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Baskonia vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game94.1
vs
Position#3
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Baskonia v Crvena zvezda
05 Feb 2027
BAS v CZV
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
BAS100
CZV108
02 Jan 2025
BAS73
CZV75
08 Dec 2023
BAS87
CZV85
19 Oct 2022
BAS92
CZV75
16 Nov 2021
BAS93
CZV74
26 Feb 2021
BAS87
CZV67
02 Feb 2018
BAS103
CZV84
24 Jan 2017
BAS69
CZV87
13 Nov 2014
BAS66
CZV86
07 Nov 2013
BAS63
CZV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Baskonia
4.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.7
79.2▼ 10.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.5
89.8▲ 0.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 60%
55%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.0
17.0▼ 1.0
🔥 Form · Crvena zvezda
4.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.0
92.6▲ 4.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.9
78.8▼ 6.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
64%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 20.9
22.0▲ 1.1
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
118-78
118
78
+40
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
86-104
86
104
-18
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
34-16
32-19
32-17
20-28
31-21
20-24
13-19
24-21
21-18
23-17
25-17
23-25
20-19
19-26
17-23
12-24
22-22
19-22
25-18
18-25
18-14
24-15
17-28
21-20
19-23
14-20
25-22
19-27
16-14
18-18
22-25
19-30
27-26
23-26
17-22
16-26
23-23
20-26
20-19
171.9Avg total
84.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.194.1177.2-11.011%
Season at home (5)84.894.2179.0-9.420%
Season away (4)81.094.0175.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)84.887.1171.9-2.320%
Last 5 (5)79.289.8169.0-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.395.2178.6-11.911%
vs Similar (13)82.583.9166.4-1.546%
vs Weaker (8)101.284.4185.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#13
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A04/10
ABA League
Dubai
#8
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A08/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
101-91
101
91
+10
H10/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A13/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#15
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
23-27
24-18
24-22
16-21
21-10
19-15
21-12
26-21
28-20
26-28
21-22
26-23
16-23
24-21
18-15
28-18
18-18
31-22
13-23
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
170.0Avg total
90.4Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.677.0162.6+8.667%
Season at home (6)87.878.0165.8+9.867%
Season away (3)81.075.0156.0+6.067%
Last 10 (10)90.479.6170.0+10.880%
Last 5 (5)92.678.8171.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.092.5175.5-9.550%
vs Similar (12)88.688.4177.0+0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.180.7169.8+8.475%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
BaskoniaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H04/10
ACB
Besiktas
#11
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H09/10
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/10
ACB
Dubai
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/10
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H27/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A30/10
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
42.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.185.0-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.142.987.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)38.343.481.7-5.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.887.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.684.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.448.489.9-7.011%-
vs Similar (13)39.141.480.5-2.331%-
vs Weaker (8)47.040.087.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#13
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A04/10
ABA League
Dubai
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A08/10
Euroleague
Buducnost
#4
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A13/10
Euroleague
Paris
#16
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#12
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#15
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
84.7Avg total
43.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.387.1+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.940.986.9+5.073%-
Last 30 away (15)41.545.787.3-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.984.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.084.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.544.590.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (12)44.146.690.7-2.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.240.884.0+2.562%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.4
52.0%
55.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.218.8
77.7%
77.1%18.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.822.4
60.9%
55.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.7
34.4%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.714.9
75.6%
77.1%14.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLLLLLLWLW
Crvena zvezda
WWWLWWWWWL
#20
League position
#3
-3.1
Net rating
+11.4
96.5
Offensive rating
103.9
99.6
Defensive rating
92.6
51.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
34.4%
67.3%
Assist %
69.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 103.9Defence99.6 · 92.6Shooting51.7% · 56.8%3-point %34.2% · 34.4%Ball care15.5% · 12.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Crvena zvezda wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-94
27/10/26HReal Madrid86-104
25/10/26AValencia75-84
22/10/26APanathinaikos79-85
18/10/26ATenerife77-82
16/10/26AVirtus Bologna78-86
13/10/26HDubai79-93
11/10/26HJoventut Badalona93-73
09/10/26HBesiktas84-92
04/10/26HBasquet Girona118-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78
16/10/26HParis90-81
13/10/26ALyon-Villeurbanne84-82
10/10/26HBuducnost101-91
08/10/26ADubai77-58
04/10/26AFMP Beograd89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%20%0%
Points / game83.184.881.0
Allowed / game94.194.294.0
Point differential-11.0-9.4-13.0
Avg total177.2179.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game85.687.881.0
Allowed / game77.078.075.0
Point differential+8.6+9.8+6.0
Avg total162.6165.8156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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