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Bilbao vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 81-68
18-16 15-8 23-23 25-21
Position#12
Record10-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game80.6
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#13
Record9-15
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.5
SpainACBRound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bilbao v Basket Zaragoza
13 Dec 2026
BIL v ZAR
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
BIL106
ZAR75
18 May 2025
BIL104
ZAR111
27 Jan 2024
BIL86
ZAR83
01 Apr 2023
BIL81
ZAR68
23 Sep 2021
BIL76
ZAR100
23 Jan 2021
BIL73
ZAR96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
64-77
64
77
-13
58avg 68
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 68
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
90-73
90
73
+17
83avg 68
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
71-94
71
94
-23
57avg 68
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 68
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
54avg 68
A12/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
L
85-95
85
95
-10
80avg 68
A14/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 68
H19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 68
H21/03
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 68
A26/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
15-17
17-28
12-7
17-16
12-17
17-26
20-19
20-18
22-16
22-21
26-18
14-29
23-16
19-26
15-23
19-23
24-12
20-17
9-22
15-11
13-27
13-26
24-22
24-22
28-22
15-25
18-26
19-16
23-21
19-18
23-22
17-22
11-13
17-12
22-24
17-24
10-27
25-27
26-22
156.7Avg total
74.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.680.6157.2-4.042%
Season at home (11)81.176.0157.1+5.164%
Season away (13)72.884.5157.2-11.723%
Last 10 (10)74.282.5156.7-8.320%
Last 5 (5)75.885.8161.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.282.8153.0-12.58%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.879.9156.8-3.142%
vs Weaker (6)88.076.7164.7+11.367%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 68
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
no box
H14/01
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
75avg 68
A22/01
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
H29/01
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A05/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 68
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 68
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 68
H11/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 68
A19/03
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
87avg 68
H26/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
12-15
27-13
18-12
16-24
17-18
17-15
23-16
14-23
17-19
18-32
27-14
24-18
18-12
15-28
19-18
23-16
9-23
22-30
25-22
31-20
21-13
22-22
11-16
19-12
27-12
23-30
16-29
13-16
12-13
16-28
37-22
28-20
21-19
24-21
14-11
24-22
14-14
20-19
28-20
161.2Avg total
82.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.880.5159.2-1.838%
Season at home (12)80.881.3162.1-0.642%
Season away (12)76.879.7156.4-2.933%
Last 10 (10)82.079.2161.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)84.275.8160.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.385.5163.8-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.077.9155.9+0.136%
vs Weaker (3)79.070.0149.0+9.067%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
BilbaoBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A04/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A07/02
Champions League
Granada
#16
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/03
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H07/03
Champions League
Real Madrid
#3
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A12/03
ACB
Darussafaka
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A14/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/03
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
ACB
75.7Avg total
36.3Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.576.4-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.838.277.0+0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)35.240.675.8-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.339.475.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.076.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.740.073.7-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.838.475.2-1.642%-
vs Weaker (6)43.340.784.0+2.750%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/01
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A22/01
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H29/01
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/03
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/03
ACB
72.9Avg total
37.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.637.773.3-2.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.136.172.2-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.374.4-4.120%-
Last 10 (10)37.535.472.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.274.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.475.4-3.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.636.971.5-2.236%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.372.7+4.033%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.0
48.3%
52.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.2
32.9%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.4
77.0%
73.9%12.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.3
53.7%
52.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.4
34.9%
34.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.511.8
63.8%
73.9%11.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLWLLLLWLL
Basket Zaragoza
WWLWWLWLLW
#12
League position
#13
-12.4
Net rating
+0.4
104.5
Offensive rating
102.2
116.9
Defensive rating
101.8
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.9%
3-point %
34.9%
57.6%
Assist %
57.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 102.2Defence116.9 · 101.8Shooting48.7% · 53.2%3-point %32.9% · 34.9%Ball care17.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds32.1% · 28.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Bilbao   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bilbao wins
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
26/11/22Basket Zaragoza v Bilbao67-74
01/05/22Basket Zaragoza v Bilbao80-82
23/09/21Bilbao v Basket Zaragoza76-100
23/01/21Bilbao v Basket Zaragoza73-96
13/12/20Basket Zaragoza v Bilbao105-76
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23ABaskonia78-100
21/03/23HMurcia67-71
19/03/23HBasquet Girona84-77
14/03/23ADarussafaka85-95
12/03/23AReal Madrid65-86
07/03/23HTenerife72-74
05/03/23AGran Canaria71-94
11/02/23HGranada90-73
07/02/23ATenerife66-78
04/02/23AObradoiro CAB64-77
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/23HValencia86-75
19/03/23ABreogan87-71
11/03/23HObradoiro CAB78-79
04/03/23HBarcelona85-83
11/02/23AFuenlabrada85-71
05/02/23ABaskonia79-91
29/01/23HReal Betis89-82 OT
22/01/23AValencia76-88
14/01/23HTenerife83-87 OT
08/01/23AManresa72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %42%64%23%
Points / game76.681.172.8
Allowed / game80.676.084.5
Point differential-4.0+5.1-11.7
Avg total157.2157.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW38%
HomeLWWLW42%
AwayWLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game78.880.876.8
Allowed / game80.581.379.7
Point differential-1.8-0.6-2.9
Avg total159.2162.1156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %17%25%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2420483%88.376.1+12.2
2 Barcelona2420483%84.473.2+11.2
3 Baskonia2420483%91.281.8+9.5
4 Tenerife2418675%82.972.9+10.0
5 Unicaja2516964%86.577.4+9.1
6 Joventut Badalona2516964%81.877.3+4.4
7 Gran Canaria24141058%83.678.8+4.8
8 Valencia24131154%84.283.2+0.9
9 Breogan25121348%78.279.5-1.4
10 Obradoiro CAB24111346%77.881.2-3.4
11 Bilbao24101442%76.680.6-4.0
12 Basket Zaragoza2491538%78.880.5-1.8
13 Murcia2491538%79.184.9-5.8
14 Basquet Girona2481633%76.280.8-4.5
15 Granada2481633%77.786.5-8.8
16 Manresa2461825%82.390.8-8.5
17 Real Betis2451921%76.885.5-8.7
18 Fuenlabrada2532212%77.092.2-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1815232581
Basket Zaragoza168232168
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