Kilsyth vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Aug 2015

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 69-76 (OT)

17-20 15-15 16-14 15-14 6-13

Position#11

Record10-13

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.9

Allowed / game77.7

Kilsyth

Ballarat 🏆

Position#7

Record12-11

FormLWWWW

Points / game87.3

Allowed / game85.4

SEABLRound 18

Other2015

Meetings · Kilsyth v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

72-71

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

81-88

-7

H27/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

66-64

H05/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

67-60

H11/07

SEABL

Albury

78-84

-6

A18/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

71-89

-18

A25/07

SEABL

Bendigo

76-79 OT

-3

H01/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

63-53

+10

A07/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

89-78

+11

A08/08

SEABL

Geelong

65-83

-18

A14/08

SEABL

20-14

13-18

23-20

16-19

22-24

20-23

17-22

22-19

18-13

15-18

18-16

15-17

23-13

15-16

12-19

17-12

23-28

17-25

18-16

20-15

16-27

17-22

22-17

16-23

22-17

13-18

20-18

15-17

12-19

13-11

17-15

21-8

21-17

24-19

25-24

19-18

22-15

14-21

9-20

20-27

147.7Avg total

72.8Scored

74.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	76.9	77.7	154.5	-0.8	43%
Season at home (11)	78.6	77.0	155.6	+1.6	45%
Season away (12)	75.2	78.2	153.5	-3.0	42%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	74.9	147.7	-2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	76.4	149.2	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.1	82.4	159.5	-5.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	74.8	74.2	149.0	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker (3)	84.7	78.7	163.3	+6.0	67%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

73-91

-18

H21/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

106-82

106

+24

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

75-85

-10

H04/07

SEABL

Geelong

77-93

-16

H08/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

78-71

A18/07

SEABL

Albury

88-96

-8

H25/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

77-73

A26/07

SEABL

BA CoE

101-84

101

+17

H01/08

SEABL

Dandenong

97-80

+17

A02/08

SEABL

Nunawading

92-76

+16

H08/08

SEABL

24-23

21-21

14-27

14-20

31-22

24-22

20-19

31-19

13-20

19-20

14-17

29-28

23-33

23-20

18-22

13-18

21-18

21-14

19-16

17-23

17-27

24-33

23-25

24-11

23-22

18-14

21-14

15-23

28-16

34-24

21-20

18-24

32-23

22-19

26-20

17-18

28-17

23-20

17-30

24-9

169.5Avg total

86.4Scored

83.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	87.3	85.4	172.7	+1.9	52%
Season at home (12)	89.2	87.2	176.4	+2.1	50%
Season away (11)	85.2	83.5	168.7	+1.6	55%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	83.1	169.5	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.0	81.8	172.8	+9.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	73.0	91.0	164.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	87.5	89.0	176.5	-1.5	42%
vs Weaker (10)	88.5	80.6	169.1	+7.9	70%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KilsythBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.3	20.5	40.8	-0.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.1	19.8	38.8	-0.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	23.2	22.3	45.5	+0.8	61%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.4	22.2	45.7	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.1	46.1	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	21.0	46.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.7	23.4	47.1	+0.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	17.4	18.7	36.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	18.4	36.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.4	19.1	35.5	-2.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	19.1	35.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.3	17.2	33.6	-0.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	61%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.8	22.2	43.9	-0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	60%	-

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra

#14

33-32

A20/06

SEABL

Albury

42-47

-5

H27/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#12

33-31

H05/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

38-29

H11/07

SEABL

Albury

40-53

-13

A18/07

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

33-49

-16

A25/07

SEABL

Bendigo

35-35

H01/08

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

25-30

-5

A07/08

SEABL

NW Tasmania

45-36

A08/08

SEABL

Geelong

36-36

A14/08

SEABL

73.8Avg total

36.0Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.5	37.2	75.7	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.8	39.6	76.3	-2.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.2	72.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.2	41.2	81.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	35.4	37.0	72.4	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mt Gambier

45-44

H21/06

SEABL

Brisbane Spartans

#13

55-44

+11

H27/06

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

#10

32-40

-8

H04/07

SEABL

Geelong

46-53

-7

H08/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

42-32

+10

A18/07

SEABL

Albury

41-60

-19

H25/07

SEABL

Frankston

#15

41-36

A26/07

SEABL

BA CoE

62-40

+22

H01/08

SEABL

Dandenong

54-42

+12

A02/08

SEABL

Nunawading

51-37

+14

H08/08

SEABL

89.7Avg total

46.9Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	45.0	44.0	88.9	+1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	47.0	44.5	91.5	+2.5	58%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.7	43.4	86.1	-0.6	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	42.8	89.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	43.0	92.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	44.0	89.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	45.4	45.6	91.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.4	42.0	86.4	+2.4	50%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.1	18.7	37.9	+0.4	61%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.2	18.5	37.6	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.1	17.7	36.8	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	18.7	42.3	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	22.8	43.3	-2.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.8	17.9	41.7	+5.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	27.0	41.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.1	23.3	45.4	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	16.3	39.3	+6.7	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.3	19.1	38.3	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	19.4	38.9	+0.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	20.8	40.1	-1.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	20.2	21.0	41.3	-0.8	35%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.6	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.3	39.5	+0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	30%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	38.4	37.8	76.2	+0.6	39%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.7	37.8	76.5	+0.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (12)	38.1	37.8	75.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	36.2	72.4	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	37.4	74.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.9	41.1	78.0	-4.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	38.1	35.4	73.5	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	38.7	82.3	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	42.3	41.5	83.8	+0.9	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.2	42.7	84.9	-0.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.5	40.2	82.6	+2.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	40.3	79.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	47.0	75.0	-19.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	42.1	43.4	85.5	-1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.1	38.6	82.7	+5.5	40%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kilsyth wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
26/04/15	Ballarat v Kilsyth	78-100

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/08/15	A	Geelong	65-83
08/08/15	A	NW Tasmania	89-78
07/08/15	A	Hobart Chargers	63-53
01/08/15	H	Bendigo	76-79 OT
25/07/15	A	Brisbane Spartans	71-89
18/07/15	A	Albury	78-84
11/07/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	67-60
05/07/15	H	Southern Sabres	66-64
27/06/15	H	Albury	81-88
20/06/15	A	Canberra	72-71

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/08/15	H	Nunawading	92-76
02/08/15	A	Dandenong	97-80
01/08/15	H	BA CoE	101-84
26/07/15	A	Frankston	77-73
25/07/15	H	Albury	88-96
18/07/15	A	Canberra	78-71
08/07/15	H	Geelong	77-93
04/07/15	H	Hobart Chargers	75-85
27/06/15	H	Brisbane Spartans	106-82
21/06/15	H	Mt Gambier	73-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth

SEABL 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	43%
Home	LLWWL	45%
Away	LLWWL	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	43%	45%	42%
Points / game	76.9	78.6	75.2
Allowed / game	77.7	77.0	78.2
Point differential	-0.8	+1.6	-3.0
Avg total	154.5	155.6	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	27%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	13%	18%	8%

Ballarat

SEABL 2015

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	52%
Home	LLLWW	50%
Away	LWWWW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	52%	50%	55%
Points / game	87.3	89.2	85.2
Allowed / game	85.4	87.2	83.5
Point differential	+1.9	+2.1	+1.6
Avg total	172.7	176.4	168.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	42%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	-	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	22	19	3	86%	88.0	73.4	+14.6
2	Albury	23	16	7	70%	87.0	81.0	+5.9
3	Geelong	24	16	8	67%	83.7	79.5	+4.2
4	Bendigo	24	16	8	67%	83.8	81.6	+2.2
5	Dandenong	23	14	9	61%	84.2	83.3	+1.0
6	NW Tasmania	24	13	11	54%	83.6	81.0	+2.6
7	Ballarat	23	12	11	52%	87.3	85.4	+1.9
8	Nunawading	23	12	11	52%	86.8	86.8	+0.0
9	Kilsyth	23	10	13	43%	76.9	77.7	-0.8
10	BA CoE	14	6	8	43%	83.7	87.5	-3.8
11	Hobart Chargers	24	10	14	42%	69.5	72.0	-2.6
12	Southern Sabres	23	8	15	35%	81.3	83.6	-2.3
13	Brisbane Spartans	24	8	16	33%	80.5	83.6	-3.1
14	Canberra	24	8	16	33%	77.2	85.5	-8.3
15	Frankston	24	3	21	12%	76.1	87.8	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Kilsyth	17	15	16	15	6	69
Ballarat	20	15	14	14	13	76

← all games of the day

Kilsyth vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature