PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Barreirense vs Sampaense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 89-87
25-17 30-21 18-24 16-25
Position#13
Record6-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#11
Record8-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game85.4
PortugalProligaRound 8· Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho
Other2024-25
Meetings · Barreirense v Sampaense
15 Mar 2025
BARR89
SAMP87
17 Mar 2024
BARR56
SAMP64
26 Mar 2023
BARR90
SAMP87
10 Feb 2013
BARR73
SAMP76
25 Mar 2012
BARR85
SAMP59
05 Dec 2010
BARR83
SAMP75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barreirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sampaense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BarreirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBarreirense
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
62avg 60
A28/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
54avg 60
H05/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
74-98
74
98
-24
59avg 60
A12/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
67avg 60
A25/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
86-60
86
60
+26
84avg 60
H02/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
77-90
77
90
-13
65avg 60
A08/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 60
H16/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 60
A22/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
66-82
66
82
-16
56avg 60
H01/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
65-68
65
68
-3
60avg 60
A08/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
23-29
17-23
22-15
17-25
15-16
12-23
21-10
22-20
27-29
14-24
11-25
18-27
25-23
16-18
14-18
23-17
15-11
21-14
27-18
13-26
20-18
18-25
26-21
10-20
25-20
24-18
21-32
21-29
23-15
14-6
22-17
19-20
9-19
15-21
23-22
17-19
17-17
16-16
15-16
154.0Avg total
73.9Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.875.4146.1-4.629%
Season at home (10)73.675.8149.4-2.240%
Season away (11)68.275.0143.2-6.818%
Last 10 (10)73.980.1154.0-6.220%
Last 5 (5)73.679.4153.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.277.0146.2-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.575.3148.7-1.836%
vs Weaker (7)68.768.1136.9+0.657%
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSampaense
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
W
86-83
86
83
+3
78avg 69
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
72avg 69
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
97-84
97
84
+13
72avg 69
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 69
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 69
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
84-74
84
74
+10
87avg 69
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
86-96
86
96
-10
80avg 69
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 69
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
71-93
71
93
-22
63avg 69
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 69
A08/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-24
27-19
21-22
11-21
16-27
19-16
29-23
20-10
33-24
23-24
21-26
27-18
23-25
18-16
18-14
18-18
18-21
16-13
27-21
22-21
19-19
24-16
19-18
24-36
28-14
22-24
12-22
24-27
20-24
15-20
21-29
19-31
15-17
16-19
21-26
13-16
26-21
17-20
21-25
166.6Avg total
82.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.085.4164.4-6.338%
Season at home (10)81.286.3167.5-5.150%
Season away (11)77.184.5161.6-7.527%
Last 10 (10)82.184.5166.6-2.450%
Last 5 (5)79.689.0168.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.482.3151.7-12.913%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.682.0166.6+2.658%
vs Weaker (3)77.381.7159.0-4.367%
This opponent (Barreirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.6-1.6
BarreirenseSampaense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BarreirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A28/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H05/01
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A12/01
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A25/01
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H02/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A08/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H01/03
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/03
Proliga
78.9Avg total
37.0Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.737.873.4-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.836.171.9-0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.539.575.0-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.041.978.9-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.675.4-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.740.776.3-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.436.570.9-2.227%-
vs Weaker (7)37.734.772.4+3.057%-
This opponent (Sampaense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SampaenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A28/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#5
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A04/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/01
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H25/01
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A01/02
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A08/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#14
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H15/02
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A22/02
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/03
Proliga
84.6Avg total
41.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.778.6-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.180.9+2.871%-
Last 30 away (16)34.542.176.6-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.284.6-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.287.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.339.574.8-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.241.883.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
This opponent (Barreirense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Barreirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Barreirense: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.4
50.0%
49.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.7
29.4%
30.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
68.4%14.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sampaensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sampaense: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.623.6
59.6%
49.9%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.6
33.7%
30.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.913.9
66.5%
68.4%13.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Barreirense
LLWLLWLLLL
Sampaense
LLLLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#11
-8.0
Net rating
-4.0
97.3
Offensive rating
108.2
105.2
Defensive rating
112.2
47.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
19.7%
Turnover %
20.8%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.4%
3-point %
33.7%
59.8%
Assist %
56.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 108.2Defence105.2 · 112.2Shooting47.8% · 56.6%3-point %29.4% · 33.7%Ball care19.7% · 20.8%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Barreirense   ■ Sampaense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Barreirense wins
6
Sampaense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AMaia65-68
01/03/25HSanto Andre66-82
22/02/25AGalitos Aveiro80-67
16/02/25HLusitania80-90
08/02/25AGinasio77-90
02/02/25HBenfica Lisboa B86-60
25/01/25ASampaense73-86
12/01/25ACB Queluz74-98
05/01/25HLusitania65-74
28/12/24APortimonense73-86
Sampaenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ASanto Andre77-82
01/03/25HGalitos Aveiro71-93
22/02/25ALusitania80-100
15/02/25HGinasio86-96
08/02/25ABenfica Lisboa B84-74
01/02/25AMaia79-73
25/01/25HBarreirense86-73
11/01/25HMaia97-84
04/01/25AIlliabum75-87
28/12/24AGalitos Aveiro86-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Barreirense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%40%18%
Points / game70.873.668.2
Allowed / game75.475.875.0
Point differential-4.6-2.2-6.8
Avg total146.1149.4143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Sampaense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game79.081.277.1
Allowed / game85.486.384.5
Point differential-6.3-5.1-7.5
Avg total164.4167.5161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Braga2117481%83.669.5+14.0
2 Vasco Da Gama2117481%82.976.5+6.4
3 CB Queluz2114767%77.773.9+3.8
4 CAB Madeira2113862%74.768.8+5.9
5 Portimonense2113862%76.272.5+3.8
6 Santo Andre2012860%72.969.2+3.7
7 Illiabum2112957%73.768.0+5.7
8 Lusitania21101148%77.276.2+1.0
9 Maia2091145%75.280.1-4.8
10 Imortal B2191243%66.571.5-5.0
11 Ginasio2191243%81.086.4-5.3
12 Sangalhos2181338%77.177.1+0.0
13 Sampaense2181338%79.085.4-6.3
14 Benfica Lisboa B2181338%68.375.0-6.7
15 Barreirense2161529%70.875.4-4.6
16 Galitos Aveiro2121910%67.479.0-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Barreirense2530181689
Sampaense1721242587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.