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Ball State vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-83 (OT)
38-20 38-56 13-7
Position#243
Record12-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.5
Ball State 🏆
USA
vs
Northern Illinois
USA
Position#352
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ball State v Northern Illinois
24 Jan 2026
BALL58
NORT53
15 Feb 2025
BALL89
NORT83
27 Jan 2024
BALL81
NORT71
14 Feb 2023
BALL87
NORT77
15 Feb 2022
BALL58
NORT64
16 Jan 2021
BALL78
NORT58
11 Feb 2020
BALL63
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ball State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
71-86
71
86
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
49-43
35-45
36-41
40-44
35-49
33-41
49-39
29-40
37-36
36-41
35-33
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
35-37
42-39
40-33
35-42
157.6Avg total
78.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.474.5150.9+1.950%
Season at home (13)78.873.0151.8+5.854%
Season away (11)73.576.3149.8-2.745%
Last 10 (10)78.179.5157.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)79.278.2157.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.277.5149.8-5.225%
vs Similar (9)75.778.8154.4-3.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)74.370.1144.5+4.253%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
L
70-108
70
108
-38
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
70-80
70
80
-10
H29/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A01/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-57
31-51
42-48
27-36
29-35
37-36
27-39
43-33
40-29
36-37
33-37
37-43
35-50
50-39
31-38
46-46
39-28
25-38
21-32
46-41
150.7Avg total
71.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.276.2147.4-5.021%
Season at home (12)75.067.2142.2+7.842%
Season away (12)67.385.2152.6-17.90%
Last 10 (10)71.479.3150.7-7.910%
Last 5 (5)72.678.4151.0-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)66.281.6147.7-15.411%
vs Similar (7)67.670.4138.0-2.914%
vs Weaker (3)94.762.7157.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: -5.7-5.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -2.2-2.2
Ball StateNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H11/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A15/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
74.8Avg total
37.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.569.7+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.332.969.2+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)33.936.470.3-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.774.8-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.274.6+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.536.573.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (9)34.137.371.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)34.732.166.8+2.553%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#205
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A11/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/01
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H25/01
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A01/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#314
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H08/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
L
21-32
21
32
-11
H12/02
NCAA
72.9Avg total
33.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.970.2-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.368.0+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)30.941.572.4-10.720%-
Last 10 (10)33.639.372.9-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.837.068.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.940.371.3-9.416%-
vs Similar (7)31.132.763.9-1.643%-
vs Weaker (3)47.730.378.0+17.3100%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ball State wins
2
Northern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Northern Illinois v Ball State76-66
21/02/24Northern Illinois v Ball State63-70
27/01/24Ball State v Northern Illinois81-71
15/02/23Ball State v Northern Illinois87-77
28/01/23Northern Illinois v Ball State69-87
16/02/22Ball State v Northern Illinois58-64
28/01/22Northern Illinois v Ball State67-74
16/01/21Ball State v Northern Illinois78-58
09/12/20Northern Illinois v Ball State70-79 OT
07/03/20Northern Illinois v Ball State54-75
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HEastern Michigan86-84 OT
08/02/25HSouthern Miss77-76
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76
22/01/25ACentral Michigan82-80
18/01/25HToledo75-93
15/01/25AOhio71-86
11/01/25HBowling Green91-69
Northern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HBuffalo67-73
08/02/25HLouisiana Lafayette64-66
05/02/25ABowling Green77-84
01/02/25AToledo85-89
29/01/25HAkron70-80
25/01/25HBall State76-66
22/01/25AWestern Michigan70-72
18/01/25HCentral Michigan66-71
15/01/25HMiami (Ohio)69-84
11/01/25AOhio70-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeWLLWW54%
AwayLWLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%54%45%
Points / game76.478.873.5
Allowed / game74.573.076.3
Point differential+1.9+5.8-2.7
Avg total150.9151.8149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%42%0%
Points / game71.275.067.3
Allowed / game76.267.285.2
Point differential-5.0+7.8-17.9
Avg total147.4142.2152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (6)0% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2419579%84.673.4+11.2
2 Miami (Ohio)2419579%81.972.7+9.2
3 Kent State2517868%71.366.0+5.3
4 Toledo2415962%78.978.1+0.8
5 Ohio25131252%79.775.3+4.4
6 Ball State24121250%76.474.5+1.9
7 Central Michigan24111346%74.871.2+3.6
8 Eastern Michigan24111346%72.877.5-4.7
9 UMass26111542%74.874.3+0.5
10 Bowling Green2491538%75.475.8-0.4
11 Buffalo2481633%72.681.2-8.6
12 Western Michigan2471729%71.377.4-6.0
13 Northern Illinois2451921%71.276.2-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Ball State38381389
Northern Illinois2056783
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