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Balikesir vs Darussafaka Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.5
Balikesir
Turkey
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Darussafaka
Turkey
Position#11
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game83.9
TurkeyTBLRound 19· Kurtdereli Spor Salonu
Other2026-27
Meetings · Balikesir v Darussafaka
09 Jan 2027
BALI v DAR
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
BALI86
DAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Balikesir win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BalikesirTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalikesir
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
L
65-67
65
67
-2
60avg 69
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
69-79
69
79
-10
60avg 69
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 69
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
52avg 69
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
94-92
94
92
+2
84avg 69
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
52-68
52
68
-16
37avg 69
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
79-89 OT
79
89
-10
68avg 69
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
62avg 69
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
98-76
98
76
+22
no box
H08/11
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
A14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-17
15-10
19-18
13-23
23-18
8-16
25-22
15-29
25-13
25-19
26-24
22-16
11-25
17-20
17-17
29-20
15-23
26-25
24-24
16-20
11-12
10-16
15-20
15-7
16-22
16-29
26-15
22-14
17-16
10-16
18-21
28-19
31-23
23-14
16-20
20-18
19-22
15-24
23-29
156.9Avg total
76.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.879.5155.3-3.627%
Season at home (5)81.881.2163.0+0.640%
Season away (6)70.878.0148.8-7.217%
Last 10 (10)76.580.4156.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)75.880.6156.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.884.1160.8-7.325%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.280.5160.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)49.544.594.0+5.050%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
L
69-88
69
88
-19
39avg 66
A12/09
TBL
Balikesir
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 66
H20/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
91-83
91
83
+8
81avg 66
A26/09
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
66avg 66
H04/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 66
A07/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
47-79
47
79
-32
27avg 66
H11/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
76avg 66
A18/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 66
H25/10
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
74avg 66
A31/10
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#14
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A14/11
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
17-31
17-12
24-16
22-11
17-20
10-15
18-19
30-20
18-27
17-14
26-22
14-13
21-26
23-19
17-25
14-16
22-25
17-24
20-16
11-27
9-13
9-21
18-18
21-24
19-26
22-24
20-21
23-16
21-17
19-31
27-21
26-16
14-22
22-22
19-21
15-31
29-18
24-21
26-18
161.7Avg total
77.8Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.883.9161.7-6.140%
Season at home (4)69.878.0147.8-8.250%
Season away (6)83.287.8171.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)77.883.9161.7-6.140%
Last 5 (5)80.687.8168.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.385.2156.6-13.917%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.283.1163.3-2.950%
vs Weaker (2)46.540.587.0+6.050%
This opponent (Balikesir) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
BalikesirDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BalikesirLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#11
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/09
TBL
Kahramanmaras
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/09
TBL
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A03/10
TBL
Goztepe
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/10
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/10
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A18/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A31/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H08/11
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/11
TBL
75.8Avg total
37.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.540.379.8-0.838%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.940.781.6+0.340%-
Last 30 away (14)37.939.977.8-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)37.937.975.8+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.240.980.2-1.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.540.380.8+0.242%-
vs Weaker (1)31.029.060.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ankara Kolejliler
#16
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A12/09
TBL
Balikesir
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/09
TBL
Kecioren Baglum
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A26/09
TBL
Final Spor
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H04/10
TBL
CO Basket
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/10
TBL
Harem Spor
#1
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H11/10
TBL
Mersin SK
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A18/10
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#6
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H25/10
TBL
OGM Ormanspor
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A31/10
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A14/11
TBL
80.2Avg total
37.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.341.478.7-4.138%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.637.575.1+0.246%-
Last 30 away (16)37.044.681.6-7.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.880.2-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.840.074.8-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.242.481.6-3.244%-
vs Weaker (1)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Balikesir) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Balikesirtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balikesir: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.317.2
43.8%
53.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.6
33.5%
33.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.713.6
65.7%
71.2%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.7
46.9%
53.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.2
30.8%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws25.117.3
68.9%
71.2%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Balikesir
LWLLLWLWLL
Darussafaka
WLWLLLLWWL
#15
League position
#11
-6.9
Net rating
-10.1
85.8
Offensive rating
86.4
92.7
Defensive rating
96.5
46.3%
Effective FG%
46.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.41
33.5%
3-point %
30.8%
61.2%
Assist %
62.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 86.4Defence92.7 · 96.5Shooting46.3% · 46.6%3-point %33.5% · 30.8%Ball care14.7% · 14.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Balikesir   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Balikesir wins
2
Darussafaka wins
DateGameScore
20/09/26Darussafaka v Balikesir67-65
31/01/26Balikesir v Darussafaka86-76
12/10/25Darussafaka v Balikesir84-71
Balikesirlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABuyukcekmece77-93
08/11/26HMersin SK98-76
31/10/26AHarem Spor73-77 OT
25/10/26HCO Basket79-89 OT
18/10/26AFinal Spor52-68
11/10/26HKecioren Baglum94-92
07/10/26AGoztepe67-78
03/10/26AAnkara Kolejliler91-85
27/09/26HKahramanmaras69-79
20/09/26ADarussafaka65-67
Darussafakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMKE Ankaragucu94-88
31/10/26AOGM Ormanspor90-92 OT
25/10/26HBuyukcekmece90-85
18/10/26AMersin SK82-95
11/10/26HHarem Spor47-79
07/10/26ACO Basket73-81
04/10/26HFinal Spor75-83
26/09/26AKecioren Baglum91-83
20/09/26HBalikesir67-65
12/09/26AAnkara Kolejliler69-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Balikesir
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game75.881.870.8
Allowed / game79.581.278.0
Point differential-3.6+0.6-7.2
Avg total155.3163.0148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %18%20%17%
Darussafaka
TBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game77.869.883.2
Allowed / game83.978.087.8
Point differential-6.1-8.2-4.7
Avg total161.7147.8171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Harem Spor119282%82.370.8+11.5
2 Goztepe108280%84.975.9+9.0
3 Kahramanmaras108280%83.074.5+8.5
4 Mersin SK108280%89.081.5+7.5
5 Gaziantep107370%80.776.3+4.4
6 Buyukcekmece106460%81.077.5+3.5
7 Final Spor116555%80.679.0+1.6
8 OGM Ormanspor105550%82.880.4+2.4
9 iLab Basketbol105550%84.185.0-0.9
10 Fenerbahce 2104640%76.581.3-4.8
11 Darussafaka104640%77.883.9-6.1
12 CO Basket114736%72.682.8-10.2
13 Konya BBSK103730%82.786.4-3.7
14 MKE Ankaragucu103730%80.190.2-10.1
15 Balikesir113827%75.879.5-3.6
16 Ankara Kolejliler113827%73.580.3-6.8
17 Kecioren Baglum112918%87.488.6-1.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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