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Baskonia vs Basket Zaragoza Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.2
SpainACBRound 26· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Baskonia v Basket Zaragoza
28 Mar 2027
BAS v ZAR
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
BAS115
ZAR88
03 May 2025
BAS90
ZAR84
30 Mar 2024
BAS102
ZAR94
05 Feb 2023
BAS91
ZAR79
07 May 2022
BAS91
ZAR59
31 Jan 2021
BAS89
ZAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Dubai
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
74avg 83
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 83
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
78avg 83
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
68avg 83
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
67avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
106-83
106
83
+23
no box
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
L
65-84
65
84
-19
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
no box
A07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
30-22
20-18
33-24
23-19
18-33
14-19
9-11
24-21
27-20
27-19
24-23
20-31
171.0Avg total
82.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)95.084.3179.3+10.771%
Season at home (3)105.778.0183.7+27.7100%
Season away (4)87.089.0176.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)82.288.8171.0-6.620%
Last 5 (5)86.891.6178.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.594.1175.6-12.610%
vs Similar (11)80.883.7164.5-2.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)102.985.3188.2+17.6100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
68avg 81
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 81
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 81
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 81
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 81
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 81
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 81
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
109-98
109
98
+11
103avg 81
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 81
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 81
H31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-23
17-25
25-30
17-22
26-23
21-27
26-28
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
23-21
25-19
30-20
29-18
182.2Avg total
90.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.087.2179.2+4.867%
Season at home (3)99.391.0190.3+8.367%
Season away (3)84.783.3168.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)90.691.6182.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)94.288.6182.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.898.0180.8-15.28%
vs Similar (12)86.790.2176.8-3.542%
vs Weaker (5)94.078.2172.2+15.880%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
BaskoniaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#8
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H01/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
L
32-52
32
52
-20
A05/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#17
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/11
ACB
85.8Avg total
40.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.185.1-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.187.5+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.144.282.4-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.985.8-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)44.247.291.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.548.889.3-8.310%-
vs Similar (11)38.240.578.7-2.427%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.439.888.2+8.789%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/10
ACB
88.1Avg total
46.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.185.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.841.185.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.744.985.6-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.188.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.086.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.547.187.5-6.615%-
vs Similar (12)43.841.585.2+2.258%-
vs Weaker (5)45.436.882.2+8.680%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
75.8%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.6
53.5%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.810.1
39.1%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.819.1
74.0%
75.8%19.1
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLLLLLLL
Basket Zaragoza
WLWWLWWLLL
#2
League position
#6
-3.1
Net rating
-0.9
96.5
Offensive rating
101.0
99.6
Defensive rating
101.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
55.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.40
34.2%
3-point %
39.1%
67.3%
Assist %
62.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 101.0Defence99.6 · 101.9Shooting51.7% · 55.6%3-point %34.2% · 39.1%Ball care15.5% · 15.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Baskonia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AForca Lleida98-93
05/11/26AFenerbahce65-84
01/11/26HManresa106-83
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HBasquet Girona107-78
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
24/05/26HMurcia90-100
16/05/26AManresa83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game95.0105.787.0
Allowed / game84.378.089.0
Point differential+10.7+27.7-2.0
Avg total179.3183.7176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game92.099.384.7
Allowed / game87.291.083.3
Point differential+4.8+8.3+1.3
Avg total179.2190.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Baskonia75271%95.084.3+10.7
3 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao74357%92.092.6-0.6
9 Basquet Girona74357%90.797.3-6.6
10 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
11 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
12 Obradoiro CAB73443%90.396.6-6.3
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida71614%92.9105.6-12.7
18 Manresa71614%86.6102.3-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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