Melbourne Tigers vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jun 2022

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 69-76

17-18 20-24 21-16 11-18

Position#18

Record2-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game72.1

Allowed / game82.4

Melbourne Tigers

NW Tasmania 🏆

Position#13

Record4-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game70.2

Allowed / game79.7

NBL1 SouthRound 8

Other2022

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v NW Tasmania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

NW Tasmania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

#11

75-124

124

-49

A31/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

79-84

-5

A22/04

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

75-68

H01/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

84-79

A07/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

57-89

-32

H08/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

84-97

-13

H15/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

72-86

-14

A21/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

80-85

-5

H22/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

56-88

-32

A28/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

62-66

-4

A04/06

NBL1 South

16-32

11-26

19-37

29-29

16-15

23-23

17-23

16-28

21-20

22-12

16-8

21-18

26-16

21-29

16-16

18-23

14-28

8-23

17-15

17-29

16-23

37-27

14-18

21-30

16-23

25-11

10-22

24-22

21-16

11-25

24-22

11-16

8-25

12-22

25-25

14-14

18-14

15-19

159.0Avg total

72.4Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	72.1	82.4	154.6	-10.3	22%
Season at home (4)	74.0	84.8	158.8	-10.8	25%
Season away (5)	70.6	80.6	151.2	-10.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	72.4	86.6	159.0	-14.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	84.4	155.2	-13.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	76.7	93.4	170.1	-16.8	14%
vs Similar (7)	87.9	89.7	177.6	-1.9	43%
vs Weaker (2)	82.0	80.0	162.0	+2.0	50%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#17

100-96 OT

100

A11/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

73-67

H23/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

77-62

+15

H30/04

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

73-100

100

-27

H07/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

70-59

+11

A14/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

69-95

-26

A15/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

80-72

H21/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

60-69

-9

H28/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

71-102

102

-31

H04/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

59-91

-32

A18/06

NBL1 South

15-24

28-16

14-28

29-18

17-15

26-19

12-13

18-20

18-13

14-8

21-23

24-18

21-17

22-29

14-25

16-29

18-15

26-12

7-20

19-12

20-27

18-20

16-26

15-22

–

8-14

11-14

27-13

14-28

14-27

14-25

26-13

17-37

20-23

12-21

17-20

10-27

154.5Avg total

73.2Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	70.2	79.7	149.9	-9.4	44%
Season at home (6)	72.3	78.7	151.0	-6.3	50%
Season away (3)	66.0	81.7	147.7	-15.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	73.2	81.3	154.5	-8.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	67.8	85.8	153.6	-18.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.0	82.6	155.6	-9.6	38%
vs Similar (12)	81.8	87.2	169.0	-5.3	42%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	85.5	70.9	156.4	+14.6	90%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersNW Tasmania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.3	42.1	-2.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.1	43.3	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.7	40.1	-5.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.2	39.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	22.6	42.7	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	14.0	36.0	+8.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.2	37.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.5	18.2	35.8	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	23.1	41.8	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	24.1	43.2	-4.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	22.2	40.6	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.4	38.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	20.2	36.0	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.8	23.4	41.2	-5.6	19%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	23.4	45.1	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	17.6	36.8	+1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.0	70%	-

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Knox

#11

27-58

-31

A31/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

39-38

A22/04

NBL1 South

Eltham

#17

37-48

-11

H01/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

47-34

+13

A07/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

32-51

-19

H08/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

33-52

-19

H15/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

37-53

-16

A21/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

45-38

H22/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

19-41

-22

A28/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

32-28

A04/06

NBL1 South

78.9Avg total

34.8Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	45.4	83.9	-7.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	46.2	86.5	-5.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	44.8	81.6	-7.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	44.1	78.9	-9.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	42.4	75.6	-9.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	37.2	46.5	83.7	-9.3	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.9	46.0	87.9	-4.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.5	32.5	72.0	+7.0	100%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#17

43-40

A11/07

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

43-34

H23/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#14

32-21

+11

H30/04

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

43-46

-3

H07/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

44-27

+17

A14/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

38-47

-9

A15/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

19-28

-9

H28/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#15

28-52

-24

H04/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

32-44

-12

A18/06

NBL1 South

73.4Avg total

35.8Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.5	38.8	78.3	+0.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	40.4	78.5	-2.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.5	69%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.8	37.7	73.4	-1.9	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	39.6	71.8	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.8	39.0	74.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	39.8	42.2	82.0	-2.4	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	42.1	34.9	77.0	+7.2	80%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	22.9	42.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	23.1	43.4	-2.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	22.7	42.2	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.0	22.7	44.7	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	16.0	31.5	-0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.6	39.1	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	21.6	40.5	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.8	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.6	22.5	42.2	-2.9	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.4	43.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.7	38.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.4	22.7	42.1	-3.2	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.5	24.0	47.5	-0.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.9	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	22.0	42.8	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	25.2	40.2	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.0	23.6	40.6	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.5	23.8	46.4	-1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.7	16.5	37.2	+4.2	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	45.3	85.9	-4.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	46.1	87.1	-5.0	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	44.6	84.8	-4.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	42.5	80.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.0	79.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.0	46.3	85.3	-7.3	24%	-
vs Similar (7)	46.0	43.7	89.7	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	41.2	81.3	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.2	40.6	81.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	41.9	80.7	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	35.1	43.6	78.7	-8.4	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	43.6	77.2	-10.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.4	42.8	78.1	-7.4	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.2	46.4	88.5	-4.2	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	41.6	34.3	75.9	+7.3	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

NW Tasmania wins

Date	Game	Score
11/07/21	Melbourne Tigers v NW Tasmania	96-100 OT
28/06/19	NW Tasmania v Melbourne Tigers	90-82 OT
13/05/17	Melbourne Tigers v NW Tasmania	65-107
08/04/17	NW Tasmania v Melbourne Tigers	93-94
25/06/16	Melbourne Tigers v NW Tasmania	79-87

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/06/22	A	Keilor Thunder	62-66
28/05/22	A	Mt Gambier	56-88
22/05/22	H	Sandringham Sabres	80-85
21/05/22	A	Ballarat	72-86
15/05/22	H	Hobart Chargers	84-97
08/05/22	H	Nunawading	57-89
07/05/22	A	Sandringham Sabres	84-79
01/05/22	H	Eltham	75-68
22/04/22	A	Casey Cavaliers	79-84
31/07/21	A	Knox	75-124

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/06/22	A	Frankston	59-91
04/06/22	H	Casey Cavaliers	71-102
28/05/22	H	Bendigo Braves	60-69
21/05/22	H	Ringwood	80-72
15/05/22	A	Waverley	69-95
14/05/22	A	Dandenong	70-59
07/05/22	H	Kilsyth	73-100
30/04/22	H	Keilor Thunder	77-62
23/04/22	H	Hobart Chargers	73-67
11/07/21	A	Melbourne Tigers	100-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	25%	20%
Points / game	72.1	74.0	70.6
Allowed / game	82.4	84.8	80.6
Point differential	-10.3	-10.8	-10.0
Avg total	154.6	158.8	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

NW Tasmania

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	44%
Home	WLWLL	50%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	6	3
Win %	44%	50%	33%
Points / game	70.2	72.3	66.0
Allowed / game	79.7	78.7	81.7
Point differential	-9.4	-6.3	-15.7
Avg total	149.9	151.0	147.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	17%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	11	10	1	91%	101.0	83.3	+17.7
2	Geelong	10	7	3	70%	85.2	77.1	+8.1
3	Waverley	10	7	3	70%	82.9	79.4	+3.5
4	Hobart Chargers	9	6	3	67%	82.8	79.0	+3.8
5	Ballarat	11	7	4	64%	83.8	78.5	+5.4
6	Knox	12	7	5	58%	84.2	75.4	+8.8
7	Frankston	12	7	5	58%	91.7	85.1	+6.6
8	Kilsyth	12	7	5	58%	77.8	79.4	-1.6
9	Sandringham Sabres	12	7	5	58%	79.8	83.1	-3.3
10	Ringwood	11	6	5	55%	77.1	81.5	-4.5
11	Bendigo Braves	11	5	6	45%	79.2	75.2	+4.0
12	Diamond Valley	11	5	6	45%	83.7	83.9	-0.2
13	Nunawading	11	5	6	45%	77.5	81.0	-3.5
14	NW Tasmania	9	4	5	44%	70.2	79.7	-9.4
15	Dandenong	10	3	7	30%	78.2	86.4	-8.2
16	Casey Cavaliers	11	3	8	27%	81.5	87.3	-5.7
17	Melbourne Tigers	9	2	7	22%	72.1	82.4	-10.3
18	Keilor Thunder	11	2	9	18%	74.6	80.7	-6.1
19	Eltham	9	1	8	11%	73.0	83.4	-10.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	17	20	21	11	69
NW Tasmania	18	24	16	18	76

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs NW Tasmania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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