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Baskonia vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-84
22-23 22-19 21-16 25-26
Position#7
Record15-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Position#12
Record12-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game89.8
SpainACBRound 30· Fernando Buesa Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Baskonia v Basket Zaragoza
28 Mar 2027
BAS v ZAR
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
BAS115
ZAR88
03 May 2025
BAS90
ZAR84
30 Mar 2024
BAS102
ZAR94
05 Feb 2023
BAS91
ZAR79
07 May 2022
BAS91
ZAR59
31 Jan 2021
BAS89
ZAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
90-84
90
84
+6
83avg 78
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
74avg 78
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
74avg 78
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 78
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 78
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
89-111
89
111
-22
82avg 78
A10/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 78
A12/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 78
H20/04
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
117avg 78
A27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-29
28-15
21-20
22-28
22-21
15-18
17-25
13-19
19-27
27-26
18-10
13-34
21-23
23-17
25-14
30-14
32-20
30-19
19-22
22-11
24-24
27-23
19-18
18-31
17-31
26-20
28-29
28-20
15-18
24-20
24-24
29-26
23-25
19-16
18-26
29-19
22-25
25-24
18-26
183.3Avg total
92.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.987.8175.7+0.252%
Season at home (14)92.588.2180.7+4.357%
Season away (15)83.787.3171.0-3.747%
Last 10 (10)92.590.8183.3+1.750%
Last 5 (5)97.897.4195.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.693.4182.0-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.185.1173.2+2.957%
vs Weaker (8)90.483.8174.1+6.662%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
L
83-83
83
83
+0
74avg 81
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
91-97
91
97
-6
84avg 81
A09/03
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 81
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
79avg 81
H15/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
95-97
95
97
-2
91avg 81
A23/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 81
H29/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
81avg 81
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 81
A20/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 81
H26/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
84-76
84
76
+8
66avg 81
H30/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
14-19
22-19
18-19
19-17
24-33
18-22
30-25
16-23
14-22
18-17
23-28
24-8
14-14
19-21
27-26
27-20
25-22
25-26
18-29
21-22
25-21
17-29
26-21
20-24
28-27
16-21
19-23
23-24
19-18
23-22
20-26
21-24
19-19
28-23
19-31
26-27
10-21
23-14
25-14
173.9Avg total
85.2Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.189.8178.9-0.841%
Season at home (15)90.184.3174.4+5.967%
Season away (14)87.995.8183.7-7.914%
Last 10 (10)85.288.7173.9-3.520%
Last 5 (5)85.690.2175.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.492.6178.0-7.122%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.185.4171.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (5)91.484.0175.4+7.460%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
BaskoniaBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H22/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A30/03
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H04/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A10/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H20/04
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/04
ACB
90.5Avg total
44.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.085.0-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.139.987.0+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)37.445.883.2-8.431%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.590.5-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.091.4-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.643.984.5-3.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.643.686.3-1.057%-
vs Weaker (8)42.041.183.1+0.938%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A09/03
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#4
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H15/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A23/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H30/04
ACB
84.9Avg total
41.8Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.184.8-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.541.481.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)43.045.188.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.184.9-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.487.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.043.384.3-2.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.142.683.7-1.444%-
vs Weaker (5)44.644.689.2+0.040%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.122.0
57.7%
54.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.7
39.6%
35.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.315.1
70.9%
76.4%15.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.9
52.0%
54.0%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.3
37.0%
35.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
76.4%14.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLWWLLLW
Basket Zaragoza
WLLLLLWLLL
#7
League position
#12
+1.6
Net rating
-4.6
120.1
Offensive rating
110.8
118.5
Defensive rating
115.4
58.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.6%
3-point %
37.0%
61.8%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 110.8Defence118.5 · 115.4Shooting58.4% · 53.7%3-point %39.6% · 37.0%Ball care16.6% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.0% · 30.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Baskonia   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Baskonia wins
2
Basket Zaragoza wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AValencia128-125 OT
20/04/25HTenerife89-93
12/04/25AMurcia91-82
10/04/25AOlimpia Milano89-111
06/04/25HBasquet Girona92-76
04/04/25HLyon-Villeurbanne111-75
30/03/25ABreogan82-88
28/03/25AFenerbahce77-82
26/03/25AAnadolu Efes76-92
22/03/25HManresa90-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HLeyma Coruna84-76
26/04/25HGran Canaria87-97
20/04/25ABreogan85-90
06/04/25AManresa83-95
29/03/25HTenerife89-93
23/03/25ABarcelona95-97
15/03/25HUnicaja84-69
12/03/25ACholet71-90
09/03/25AForca Lleida91-97
05/03/25HCholet83-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game87.992.583.7
Allowed / game87.888.287.3
Point differential+0.2+4.3-3.7
Avg total175.7180.7171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)43% (7)67% (9)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW41%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%67%14%
Points / game89.190.187.9
Allowed / game89.884.395.8
Point differential-0.8+5.9-7.9
Avg total178.9174.4183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2925486%87.778.0+9.7
2 Tenerife3023777%87.082.8+4.3
3 Valencia2921872%97.085.9+11.1
4 Unicaja30201067%89.384.4+4.9
5 Barcelona29181162%91.886.9+5.0
6 Manresa29161355%88.385.0+3.3
7 Joventut Badalona29161355%85.384.2+1.1
8 Gran Canaria28151354%83.984.0-0.1
9 Baskonia29151452%87.987.8+0.2
10 Murcia29141548%81.581.5+0.0
11 Basket Zaragoza29121741%89.189.8-0.8
12 Breogan29121741%79.486.1-6.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra29111838%87.191.0-3.9
14 Forca Lleida28101836%83.687.4-3.8
15 Bilbao29101934%81.283.6-2.3
16 Basquet Girona29101934%81.087.6-6.6
17 Granada2972224%80.987.3-6.4
18 Leyma Coruna2962321%86.095.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2222212590
Basket Zaragoza2319162684
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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