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Ballarat vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 109-75
38-24 18-19 19-16 34-16
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#16
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Ballarat v Bendigo Braves
29 Mar 2025
BALL109
BEND75
03 Apr 2024
BALL97
BEND86
06 Apr 2023
BALL118
BEND100
14 Aug 2022
BALL98
BEND88
01 May 2021
BALL80
BEND85
06 Apr 2019
BALL94
BEND86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A23/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H29/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-93
75
93
-18
A13/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
58-97
58
97
-39
A20/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H27/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
103-101
103
101
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H10/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
30-25
25-25
27-20
21-29
22-14
21-26
23-12
15-24
15-25
23-21
16-24
26-19
20-16
29-25
24-25
27-20
34-14
23-24
10-17
23-32
20-23
17-17
15-21
17-28
10-22
17-33
14-14
22-23
17-17
23-12
29-26
24-32
32-22
19-21
28-26
24-12
15-20
21-32
10-15
173.6Avg total
85.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.488.2173.6-2.860%
Last 5 (5)79.489.6169.0-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)84.587.9172.4-3.460%
vs Similar (7)93.188.4181.6+4.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.284.8177.9+8.469%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H25/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A26/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H01/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
85-111
85
111
-26
H22/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A06/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A13/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
25-19
41-19
14-22
12-33
14-20
25-19
14-17
16-20
23-22
22-15
14-19
21-30
17-23
20-20
14-24
23-21
17-36
26-28
19-26
34-18
14-27
24-11
19-17
25-11
16-19
24-27
15-26
21-33
24-23
18-18
25-25
24-25
22-25
16-19
23-27
21-22
21-22
20-19
10-23
170.6Avg total
81.1Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.189.5170.6-8.420%
Last 5 (5)83.287.4170.6-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)79.290.3169.5-11.129%
vs Similar (9)84.385.7170.0-1.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -5.9-5.9
BallaratBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A23/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H05/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A13/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A20/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/08
NBL1 South
88.6Avg total
44.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.143.589.7+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.039.785.7+6.367%-
Last 30 away (15)46.347.493.7-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.688.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.287.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.044.386.3-2.350%-
vs Similar (7)48.344.692.9+3.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.242.490.5+5.869%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A26/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H22/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A06/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/07
NBL1 South
88.2Avg total
40.8Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.984.6-3.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.181.0+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)40.647.287.8-6.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.847.488.2-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.089.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.444.083.5-4.638%-
vs Similar (9)43.843.487.2+0.344%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ballarat wins
3
Bendigo Braves wins
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/08/24HEltham70-79
03/08/24ASandringham Sabres103-101
27/07/24HDandenong91-78
20/07/24AFrankston58-97
13/07/24AEltham75-93
07/07/24HCasey Cavaliers94-75
05/07/24HSandringham Sabres99-85
30/06/24AFrankston69-94
29/06/24HMelbourne Tigers87-81
23/06/24ARingwood108-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/07/24AKilsyth72-86
06/07/24ANW Tasmania85-96
05/07/24AHobart Chargers88-99
29/06/24HEltham80-83
28/06/24AMelbourne Tigers91-73
22/06/24HKeilor Thunder85-111
15/06/24AKnox72-97
01/06/24HBallarat75-76
26/05/24ASandringham Sabres65-89
25/05/24HDiamond Valley98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier110100%108.058.0+50.0
2 Geelong1010%58.0108.0-50.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat38181934109
Bendigo Braves2419161675
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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