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Baskonia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 104-67
19-13 24-16 33-21 28-17
Position#3
Record17-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#16
Record9-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.6
SpainACBRound 25
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Baskonia v Estudiantes
15 Apr 2021
BAS96
EST92
31 Mar 2019
BAS104
EST67
05 Oct 2017
BAS94
EST76
11 Dec 2016
BAS82
EST77
28 Feb 2016
BAS107
EST77
04 Jan 2015
BAS94
EST59
27 Oct 2013
BAS79
EST66
12 May 2013
BAS80
EST90
25 Mar 2012
BAS89
EST74
03 Apr 2011
BAS89
EST66
21 May 2010
BAS92
EST76
06 Dec 2009
BAS78
EST68
28 Dec 2008
BAS100
EST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H28/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
112-95
112
95
+17
H03/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
W
104-86
104
86
+18
H08/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
W
90-72
90
72
+18
A10/03
ACB
Buducnost
#15
W
82-62
82
62
+20
H15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H17/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H22/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H29/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
23-13
19-27
21-21
16-25
35-18
35-34
26-18
22-17
18-24
38-16
26-29
19-14
20-25
18-19
33-14
23-15
16-19
25-15
18-13
22-12
14-23
25-15
24-18
10-26
17-22
21-8
22-16
22-18
17-18
25-17
22-23
16-24
16-13
26-25
21-19
26-30
27-18
14-26
25-28
166.7Avg total
88.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.273.4158.5+11.871%
Season at home (11)87.472.7160.1+14.682%
Season away (13)83.373.9157.2+9.462%
Last 10 (10)88.078.7166.7+9.370%
Last 5 (5)82.479.8162.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.391.3179.7-3.033%
vs Similar (11)77.378.3155.5-1.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.573.4158.9+12.187%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H08/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H10/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H10/03
ACB
Quilmes
#20
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A13/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A15/03
Liga A
Barcelona
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A17/03
ACB
Libertad
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H19/03
Liga A
Murcia
#14
L
86-110
86
110
-24
H24/03
ACB
La Union
#11
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H28/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H31/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-14
24-22
13-18
17-22
27-23
21-23
21-17
22-21
22-18
14-12
21-16
30-26
22-27
19-26
15-15
24-17
13-25
15-15
13-10
28-18
22-10
17-26
20-34
17-20
25-25
24-7
22-23
24-33
17-32
27-28
19-29
23-21
21-20
16-19
21-20
12-14
22-18
23-16
20-21
18-22
164.7Avg total
82.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.786.6169.3-4.038%
Season at home (13)82.686.0168.6-3.454%
Season away (11)82.787.4170.1-4.618%
Last 10 (10)82.482.3164.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)82.087.6169.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.683.4164.0-2.943%
vs Similar (20)82.079.7161.8+2.360%
vs Weaker (2)78.077.0155.0+1.050%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
BaskoniaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H28/02
Euroleague
Unicaja
#5
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H03/03
ACB
Khimki M.
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H08/03
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A10/03
ACB
Buducnost
#15
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A20/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H22/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A24/03
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H29/03
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
39.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.079.0+1.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.439.280.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.438.777.1-0.357%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.678.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.878.2-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.344.088.3+0.367%-
vs Similar (11)38.541.079.5-2.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.236.176.3+4.173%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H10/03
Liga A
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H10/03
ACB
Quilmes
#20
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A13/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A15/03
Liga A
Barcelona
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A17/03
ACB
Libertad
#14
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/03
Liga A
Murcia
#14
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H24/03
ACB
La Union
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H31/03
Liga A
83.0Avg total
42.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.178.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.936.177.1+4.869%-
Last 30 away (14)38.142.680.7-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.283.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.338.076.3+0.357%-
vs Similar (20)40.439.079.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (2)39.539.579.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.0
57.1%
52.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.6
35.4%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
74.6%13.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.3
52.2%
52.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.5
39.9%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
74.6%14.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LLWLWWWWWW
Estudiantes
WLLWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#16
+13.0
Net rating
+0.9
116.1
Offensive rating
114.4
103.0
Defensive rating
113.5
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
39.9%
66.0%
Assist %
47.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 114.4Defence103.0 · 113.5Shooting55.7% · 55.0%3-point %35.4% · 39.9%Ball care16.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Baskonia wins
1
Estudiantes wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/19HAnadolu Efes92-102
24/03/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza79-81
22/03/19HReal Madrid86-76
20/03/19APanathinaikos70-72
17/03/19HTenerife85-68
15/03/19HBuducnost82-62
10/03/19ABreogan90-72
08/03/19HKhimki M.104-86
03/03/19HUnicaja112-95
28/02/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/19HComunicaciones Mercedes83-77
28/03/19HLa Union70-73
24/03/19HMurcia86-110
19/03/19HLibertad95-88
17/03/19ABarcelona76-90
15/03/19APenarol69-68
13/03/19AQuilmes80-85
10/03/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza87-72
10/03/19HSan Martin91-84
08/03/19HObras Sanitarias87-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeLLWWW82%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %71%82%62%
Points / game85.287.483.3
Allowed / game73.472.773.9
Point differential+11.8+14.6+9.4
Avg total158.5160.1157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%73%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeWWWWL54%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %38%54%18%
Points / game82.782.682.7
Allowed / game86.686.087.4
Point differential-4.0-3.4-4.6
Avg total169.3168.6170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)71% (7)0% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2521484%87.875.5+12.2
2 Real Madrid2418675%88.178.6+9.5
3 Baskonia2417771%85.273.4+11.8
4 Unicaja25151060%84.983.0+1.9
5 Valencia25151060%81.079.3+1.7
6 Joventut Badalona25141156%80.779.4+1.2
7 MoraBanc Andorra25131252%83.182.7+0.4
8 Manresa25131252%80.882.2-1.4
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza25131252%81.984.9-3.0
10 Tenerife24121250%80.777.8+3.0
11 San Pablo Burgos25111444%81.583.0-1.5
12 Obradoiro CAB25111444%77.780.2-2.6
13 Fuenlabrada25101540%80.988.4-7.6
14 Estudiantes2491538%82.786.6-4.0
15 Gran Canaria2591636%82.684.8-2.2
16 Murcia2581732%77.882.0-4.2
17 Breogan2581732%76.482.6-6.2
18 Gipuzkoa2561924%74.082.2-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia19243328104
Estudiantes1316211767
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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