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Ballarat vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 86-72
30-21 23-16 11-25 22-10
Position#12
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.4
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 5
Other2022
Meetings · Ballarat v Melbourne Tigers
10 May 2025
BALL78
MELB103
29 Jun 2024
BALL87
MELB81
01 Apr 2023
BALL92
MELB68
21 May 2022
BALL86
MELB72
20 Jul 2019
BALL78
MELB86
27 May 2017
BALL99
MELB83
31 Jul 2016
BALL118
MELB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
18-23
23-12
18-20
32-20
19-22
17-15
15-20
30-11
22-28
18-20
16-17
14-22
18-29
19-14
20-19
21-26
23-29
19-17
24-15
16-21
30-18
29-12
24-28
19-28
26-30
19-12
20-19
24-28
24-24
19-15
24-15
28-14
12-27
13-17
21-10
22-26
18-15
24-21
25-14
165.9Avg total
86.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.882.0170.8+6.867%
Season at home (3)94.784.3179.0+10.367%
Season away (3)83.079.7162.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)86.179.8165.9+6.370%
Last 5 (5)87.478.8166.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.678.2156.8+0.460%
vs Similar (9)81.780.3162.0+1.344%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.876.2160.9+8.675%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#9
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H27/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
60-76
60
76
-16
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
75-124
75
124
-49
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A22/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H01/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
57-89
57
89
-32
H08/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H15/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
21-26
22-21
16-29
14-29
8-15
20-15
18-17
21-28
30-21
19-18
27-16
24-15
16-28
28-14
18-29
16-32
11-26
19-37
29-29
16-15
23-23
23-23
17-23
16-28
21-20
22-12
16-8
21-18
26-16
21-29
16-16
18-23
14-28
8-23
17-15
17-29
16-23
37-27
14-18
167.6Avg total
78.4Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.883.4159.2-7.640%
Season at home (3)72.084.7156.7-12.733%
Season away (2)81.581.5163.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)78.489.2167.6-10.830%
Last 5 (5)75.883.4159.2-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.995.4174.3-16.617%
vs Similar (7)87.989.7177.6-1.943%
vs Weaker (5)92.479.4171.8+13.080%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
BallaratMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/05
NBL1 South
90.0Avg total
44.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.582.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.441.283.6+1.247%-
Last 30 away (13)39.842.081.8-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.590.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.846.290.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.639.878.4-1.220%-
vs Similar (9)38.443.081.4-4.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.841.285.0+2.556%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H27/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A30/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A22/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H08/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H15/05
NBL1 South
82.6Avg total
36.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.585.7-5.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.645.687.2-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)38.645.484.1-6.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.745.982.6-9.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.682.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.247.785.9-9.417%-
vs Similar (7)41.946.087.9-4.143%-
vs Weaker (5)45.037.282.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ballarat wins
1
Melbourne Tigers wins
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers89-76
14/05/22AKilsyth74-68
07/05/22ABendigo Braves91-82
01/05/22ASandringham Sabres84-89
30/04/22HEltham99-79
23/04/22HGeelong96-98 OT
01/08/21ABendigo Braves71-84
31/07/21HEltham86-76
10/07/21HKnox83-77
04/07/21ADiamond Valley88-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/22HHobart Chargers84-97
08/05/22HNunawading57-89
07/05/22ASandringham Sabres84-79
01/05/22HEltham75-68
22/04/22ACasey Cavaliers79-84
31/07/21AKnox75-124
11/07/21HNW Tasmania96-100 OT
04/07/21ASandringham Sabres97-83
30/06/21ARingwood60-76
27/06/21HBallarat77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game88.894.783.0
Allowed / game82.084.379.7
Point differential+6.8+10.3+3.3
Avg total170.8179.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game75.872.081.5
Allowed / game83.484.781.5
Point differential-7.6-12.7+0.0
Avg total159.2156.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier76186%100.688.0+12.6
2 Geelong76186%87.776.0+11.7
3 Frankston65183%95.581.5+14.0
4 Nunawading64267%78.570.3+8.2
5 Ballarat64267%88.882.0+6.8
6 NW Tasmania64267%73.775.8-2.2
7 Waverley53260%86.283.6+2.6
8 Knox74357%83.976.1+7.7
9 Kilsyth74357%76.177.1-1.0
10 Ringwood74357%77.785.0-7.3
11 Hobart Chargers63350%84.080.7+3.3
12 Sandringham Sabres73443%76.384.3-8.0
13 Melbourne Tigers52340%75.883.4-7.6
14 Diamond Valley62433%83.789.2-5.5
15 Dandenong51420%79.883.4-3.6
16 Keilor Thunder51420%78.081.6-3.6
17 Bendigo Braves61517%74.380.5-6.2
18 Casey Cavaliers71614%78.191.0-12.9
19 Eltham5050%70.084.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat3023112286
Melbourne Tigers2116251072
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