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Estudiantes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 77-64
26-11 18-17 19-19 14-17
Position#3
Record9-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#9
Record2-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.0
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2016-17
Meetings · Estudiantes v Libertad
13 Mar 2020
EST55
LIBE64
18 Mar 2019
EST95
LIBE88
13 Feb 2017
EST85
LIBE73
09 Nov 2016
EST77
LIBE64
01 May 2016
EST83
LIBE86
03 Oct 2015
EST73
LIBE74
29 Dec 2014
EST88
LIBE89
17 Nov 2014
EST72
LIBE70
28 Jan 2014
EST64
LIBE73
13 Oct 2013
EST76
LIBE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Libertad winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A13/10
Liga A
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H16/10
ACB
Olimpico
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
H21/10
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H23/10
ACB
Regatas
#4
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H26/10
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A03/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#12
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A05/11
Liga A
Tenerife
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A06/11
ACB
Olimpico
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A07/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
15-20
19-17
16-20
23-25
14-11
27-25
22-13
28-19
19-20
33-19
25-26
17-22
25-15
26-33
20-26
29-18
27-8
18-23
16-20
20-20
22-18
20-18
29-16
24-13
15-17
24-18
23-25
22-7
24-19
12-27
33-28
16-16
15-24
27-24
14-17
11-19
21-34
20-11
25-25
164.3Avg total
85.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.177.4159.4+4.764%
Season at home (6)85.374.5159.8+10.883%
Season away (8)79.679.5159.1+0.150%
Last 10 (10)85.179.2164.3+5.960%
Last 5 (5)83.479.2162.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.382.7160.0-5.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.981.3160.1-2.450%
vs Weaker (10)77.875.6153.4+2.250%
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A25/09
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A29/09
Liga A
Quimsa
#12
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A01/10
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
H20/10
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H22/10
Liga A
San Martin
#2
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#2
L
79-82 OT
79
82
-3
A31/10
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A02/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H05/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
11-29
21-20
25-19
18-15
14-10
12-22
13-23
13-15
17-24
19-15
13-19
20-30
15-20
21-25
29-19
21-17
28-15
13-13
20-20
23-21
17-23
28-25
21-20
14-17
21-17
19-20
15-26
19-21
20-11
10-25
21-13
18-23
18-28
25-15
20-24
22-11
26-23
14-26
12-12
158.0Avg total
77.0Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.081.0158.0-4.020%
Season at home (4)85.283.0168.2+2.250%
Season away (6)71.579.7151.2-8.20%
Last 10 (10)77.081.0158.0-4.020%
Last 5 (5)80.685.0165.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)89.591.5181.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)77.584.8162.4-7.336%
vs Weaker (6)77.078.7155.7-1.750%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
EstudiantesLibertad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#16
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/10
Liga A
Fuenlabrada
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/10
ACB
Olimpico
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H21/10
Liga A
Real Madrid
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H23/10
ACB
Regatas
#4
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H26/10
Liga A
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A03/11
Liga A
Quimsa
#12
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A05/11
Liga A
Tenerife
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/11
ACB
Olimpico
#6
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A07/11
Liga A
76.3Avg total
40.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.238.374.5-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.736.675.3+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)34.139.873.9-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.176.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.037.870.8-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.440.178.5-1.643%-
vs Weaker (10)35.136.171.2-1.060%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atletico Echague Parana
#20
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/09
Liga A
Olimpico
#6
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A29/09
Liga A
Quimsa
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/10
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H20/10
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H22/10
Liga A
San Martin
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H24/10
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A31/10
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A02/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/11
Liga A
76.4Avg total
37.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.040.178.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.637.678.2+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)35.342.577.9-7.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.576.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.078.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.538.077.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.041.179.1-3.032%-
vs Weaker (6)37.237.074.2+0.267%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Estudiantes wins
8
Libertad wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/16AOlimpico77-89
06/11/16ATenerife72-81
05/11/16AQuimsa91-81
03/11/16AAtletico Echague Parana86-73
26/10/16HLa Union91-72
24/10/16HRegatas90-69
23/10/16HReal Madrid88-96
21/10/16HOlimpico105-84
16/10/16HFuenlabrada86-74
13/10/16AAtenas65-73
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/16HInstituto de Cordoba74-72
02/11/16ARegatas81-90
31/10/16ASan Martin79-82 OT
29/10/16ALa Union69-80
24/10/16HSan Martin100-101 OT
22/10/16HLa Union82-65
20/10/16HRegatas85-94
01/10/16AQuimsa62-73
29/09/16AOlimpico57-70
25/09/16AAtletico Echague Parana81-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Liga A 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %64%83%50%
Points / game82.185.379.6
Allowed / game77.474.579.5
Point differential+4.7+10.8+0.1
Avg total159.4159.8159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Libertad
Liga A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game77.085.271.5
Allowed / game81.083.079.7
Point differential-4.0+2.2-8.2
Avg total158.0168.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %20%25%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo119282%86.770.8+15.9
2 San Martin1411379%82.274.6+7.6
3 Gimnasia129375%85.278.8+6.3
4 Quimsa139469%79.574.5+5.0
5 Weber Bahia139469%73.970.8+3.1
6 Estudiantes149564%82.177.4+4.7
7 Olimpico138562%81.873.7+8.1
8 Ferro148657%80.375.7+4.6
9 Regatas147750%85.683.4+2.2
10 Instituto de Cordoba147750%76.977.8-0.9
11 Penarol126650%75.977.2-1.2
12 Argentino126650%72.874.8-1.9
13 La Union147750%74.778.9-4.1
14 Obras Sanitarias136746%81.382.9-1.6
15 Quilmes145936%74.979.7-4.9
16 Atenas134931%78.680.6-2.0
17 Boca Juniors1331023%69.879.1-9.3
18 Libertad102820%77.081.0-4.0
19 Atletico Echague Parana1531220%73.889.5-15.7
20 Hispano Americano1221017%72.080.9-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2618191477
Libertad1117191764
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