Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 84-82

17-19 23-18 16-16 28-29

Position#9

Record3-9

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game80.1

Libertad 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#3

Record10-5

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game76.5

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Libertad v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

#12

62-73

-11

A01/10

Liga A

Regatas

85-94

-9

H20/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

82-65

+17

H22/10

Liga A

San Martin

100-101 OT

100

101

-1

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

69-80

-11

A29/10

Liga A

San Martin

79-82 OT

-3

A31/10

Liga A

Regatas

81-90

-9

A02/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

74-72

H05/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

64-77

-13

A10/11

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

84-74

+10

H12/11

Liga A

13-15

17-24

19-15

13-19

20-30

15-20

21-25

29-19

21-17

28-15

13-13

20-20

23-21

17-23

28-25

21-20

14-17

21-17

19-20

15-26

19-21

20-11

10-25

21-13

18-23

18-28

25-15

20-24

22-11

26-23

14-26

12-12

11-26

17-18

19-19

17-14

17-16

20-18

20-20

27-20

158.8Avg total

78.0Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	76.5	80.1	156.6	-3.6	25%
Season at home (5)	85.0	81.2	166.2	+3.8	60%
Season away (7)	70.4	79.3	149.7	-8.9	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	80.8	158.8	-2.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	79.0	155.4	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	89.5	91.5	181.0	-2.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (21)	76.8	83.6	160.4	-6.8	38%
vs Weaker (7)	78.0	78.0	156.0	+0.0	57%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

105-84

105

+21

H21/10

Liga A

Real Madrid

88-96

-8

H23/10

ACB

Regatas

90-69

+21

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

91-72

+19

H26/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

86-73

+13

A03/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

91-81

+10

A05/11

Liga A

Tenerife

72-81

-9

A06/11

ACB

Olimpico

77-89

-12

A07/11

Liga A

Libertad

77-64

+13

H10/11

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

83-71

+12

H13/11

ACB

28-19

19-20

33-19

25-26

17-22

25-15

26-33

20-26

29-18

27-8

18-23

16-20

20-20

22-18

20-18

29-16

24-13

15-17

24-18

23-25

22-7

24-19

12-27

33-28

16-16

15-24

27-24

14-17

11-19

21-34

20-11

25-25

26-11

18-17

19-19

14-17

14-13

22-25

26-13

21-20

164.0Avg total

86.0Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	81.7	76.5	158.2	+5.3	67%
Season at home (7)	84.1	73.0	157.1	+11.1	86%
Season away (8)	79.6	79.5	159.1	+0.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	78.0	164.0	+8.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	77.2	157.2	+2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	77.3	82.7	160.0	-5.3	17%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	81.6	78.4	160.1	+3.2	64%
vs Weaker (10)	77.8	75.6	153.4	+2.2	50%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.0	39.2	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.2	48%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	17.4	35.6	+0.7	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	18.2	38.2	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	15.8	36.5	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	13.2	31.0	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	19.2	35.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.2	17.1	37.3	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.9	38.3	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.5	21.7	38.3	-5.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.7	39.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.1	20.4	38.6	-2.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	19.1	38.1	-0.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.9	36.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.2	19.6	35.9	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.8	43.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.8	18.7	35.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	15.1	17.2	32.3	-2.1	40%	-

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

#12

30-39

-9

A01/10

Liga A

Regatas

35-50

-15

H20/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

49-32

+17

H22/10

Liga A

San Martin

40-44

-4

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

35-34

A29/10

Liga A

San Martin

39-32

A31/10

Liga A

Regatas

36-51

-15

A02/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

48-34

+14

H05/11

Liga A

Estudiantes

28-44

-16

A10/11

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

37-34

H12/11

Liga A

77.1Avg total

37.7Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	39.9	77.5	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	37.2	77.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.8	42.5	77.3	-7.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	39.4	77.1	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	39.0	76.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	38.0	77.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.6	41.1	78.8	-3.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	37.1	36.6	73.7	+0.6	71%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

47-39

H21/10

Liga A

Real Madrid

42-37

H23/10

ACB

Regatas

56-26

+30

H24/10

Liga A

La Union

#18

42-38

H26/10

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

39-30

A03/11

Liga A

Quimsa

#12

46-26

+20

A05/11

Liga A

Tenerife

31-40

-9

A06/11

ACB

Olimpico

32-53

-21

A07/11

Liga A

Libertad

44-28

+16

H10/11

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

36-38

-2

H13/11

ACB

77.0Avg total

41.5Scored

35.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	36.8	73.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	36.1	75.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	34.7	37.6	72.4	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	35.5	77.0	+6.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	37.0	74.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.0	37.8	70.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	39.9	36.9	76.9	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	35.1	36.1	71.2	-1.0	60%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.4	40.4	-2.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	21.0	41.2	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	21.7	39.7	-3.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	24%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.3	29%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.4	42.1	+1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.3	40.1	+1.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	70%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.4	40.8	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.3	39.5	-1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	16.5	37.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.2	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	23.6	46.3	-0.9	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.6	42.9	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	21.8	42.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	41.8	81.2	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	39.0	77.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	37.6	74.6	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	41.5	81.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	38.9	42.0	80.9	-3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.6	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.5	84.1	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.4	41.9	85.3	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.6	41.1	82.6	+0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	42.5	87.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.2	82.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.3	44.8	89.2	-0.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.7	41.5	83.2	+0.2	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.7	39.5	82.2	+3.2	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
10/11/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	77-64
02/05/16	Estudiantes v Libertad	83-86
19/12/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	95-70
23/10/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	78-61
04/10/15	Estudiantes v Libertad	73-74
18/03/15	Libertad v Estudiantes	74-82
30/12/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	88-89
18/11/14	Estudiantes v Libertad	72-70
20/10/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	80-72
06/04/14	Libertad v Estudiantes	79-63

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/16	H	Atletico Echague Parana	84-74
10/11/16	A	Estudiantes	64-77
05/11/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	74-72
02/11/16	A	Regatas	81-90
31/10/16	A	San Martin	79-82 OT
29/10/16	A	La Union	69-80
24/10/16	H	San Martin	100-101 OT
22/10/16	H	La Union	82-65
20/10/16	H	Regatas	85-94
01/10/16	A	Quimsa	62-73

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/16	H	Joventut Badalona	83-71
10/11/16	H	Libertad	77-64
07/11/16	A	Olimpico	77-89
06/11/16	A	Tenerife	72-81
05/11/16	A	Quimsa	91-81
03/11/16	A	Atletico Echague Parana	86-73
26/10/16	H	La Union	91-72
24/10/16	H	Regatas	90-69
23/10/16	H	Real Madrid	88-96
21/10/16	H	Olimpico	105-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	25%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	25%	60%	0%
Points / game	76.5	85.0	70.4
Allowed / game	80.1	81.2	79.3
Point differential	-3.6	+3.8	-8.9
Avg total	156.6	166.2	149.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	17%	20%	14%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	WLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	67%	86%	50%
Points / game	81.7	84.1	79.6
Allowed / game	76.5	73.0	79.5
Point differential	+5.3	+11.1	+0.1
Avg total	158.2	157.1	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	71%	38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	12	10	2	83%	86.9	69.8	+17.1
2	San Martin	15	12	3	80%	82.7	75.1	+7.6
3	Gimnasia	13	10	3	77%	84.9	77.5	+7.4
4	Weber Bahia	14	10	4	71%	74.4	71.3	+3.1
5	Estudiantes	15	10	5	67%	81.7	76.5	+5.3
6	Quimsa	14	9	5	64%	79.6	75.6	+4.1
7	Olimpico	13	8	5	62%	81.8	73.7	+8.1
8	Ferro	15	9	6	60%	80.9	76.2	+4.7
9	Regatas	15	8	7	53%	85.3	83.2	+2.1
10	La Union	15	8	7	53%	74.7	78.4	-3.7
11	Obras Sanitarias	14	7	7	50%	83.1	83.1	+0.0
12	Instituto de Cordoba	14	7	7	50%	76.9	77.8	-0.9
13	Argentino	13	6	7	46%	73.2	75.2	-2.0
14	Penarol	14	6	8	43%	73.7	78.4	-4.6
15	Quilmes	14	5	9	36%	74.9	79.7	-4.9
16	Atenas	15	4	11	27%	78.3	80.3	-1.9
17	Libertad	12	3	9	25%	76.5	80.1	-3.6
18	Boca Juniors	14	3	11	21%	70.9	81.1	-10.1
19	Atletico Echague Parana	16	3	13	19%	73.8	89.2	-15.4
20	Hispano Americano	13	2	11	15%	72.8	81.6	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	17	23	16	28	84
Estudiantes	19	18	16	29	82

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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