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Geelong vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 63-78
17-12 13-20 11-26 22-20
Position#8
Record6-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#12
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.8
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 7
Other2022
Meetings · Geelong v Ballarat
05 Apr 2025
GEEL98
BALL72
08 Jul 2023
GEEL104
BALL107
04 Jun 2022
GEEL63
BALL78
15 Jun 2019
GEEL62
BALL66
31 Mar 2017
GEEL100
BALL76
11 Apr 2015
GEEL87
BALL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A01/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A23/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
110-59
110
59
+51
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H13/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
85-76
85
76
+9
A14/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A20/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H28/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
24-22
27-15
22-20
22-15
22-24
16-25
23-21
26-21
29-23
17-19
15-24
26-12
21-16
24-15
39-16
22-29
24-19
23-13
21-12
30-25
17-16
21-16
16-19
10-19
24-17
21-15
9-19
26-22
18-28
21-16
20-10
18-22
26-15
17-22
22-23
18-22
19-24
19-25
26-17
165.4Avg total
86.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.077.5164.5+9.575%
Season at home (4)85.073.2158.2+11.850%
Season away (4)89.081.8170.8+7.2100%
Last 10 (10)86.978.5165.4+8.470%
Last 5 (5)79.678.4158.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.683.3159.9-6.729%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.883.1170.8+4.758%
vs Weaker (11)90.476.3166.6+14.1100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H15/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H21/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A28/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
18-29
19-14
20-19
21-26
23-29
19-17
24-15
16-21
30-18
29-12
24-28
19-28
26-30
19-12
20-19
24-28
24-24
19-15
24-15
28-14
12-27
13-17
21-10
22-26
18-15
24-21
25-14
30-21
23-16
11-25
22-10
18-20
16-22
16-22
17-10
22-25
20-22
19-21
22-12
164.2Avg total
84.0Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.479.8165.2+5.767%
Season at home (4)92.581.2173.8+11.275%
Season away (5)79.878.6158.4+1.260%
Last 10 (10)84.080.2164.2+3.860%
Last 5 (5)79.874.0153.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.678.2156.8+0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.579.7160.2+0.745%
vs Weaker (14)84.675.1159.8+9.571%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +6.7+6.7
GeelongBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A23/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H13/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H28/05
NBL1 South
85.3Avg total
43.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.140.283.3+2.959%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.481.0+0.350%-
Last 30 away (15)45.440.085.4+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.485.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.043.382.3-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.937.881.7+6.173%-
vs Weaker (11)44.940.585.5+4.464%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H21/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/05
NBL1 South
88.7Avg total
42.4Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.081.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.440.082.4+2.453%-
Last 30 away (13)39.042.381.3-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.388.7-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.639.878.4-1.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.443.381.6-4.927%-
vs Weaker (14)43.839.683.4+4.164%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Geelong wins
4
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
23/04/22Ballarat v Geelong96-98 OT
03/07/19Ballarat v Geelong97-69
15/06/19Geelong v Ballarat62-66
07/07/17Ballarat v Geelong107-84
31/03/17Geelong v Ballarat100-76
02/07/16Ballarat v Geelong78-91
08/07/15Ballarat v Geelong77-93
11/04/15Geelong v Ballarat87-89
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/22HFrankston82-88
20/05/22AMt Gambier83-82
14/05/22AEltham85-76
13/05/22HKnox64-70
07/05/22HKeilor Thunder84-76
01/05/22ABendigo Braves90-73
30/04/22HRingwood110-59
23/04/22ABallarat98-96 OT
01/08/21ANunawading83-85
31/07/21HBendigo Braves90-80
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/22AKeilor Thunder83-80
22/05/22AWaverley67-74
21/05/22HMelbourne Tigers86-72
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers89-76
14/05/22AKilsyth74-68
07/05/22ABendigo Braves91-82
01/05/22ASandringham Sabres84-89
30/04/22HEltham99-79
23/04/22HGeelong96-98 OT
01/08/21ABendigo Braves71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game87.085.089.0
Allowed / game77.573.281.8
Point differential+9.5+11.8+7.2
Avg total164.5158.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game85.492.579.8
Allowed / game79.881.278.6
Point differential+5.7+11.2+1.2
Avg total165.2173.8158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier98189%100.184.8+15.3
2 Geelong86275%87.077.5+9.5
3 Frankston86275%94.085.0+9.0
4 Waverley86275%84.580.1+4.4
5 Ballarat96367%85.479.8+5.7
6 Kilsyth96367%78.176.6+1.6
7 Nunawading85362%80.874.2+6.5
8 Hobart Chargers85362%82.979.5+3.4
9 Sandringham Sabres106460%78.582.2-3.7
10 NW Tasmania74357%71.774.9-3.1
11 Diamond Valley84450%84.484.4+0.0
12 Ringwood84450%76.885.9-9.1
13 Knox94544%82.477.0+5.4
14 Bendigo Braves82625%73.577.5-4.0
15 Dandenong82625%77.082.4-5.4
16 Melbourne Tigers82625%73.484.5-11.1
17 Casey Cavaliers92722%78.488.3-9.9
18 Keilor Thunder91811%78.082.0-4.0
19 Eltham7070%71.785.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1713112263
Ballarat1220262078
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