15

24-35

-11

H01/03

Lega A

Reggiana

32-48

-16

A08/03

Lega A

Sassari

37-41

-4

H15/03

Lega A

Trento

45-45

A22/03

Lega A

76.5Avg total

35.6Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	38.9	77.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	36.7	76.4	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	41.1	79.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	40.9	76.5	-5.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	40.2	73.6	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.4	40.9	81.3	-0.5	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.4	38.9	78.3	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.0	33.3	69.3	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Roma

#14

32-39

-7

A04/01

Lega A

Trento

36-37

-1

H11/01

Lega A

Sassari

42-39

H25/01

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#15

32-37

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Caserta

#16

36-44

-8

A08/02

Lega A

Cantu

55-40

+15

H15/02

Lega A

Pistoia

#10

41-42

-1

H01/03

Lega A

Venezia

25-47

-22

A08/03

Lega A

Brindisi

38-33

H15/03

Lega A

Reggiana

27-33

-6

A21/03

Lega A

75.5Avg total

36.4Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.8	76.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	38.2	77.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.6	39.5	76.1	-2.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	39.1	75.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.0	76.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	37.5	40.1	77.6	-2.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.2	38.2	76.3	+0.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	34.0	71.5	+3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	16.3	36.2	+3.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	19.5	37.2	-1.9	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.7	17.9	37.5	+1.8	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	14.7	37.7	+8.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.7	38.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	19.7	19.8	39.5	-0.1	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.5	17.8	36.2	+0.7	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	22.0	39.5	-4.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.6	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	21.2	38.3	-4.1	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	22.3	39.2	-5.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.2	39.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	21.5	39.1	-3.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.1	21.5	39.7	-3.4	13%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	20.3	37.7	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.0	19.4	38.4	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	39.2	76.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	40.7	76.2	-5.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	37.7	75.8	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	40.3	76.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.3	41.0	76.3	-5.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.8	39.4	77.2	-1.6	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	35.0	75.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	38.2	76.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	37.5	77.0	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	38.9	75.0	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	38.9	82.5	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.3	39.0	77.3	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.5	37.2	74.6	+0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	39.0	75.5	-2.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/14	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	77-76
06/04/14	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	72-80
22/12/13	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	74-78
27/03/13	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	94-78
28/10/12	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	87-77
29/01/12	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	76-56
16/10/11	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	96-90
06/02/11	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	105-101 OT
31/10/10	Virtus Bologna v Avellino	73-66
21/03/10	Avellino v Virtus Bologna	79-82

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/15	A	Trento	85-92
15/03/15	H	Sassari	70-83
08/03/15	A	Reggiana	72-96
01/03/15	H	Capo d'Orlando	65-75
20/02/15	A	Olimpia Milano	58-60
16/02/15	A	Olimpia Milano	78-95
08/02/15	A	Pesaro	77-62
01/02/15	H	Cantu	76-79
25/01/15	A	Venezia	71-79
11/01/15	H	Varese	67-91

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/15	A	Reggiana	56-66
15/03/15	H	Brindisi	75-68
08/03/15	A	Venezia	71-96
01/03/15	H	Pistoia	90-67
15/02/15	H	Cantu	108-96
08/02/15	A	Caserta	76-81
01/02/15	A	Capo d'Orlando	72-63
25/01/15	H	Sassari	80-75
11/01/15	H	Trento	88-78
04/01/15	A	Virtus Roma	84-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	35%
Home	LLLLL	36%
Away	LWLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	35%	36%	33%
Points / game	76.0	74.0	77.8
Allowed / game	78.8	77.2	80.2
Point differential	-2.8	-3.2	-2.4
Avg total	154.8	151.2	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	9%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	40% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2014-15

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	52%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	52%	75%	27%
Points / game	75.6	79.7	71.1
Allowed / game	77.7	76.2	79.2
Point differential	-2.1	+3.4	-8.1
Avg total	153.2	155.9	150.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	75% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Named Sport Team	1	1	0	100%	146.0	143.0	+3.0
2	Olimpia Milano	22	20	2	91%	87.6	72.4	+15.2
3	Sassari	23	17	6	74%	85.8	79.7	+6.2
4	Venezia	23	17	6	74%	78.7	73.6	+5.1
5	Reggiana	24	17	7	71%	78.2	74.2	+4.0
6	Brindisi	24	14	10	58%	77.1	74.5	+2.6
7	Trento	24	13	11	54%	84.0	84.5	-0.5
8	Virtus Bologna	23	12	11	52%	75.6	77.7	-2.1
9	Cantu	22	10	12	45%	79.3	79.2	+0.1
10	Pistoia	23	10	13	43%	75.3	75.7	-0.5
11	Cremona	23	10	13	43%	75.7	77.0	-1.3
12	Virtus Roma	23	9	14	39%	71.0	73.1	-2.2
13	Avellino	23	8	15	35%	76.0	78.8	-2.8
14	Varese	24	8	16	33%	80.3	83.5	-3.2
15	Capo d'Orlando	24	8	16	33%	70.1	73.7	-3.6
16	Pesaro	23	7	16	30%	71.5	82.0	-10.5
17	Caserta	23	5	18	22%	74.6	80.6	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	22	25	30	19	96
Virtus Bologna	19	13	22	25	79

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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