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Basket Napoli vs Treviso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game93.0
ItalyLega ARound 24· PalaBarbuto
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Basket Napoli v Treviso
27 Mar 2027
NAP v TRV
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
NAP88
TRV71
17 Nov 2024
NAP69
TRV84
03 Mar 2024
NAP95
TRV81
20 Nov 2022
NAP84
TRV82
10 Oct 2021
NAP82
TRV70
03 Sep 2021
NAP58
TRV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Napoli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket NapoliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
92-90
92
90
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
19-17
28-20
18-13
19-26
23-34
27-15
26-28
23-16
25-19
28-14
22-18
18-24
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
24-20
23-25
24-20
23-20
178.3Avg total
92.8Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)93.287.2180.4+6.080%
Season at home (2)90.595.5186.0-5.050%
Season away (3)95.081.7176.7+13.3100%
Last 10 (10)92.885.5178.3+7.390%
Last 5 (5)91.891.2183.0+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.796.2176.8-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.184.8171.9+2.350%
vs Weaker (8)92.682.0174.6+10.6100%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A12/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H18/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
99-90
99
90
+9
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
109-94
109
94
+15
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
77-106
77
106
-29
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#12
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
18-20
19-22
19-29
24-19
21-24
21-24
26-15
18-31
30-20
25-27
26-12
21-15
17-22
13-19
29-16
21-11
17-17
22-21
18-28
29-26
28-19
27-22
25-27
22-16
28-20
20-28
23-26
28-27
11-33
21-20
17-26
24-27
24-20
26-18
28-21
31-21
13-22
21-17
15-20
177.2Avg total
89.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.693.0188.6+2.680%
Season at home (2)105.590.0195.5+15.5100%
Season away (3)89.095.0184.0-6.067%
Last 10 (10)89.887.4177.2+2.480%
Last 5 (5)95.693.0188.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.488.2166.6-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (16)90.788.9179.6+1.862%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Basket NapoliTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maxima Roma
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/10
Eurocup
87.7Avg total
46.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.1+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.680.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.444.287.6-0.862%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.487.7+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.486.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.745.085.7-4.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.039.681.6+2.462%-
vs Weaker (8)46.541.487.9+5.188%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#11
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A12/04
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/04
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
44.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.285.7-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.343.286.5+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.745.384.9-5.620%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.786.7+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.646.293.8+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.445.183.4-6.77%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.243.587.8+0.856%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.2
58.6%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.9
41.9%
34.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.016.7
72.6%
74.4%16.7
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.6
55.0%
54.3%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.9
30.9%
34.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws27.919.9
71.3%
74.4%19.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Napoli
WWWLWWWWWW
Treviso
WWLWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#3
+8.3
Net rating
+2.6
105.9
Offensive rating
97.6
97.5
Defensive rating
95.0
60.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.42
41.9%
3-point %
30.9%
67.9%
Assist %
56.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 97.6Defence97.5 · 95.0Shooting60.5% · 52.2%3-point %41.9% · 30.9%Ball care16.3% · 12.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Basket Napoli   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Basket Napoli wins
2
Treviso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ANeptunas94-85
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80
06/10/26ABuducnost93-75
03/10/26HReggiana99-93
30/09/26HJL Bourg84-76
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AVenezia97-89 OT
18/10/26HUdine102-86
11/10/26AOlimpia Milano77-106
03/10/26ATrento93-90
26/09/26HBC Roma109-94
10/05/26HReggiana78-77
03/05/26ACantu80-72
26/04/26ABrescia99-90
18/04/26HUdine92-82
12/04/26ABasket Napoli71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Napoli
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game93.290.595.0
Allowed / game87.295.581.7
Point differential+6.0-5.0+13.3
Avg total180.4186.0176.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game95.6105.589.0
Allowed / game93.090.095.0
Point differential+2.6+15.5-6.0
Avg total188.6195.5184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli54180%93.287.2+6.0
3 Treviso54180%95.693.0+2.6
4 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
5 Venezia53260%90.288.6+1.6
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Verona53260%90.088.8+1.2
8 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
9 Varese53260%86.888.2-1.4
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Reggiana52340%85.284.4+0.8
12 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
13 BC Roma51420%99.697.8+1.8
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati51420%78.490.0-11.6
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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