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Basket Zaragoza vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 80-85
23-24 11-21 24-20 22-20
Position#12
Record1-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#8
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game80.0
SpainACBRound 5· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Baskonia
06 Jan 2027
ZAR v BAS
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
ZAR107
BAS88
17 Nov 2024
ZAR86
BAS85
15 Oct 2023
ZAR80
BAS85
16 Oct 2022
ZAR83
BAS97
28 Dec 2021
ZAR97
BAS79
27 Dec 2020
ZAR89
BAS92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 73
H06/05
ACB
Granada
#16
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 73
A09/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
no box
H13/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
66avg 73
A23/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-101
70
101
-31
52avg 73
A24/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
100-92
100
92
+8
98avg 73
H27/09
ACB
Pardubice
#45
W
94-88
94
88
+6
85avg 73
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jamtland
#27
W
81-65
81
65
+16
79avg 73
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 73
A07/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-80
72
80
-8
68avg 73
A11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
24-12
19-22
25-26
30-14
9-21
17-17
12-19
17-15
18-18
20-24
21-19
25-17
12-27
15-20
17-28
18-33
13-24
19-26
20-18
23-24
25-26
27-22
25-20
21-21
17-24
27-21
29-22
22-18
25-25
15-9
19-13
21-25
17-22
8-14
29-20
15-20
17-9
16-34
24-17
164.6Avg total
80.4Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.288.5167.8-9.225%
Season at home (1)100.092.0192.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)72.387.3159.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)80.484.2164.6-3.840%
Last 5 (5)84.481.2165.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.984.6163.5-5.736%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.180.9160.9-0.836%
vs Weaker (5)80.270.4150.6+9.880%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 68
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 68
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 68
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
70avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
89avg 68
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 68
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
92-72
92
72
+20
85avg 68
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
71avg 68
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
90-81
90
81
+9
68avg 68
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
85avg 68
A12/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-21
19-28
20-18
21-15
19-19
19-18
16-18
16-28
23-20
27-30
25-21
19-21
21-25
22-25
14-12
23-19
26-18
18-20
21-22
13-18
11-20
24-23
28-27
18-20
22-11
27-16
25-25
23-19
24-24
20-19
10-17
20-13
25-20
17-23
28-25
25-21
26-26
25-14
15-25
166.8Avg total
84.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.580.0166.5+6.575%
Season at home (1)92.072.0164.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)84.782.7167.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)84.082.8166.8+1.250%
Last 5 (5)85.281.2166.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.582.5160.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.084.1168.1-0.140%
vs Weaker (18)95.084.7179.7+10.389%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Basket ZaragozaBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/05
ACB
Granada
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A23/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A24/09
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H27/09
ACB
Pardubice
#45
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H03/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jamtland
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A07/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A11/10
ACB
80.0Avg total
38.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.474.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.735.774.4+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.338.974.2-3.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.280.0-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.883.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.138.576.6-0.545%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.536.671.1-2.143%-
vs Weaker (5)41.037.278.2+3.860%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H27/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A30/05
ACB
Breogan
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/09
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A27/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/09
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H06/10
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A08/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A12/10
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
42.0Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.241.886.1+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.442.489.8+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.541.382.8+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.479.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.084.0-4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.643.082.6-3.410%-
vs Weaker (18)47.340.988.2+6.378%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.1
55.0%
53.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.47.1
34.8%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
75.6%14.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.3
54.7%
53.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.2
33.1%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
75.6%14.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LLWWWLLLLW
Baskonia
WWLWLWLLWL
#12
League position
#8
-5.1
Net rating
+1.1
107.2
Offensive rating
110.3
112.4
Defensive rating
109.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
33.1%
55.1%
Assist %
58.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 110.3Defence112.4 · 109.2Shooting54.0% · 52.5%3-point %34.8% · 33.1%Ball care18.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AObradoiro CAB72-80
07/10/23AManresa75-81
05/10/23AJamtland81-65
03/10/23HPardubice94-88
27/09/23HUnicaja100-92
24/09/23AReal Madrid70-101
23/05/23ATenerife69-92
13/05/23HBasquet Girona88-95 OT
09/05/23AGranada68-71
06/05/23HJoventut Badalona87-77
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/23AAlba Berlin91-86
08/10/23AGranada90-81
06/10/23HReal Madrid77-79
30/09/23HBilbao92-72
27/09/23AMurcia76-88
24/09/23ABreogan88-79
30/05/23AJoventut Badalona76-83
27/05/23HJoventut Badalona91-99
24/05/23ABasquet Girona75-70
14/05/23HBarcelona84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game79.2100.072.3
Allowed / game88.592.087.3
Point differential-9.2+8.0-15.0
Avg total167.8192.0159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game86.592.084.7
Allowed / game80.072.082.7
Point differential+6.5+20.0+2.0
Avg total166.5164.0167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%96.080.6+15.4
2 Bilbao54180%83.280.6+2.6
3 Baskonia43175%86.580.0+6.5
4 Valencia43175%86.582.5+4.0
5 Barcelona43175%87.283.8+3.5
6 Basquet Girona53260%83.882.4+1.4
7 Murcia53260%86.485.6+0.8
8 Manresa53260%88.488.4+0.0
9 Joventut Badalona53260%84.086.4-2.4
10 Gran Canaria42250%78.084.5-6.5
11 Unicaja52340%89.684.8+4.8
12 Obradoiro CAB52340%81.878.2+3.6
13 MoraBanc Andorra52340%80.483.6-3.2
14 Tenerife52340%79.283.8-4.6
15 Breogan41325%78.582.0-3.5
16 Basket Zaragoza41325%79.288.5-9.2
17 Granada5050%89.295.2-6.0
18 Palencia5050%76.284.4-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2311242280
Baskonia2421202085
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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