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Bilbao vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 77-68
12-10 28-14 13-22 24-22
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.7
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game81.7
SpainACBRound 4· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bilbao v Murcia
15 Nov 2026
BIL v MUR
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BIL96
MUR82
27 Apr 2025
BIL80
MUR83
08 Oct 2023
BIL77
MUR68
21 Mar 2023
BIL67
MUR71
08 Jan 2023
BIL99
MUR81
23 Apr 2022
BIL78
MUR77
15 Nov 2020
BIL63
MUR73
20 May 2018
BIL73
MUR82
19 Mar 2017
BIL71
MUR82
07 Feb 2016
BIL90
MUR79
19 Oct 2014
BIL82
MUR74
21 Apr 2014
BIL82
MUR69
19 Dec 2012
BIL98
MUR75
30 Oct 2011
BIL95
MUR80
14 Mar 2010
BIL58
MUR57
16 Apr 2009
BIL91
MUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 67
A22/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
30avg 67
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
73avg 67
H29/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 67
A06/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 67
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
55-67
55
67
-12
47avg 67
A14/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
H23/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
95-73
95
73
+22
89avg 67
H24/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
72-92
72
92
-20
64avg 67
A30/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 67
A04/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-28
20-18
21-24
8-25
20-12
13-29
19-17
24-14
12-19
25-22
19-21
22-22
13-20
25-18
18-26
17-15
22-21
27-12
17-18
7-18
17-12
17-19
14-18
16-21
25-28
11-22
19-32
29-23
17-17
22-10
27-23
20-18
11-22
16-27
25-25
18-16
23-24
15-21
22-16
157.8Avg total
76.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.780.7162.3+1.067%
Season at home (1)95.073.0168.0+22.0100%
Season away (2)75.084.5159.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)76.081.8157.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)74.282.4156.6-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)70.386.2156.5-15.99%
vs Similar (17)77.979.4157.4-1.547%
vs Weaker (2)80.575.0155.5+5.550%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
74avg 70
A23/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
71avg 70
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
65-60
65
60
+5
57avg 70
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
59avg 70
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
36avg 70
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 70
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
no box
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 70
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 70
H30/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-25
20-28
21-26
12-23
16-11
30-15
25-15
18-24
24-25
29-12
25-35
16-15
18-12
20-8
11-25
18-7
12-17
19-17
18-14
15-23
11-18
18-21
13-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
18-19
24-25
15-15
18-17
19-19
18-13
20-11
23-24
27-28
19-17
10-20
26-20
25-11
160.3Avg total
81.2Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.781.7172.3+9.0100%
Season at home (2)84.072.0156.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)104.0101.0205.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.279.1160.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)80.682.0162.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.089.3167.3-11.327%
vs Similar (14)83.277.4160.6+5.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.581.2166.8+4.275%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
BilbaoMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A22/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A06/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/05
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A14/05
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H23/05
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H24/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A30/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A04/10
ACB
76.8Avg total
36.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.839.375.1-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.336.373.6+1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)34.541.976.4-7.412%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.076.8-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.876.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.040.873.8-7.89%-
vs Similar (17)37.138.675.7-1.647%-
vs Weaker (2)40.536.577.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A23/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/09
ACB
70.1Avg total
34.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.575.2-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.974.8+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.641.075.6-6.427%-
Last 10 (10)34.535.670.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.670.4-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.642.378.9-5.618%-
vs Similar (14)37.934.872.7+3.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)32.840.273.0-7.50%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.0
50.9%
53.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
75.6%12.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.9
49.2%
53.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.68.9
30.1%
34.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.211.5
71.0%
75.6%11.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWLLWLWLL
Murcia
WWWLLWWWWL
#13
League position
#6
-7.4
Net rating
+4.4
99.9
Offensive rating
100.6
107.3
Defensive rating
96.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.4%
3-point %
30.1%
58.8%
Assist %
56.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 100.6Defence107.3 · 96.2Shooting50.0% · 47.4%3-point %32.4% · 30.1%Ball care18.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.7% · 28.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Bilbao   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bilbao wins
7
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Murcia v Bilbao67-55
21/03/23Bilbao v Murcia67-71
31/01/23Murcia v Bilbao90-72
08/01/23Bilbao v Murcia99-81
23/04/22Bilbao v Murcia78-77
10/10/21Murcia v Bilbao92-87
28/03/21Murcia v Bilbao82-90 OT
15/11/20Bilbao v Murcia63-73
20/05/18Bilbao v Murcia73-82
19/11/17Murcia v Bilbao82-71
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/23AObradoiro CAB78-77
30/09/23ABaskonia72-92
24/09/23HMoraBanc Andorra95-73
23/05/23HUnicaja71-103
14/05/23AMurcia55-67
10/05/23HBreogan83-66
06/05/23AReal Betis78-86
29/04/23HManresa80-76
26/04/23HTenerife60-83
22/04/23AValencia88-95
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/23HTenerife80-68
27/09/23HBaskonia88-76
23/09/23AGranada104-101 OT
16/09/23HUnicaja74-79
24/05/23ABarcelona57-86
14/05/23HBilbao67-55
07/05/23ABreogan65-60
03/05/23ATenerife111-109 OT
29/04/23HFuenlabrada83-64
23/04/23AManresa83-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game81.795.075.0
Allowed / game80.773.084.5
Point differential+1.0+22.0-9.5
Avg total162.3168.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.784.0104.0
Allowed / game81.772.0101.0
Point differential+9.0+12.0+3.0
Avg total172.3156.0205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid330100%93.779.0+14.7
2 Basquet Girona330100%93.080.0+13.0
3 Murcia330100%90.781.7+9.0
4 Joventut Badalona43175%82.279.8+2.5
5 Baskonia32167%85.379.7+5.7
6 Barcelona32167%86.082.7+3.3
7 Valencia32167%87.083.7+3.3
8 Bilbao32167%81.780.7+1.0
9 Obradoiro CAB21150%80.571.0+9.5
10 Manresa42250%87.587.8-0.2
11 Unicaja31233%88.785.7+3.0
12 MoraBanc Andorra31233%74.379.3-5.0
13 Basket Zaragoza31233%81.791.3-9.7
14 Gran Canaria31233%78.789.7-11.0
15 Breogan41325%78.582.0-3.5
16 Tenerife41325%79.288.2-9.0
17 Granada3030%90.797.3-6.7
18 Palencia4040%72.582.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1228132477
Murcia1014222268
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