Baskonia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 107-77

35-19 24-25 24-15 24-18

Position#4

Record16-4

FormWWWLW

Points / game85.2

Allowed / game75.1

Baskonia 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#17

Record4-16

FormLLWLW

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game83.7

ACBRound 21

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Baskonia v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baskonia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

95-83

+12

H24/01

ACB

Barcelona

81-78 OT

A29/01

Euroleague

Murcia

66-68

-2

A31/01

ACB

Real Madrid

#12

77-68

A05/02

Euroleague

Valencia

79-73

H07/02

ACB

Bamberg

90-64

+26

H11/02

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#15

86-69

+17

A13/02

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

79-77

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

80-86

-6

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

71-65

H25/02

Euroleague

25-21

27-22

28-19

15-21

13-15

18-14

20-15

19-26

14-20

20-14

24-22

8-12

19-19

22-18

18-12

18-19

21-17

13-18

23-11

22-27

26-13

23-17

23-16

18-18

21-13

18-24

27-17

20-15

24-12

11-18

23-30

21-17

17-25

27-15

17-20

19-26

22-20

10-12

13-21

26-12

153.5Avg total

80.4Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	85.2	75.1	160.3	+10.2	80%
Season at home (10)	87.8	77.4	165.2	+10.4	90%
Season away (10)	82.7	72.8	155.5	+9.9	70%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	73.1	153.5	+7.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	72.2	153.4	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	83.5	79.0	162.5	+4.5	75%
vs Similar (8)	76.1	74.4	150.5	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	87.9	74.1	162.1	+13.8	82%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#12

76-65

+11

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

86-80

H03/02

Liga A

Penarol

86-81

A06/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

79-97

-18

A07/02

ACB

Quilmes

#17

65-90

-25

A07/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

68-70

-2

A10/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

69-73

-4

H13/02

Liga A

Manresa

#16

86-57

+29

H14/02

ACB

Ferro

#15

78-84

-6

H17/02

Liga A

Sionista

#20

67-57

+10

H22/02

Liga A

11-15

12-16

24-16

29-18

22-25

25-9

23-21

16-25

19-25

19-21

19-24

29-11

21-22

18-28

22-25

18-22

14-21

13-19

17-27

21-23

21-13

13-16

19-16

15-25

10-23

11-12

23-18

25-20

24-20

18-16

23-6

21-15

19-12

14-19

25-25

20-28

25-17

12-11

16-15

14-14

151.4Avg total

76.0Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.2	83.7	159.9	-7.5	20%
Season at home (10)	81.7	84.0	165.7	-2.3	20%
Season away (10)	70.8	83.4	154.2	-12.6	20%
Last 10 (10)	76.0	75.4	151.4	+0.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.6	68.2	141.8	+5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	79.7	84.5	164.2	-4.7	47%
vs Similar (14)	72.8	76.6	149.4	-3.8	36%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BaskoniaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	16.9	37.4	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	17.1	39.4	+5.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.6	38.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	15.5	34.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.4	17.6	40.0	+4.8	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	19.6	36.2	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.0	18.1	36.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	18.9	38.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.0	19.0	41.0	+3.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.3	36.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	16.8	35.9	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.9	37.1	-2.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	16.7	32.2	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	14.8	28.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	47%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.4	16.7	33.1	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

#14

52-43

H24/01

ACB

Barcelona

31-29

A29/01

Euroleague

Murcia

34-34

A31/01

ACB

Real Madrid

#12

41-37

A05/02

Euroleague

Valencia

34-35

-1

H07/02

ACB

Bamberg

49-30

+19

H11/02

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#15

39-37

A13/02

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

35-30

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Real Madrid

44-40

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

32-32

H25/02

Euroleague

73.8Avg total

39.1Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.3	77.2	+4.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	36.0	77.9	+5.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	36.6	76.5	+3.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	34.7	73.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	33.8	73.6	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	36.5	72.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.0	36.2	73.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.4	36.6	81.0	+7.8	76%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#12

23-31

-8

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

47-34

+13

H03/02

Liga A

Penarol

38-46

-8

A06/02

Liga A

Real Madrid

39-50

-11

A07/02

ACB

Quilmes

#17

27-40

-13

A07/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

34-29

A10/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

21-35

-14

H13/02

Liga A

Manresa

#16

42-36

H14/02

ACB

Ferro

#15

33-31

H17/02

Liga A

Sionista

#20

37-28

H22/02

Liga A

70.1Avg total

34.1Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	37.6	73.7	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	36.0	74.1	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.8	39.5	73.3	-5.7	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	36.0	70.1	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	31.8	65.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	34.4	34.8	69.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.9	41.3	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	17.1	36.3	+2.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.4	17.9	39.2	+3.5	76%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	22.7	40.9	-4.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.3	40.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.0	37.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.9	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.3	37.9	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.4	18.5	39.9	+2.9	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.1	41.4	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.9	41.4	-2.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.5	47%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	21.8	40.4	-3.1	21%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	37.6	79.2	+4.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	39.1	83.6	+5.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.5	35.8	74.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.4	79.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.2	41.0	85.2	+3.2	75%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.8	37.1	74.9	+0.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	42.8	36.4	79.2	+6.4	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.2	81.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.3	40.2	81.5	+1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.8	44.6	82.4	-6.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	39.4	81.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	36.4	76.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.1	42.5	82.6	-2.3	27%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.4	41.8	80.2	-3.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Baskonia wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
11/10/15	Estudiantes v Baskonia	58-85
10/05/15	Estudiantes v Baskonia	86-76
04/01/15	Baskonia v Estudiantes	94-59
16/03/14	Estudiantes v Baskonia	84-87
27/10/13	Baskonia v Estudiantes	79-66
12/05/13	Baskonia v Estudiantes	80-90
06/01/13	Estudiantes v Baskonia	68-72
25/03/12	Baskonia v Estudiantes	89-74
20/11/11	Estudiantes v Baskonia	54-74
03/04/11	Baskonia v Estudiantes	89-66

Baskonialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	71-65
20/02/16	H	Real Madrid	80-86
19/02/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	79-77
13/02/16	A	Obradoiro CAB	86-69
11/02/16	H	Bamberg	90-64
07/02/16	H	Valencia	79-73
05/02/16	A	Real Madrid	77-68
31/01/16	A	Murcia	66-68
29/01/16	A	Barcelona	81-78 OT
24/01/16	H	MoraBanc Andorra	95-83

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/16	H	Sionista	67-57
17/02/16	H	Ferro	78-84
14/02/16	H	Manresa	86-57
13/02/16	H	San Martin	69-73
10/02/16	A	Weber Bahia	68-70
07/02/16	A	Quilmes	65-90
07/02/16	A	Real Madrid	79-97
06/02/16	A	Penarol	86-81
03/02/16	H	Olimpico	86-80
01/02/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	WWWLW	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	80%	90%	70%
Points / game	85.2	87.8	82.7
Allowed / game	75.1	77.4	72.8
Point differential	+10.2	+10.4	+9.9
Avg total	160.3	165.2	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	10%	10%

Estudiantes

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	LWLLW	20%
Away	LLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	20%	20%	20%
Points / game	76.2	81.7	70.8
Allowed / game	83.7	84.0	83.4
Point differential	-7.5	-2.3	-12.6
Avg total	159.9	165.7	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	20	19	1	95%	83.7	72.2	+11.5
2	Barcelona	20	18	2	90%	84.3	69.8	+14.5
3	Real Madrid	20	16	4	80%	91.9	79.0	+12.8
4	Baskonia	20	16	4	80%	85.2	75.1	+10.2
5	Gran Canaria	20	13	7	65%	80.8	74.8	+6.0
6	Fuenlabrada	21	12	9	57%	80.3	80.8	-0.5
7	Bilbao	21	11	10	52%	78.0	79.7	-1.6
8	Unicaja	21	10	11	48%	76.8	75.0	+1.9
9	Murcia	21	10	11	48%	78.3	78.8	-0.5
10	MoraBanc Andorra	21	9	12	43%	80.8	81.8	-1.0
11	Tenerife	21	9	12	43%	76.2	79.3	-3.0
12	Joventut Badalona	21	8	13	38%	77.7	80.6	-3.0
13	Manresa	21	7	14	33%	71.1	79.7	-8.6
14	Real Betis	21	7	14	33%	74.1	85.4	-11.3
15	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	20	6	14	30%	80.3	82.4	-2.0
16	Obradoiro CAB	21	6	15	29%	74.8	78.0	-3.2
17	Estudiantes	20	4	16	20%	76.2	83.7	-7.5
18	Gipuzkoa	20	4	16	20%	71.3	84.3	-13.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Baskonia	35	24	24	24	107
Estudiantes	19	25	15	18	77

← all games of the day

Baskonia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature