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Basket Zaragoza vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-63
10-17 15-20 23-16 29-10
Position#12
Record2-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game85.7
vs
Position#13
Record4-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 8· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Bilbao
24 Apr 2027
ZAR v BIL
upcoming
07 Feb 2026
ZAR82
BIL84
30 Nov 2024
ZAR82
BIL71
04 Nov 2023
ZAR77
BIL63
26 Nov 2022
ZAR67
BIL74
01 May 2022
ZAR80
BIL82
13 Dec 2020
ZAR105
BIL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
W
100-92
100
92
+8
98avg 74
H27/09
ACB
Pardubice
#45
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 74
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jamtland
#27
W
81-65
81
65
+16
79avg 74
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 74
A07/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-80
72
80
-8
68avg 74
A11/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
70-78
70
78
-8
58avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
117avg 74
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
78-72
78
72
+6
82avg 74
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-26
27-22
25-20
21-21
17-24
27-21
29-22
22-18
25-25
15-9
19-13
21-25
17-22
8-14
29-20
15-20
17-9
16-34
24-17
23-24
11-21
24-20
22-20
30-27
17-12
14-15
20-27
21-26
11-14
16-19
22-19
26-14
29-18
36-29
22-22
14-24
18-15
20-21
26-12
166.5Avg total
85.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.985.7168.6-2.929%
Season at home (3)97.786.7184.3+11.067%
Season away (4)71.885.0156.8-13.20%
Last 10 (10)85.481.1166.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)86.481.0167.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.586.3166.8-5.840%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.281.1163.3+1.140%
vs Weaker (5)83.876.4160.2+7.480%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
95-73
95
73
+22
89avg 69
H24/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
72-92
72
92
-20
64avg 69
A30/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 69
A04/10
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
69avg 69
H08/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
94-93
94
93
+1
87avg 69
H14/10
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
W
83-79
83
79
+4
72avg 69
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
54avg 69
A22/10
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
W
89-64
89
64
+25
92avg 69
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
93-94 OT
93
94
-1
no box
H29/10
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
106-58
106
58
+48
105avg 69
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
17-17
22-10
27-23
20-18
11-22
16-27
25-25
18-16
23-24
15-21
22-16
12-10
28-14
13-22
24-22
21-23
25-20
23-25
25-25
23-24
15-25
22-12
23-18
19-21
20-26
18-22
25-22
29-17
17-15
21-9
22-23
20-27
16-17
20-14
24-22
22-19
20-14
34-11
30-14
165.8Avg total
86.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.484.0168.4+0.457%
Season at home (4)89.882.0171.8+7.875%
Season away (3)77.386.7164.0-9.333%
Last 10 (10)86.978.9165.8+8.070%
Last 5 (5)90.677.2167.8+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.386.5160.7-12.218%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.179.5158.6-0.353%
vs Weaker (4)89.068.0157.0+21.075%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +3.7+3.7
Basket ZaragozaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H27/09
ACB
Pardubice
#45
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jamtland
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A11/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H15/10
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.2Avg total
40.3Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.675.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.075.9+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)36.639.075.6-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.981.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.079.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.338.676.9-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.936.572.4-0.547%-
vs Weaker (5)44.639.083.6+5.680%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H24/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/10
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/10
ACB
Anwil Wloclawek
#15
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A22/10
ACB
CSU Sibiu
#51
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H29/10
ACB
Caledonia Gladiators
#26
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
79.7Avg total
40.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.976.2-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.735.874.5+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)35.942.478.2-6.514%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.279.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.540.074.5-5.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.239.277.4-1.053%-
vs Weaker (4)42.234.576.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.324.5
59.3%
53.0%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.8
34.0%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.815.8
76.0%
75.6%15.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.6
54.1%
53.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.6
35.3%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.9
73.5%
75.6%13.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WWLWLLLWWW
Bilbao
WLWLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#13
+6.4
Net rating
+7.0
111.9
Offensive rating
110.1
105.5
Defensive rating
103.2
56.6%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
35.3%
55.3%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 110.1Defence105.5 · 103.2Shooting56.6% · 53.8%3-point %34.0% · 35.3%Ball care18.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds27.0% · 29.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-72
28/10/23HJoventut Badalona113-83
22/10/23AGranada70-78
18/10/23ABrindisi91-87 OT
15/10/23HBaskonia80-85
11/10/23AObradoiro CAB72-80
07/10/23AManresa75-81
05/10/23AJamtland81-65
03/10/23HPardubice94-88
27/09/23HUnicaja100-92
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/23HCaledonia Gladiators106-58
29/10/23HTenerife93-94 OT
25/10/23HCSU Sibiu89-64
22/10/23ABarcelona82-91
18/10/23AAnwil Wloclawek83-79
14/10/23HGranada94-93
08/10/23HMurcia77-68
04/10/23AObradoiro CAB78-77
30/09/23ABaskonia72-92
24/09/23HMoraBanc Andorra95-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game82.997.771.8
Allowed / game85.786.785.0
Point differential-2.9+11.0-13.2
Avg total168.6184.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game84.489.877.3
Allowed / game84.082.086.7
Point differential+0.4+7.8-9.3
Avg total168.4171.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%93.378.1+15.1
2 Valencia76186%80.376.6+3.7
3 Barcelona75271%84.480.1+4.3
4 Unicaja74357%89.782.6+7.1
5 Murcia74357%86.182.7+3.4
6 MoraBanc Andorra74357%83.081.4+1.6
7 Basquet Girona74357%82.981.9+1.0
8 Baskonia74357%83.382.6+0.7
9 Bilbao74357%84.484.0+0.4
10 Manresa74357%87.387.1+0.1
11 Obradoiro CAB73443%82.079.6+2.4
12 Tenerife73443%80.984.9-4.0
13 Joventut Badalona73443%83.991.3-7.4
14 Gran Canaria73443%77.385.1-7.9
15 Basket Zaragoza72529%82.985.7-2.9
16 Granada71614%86.990.9-4.0
17 Breogan71614%71.778.6-6.9
18 Palencia71614%74.781.7-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza1015232977
Bilbao1720161063
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