Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 97-79

22-21 28-18 25-22 22-18

Position#1

Record14-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game91.5

Allowed / game78.6

Real Madrid 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#17

Record3-15

FormWLWWW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game84.4

ACBRound 19

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Real Madrid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

80-86

-6

A03/01

ACB

CSKA Moscow

81-95

-14

A07/01

Euroleague

Real Betis

#11

107-83

107

+24

H10/01

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

92-86

H15/01

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

85-91

-6

A17/01

ACB

Barcelona

86-87

-1

H21/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

85-80

H24/01

ACB

Olympiacos

84-72

+12

H28/01

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

102-70

102

+32

A31/01

ACB

Baskonia

68-77

-9

H05/02

Euroleague

15-23

25-13

19-26

21-24

20-22

21-28

23-21

17-24

30-16

33-20

24-29

20-18

26-18

19-24

20-11

27-33

22-22

27-25

13-21

23-23

27-17

21-20

15-25

23-25

27-26

16-20

24-19

18-15

17-19

24-16

22-13

21-24

24-16

30-19

25-14

23-21

19-19

18-22

12-18

19-18

169.7Avg total

87.0Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	91.5	78.6	170.1	+12.9	78%
Season at home (8)	95.2	80.9	176.1	+14.4	75%
Season away (10)	88.5	76.7	165.2	+11.8	80%
Last 10 (10)	87.0	82.7	169.7	+4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	77.2	162.2	+7.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	75.7	81.7	157.3	-6.0	33%
vs Similar (9)	84.6	83.4	168.0	+1.1	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	92.3	78.8	171.1	+13.6	83%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

80-76

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

70-83

-13

A17/01

ACB

Penarol

85-81

H20/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

61-70

-9

A22/01

Liga A

Gran Canaria

70-87

-17

H24/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

85-83

A25/01

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

58-75

-17

A31/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

76-65

+11

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

86-80

H03/02

Liga A

Penarol

86-81

A06/02

Liga A

23-19

21-17

19-20

17-20

11-13

25-22

16-22

18-26

17-15

23-30

25-18

20-18

8-9

17-17

24-20

12-24

19-27

12-15

18-24

21-21

28-27

16-23

14-16

27-17

15-15

11-17

20-25

12-18

11-15

12-16

24-16

29-18

22-25

25-9

23-21

16-25

19-25

19-21

19-24

29-11

153.8Avg total

75.7Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.6	84.4	160.0	-8.9	17%
Season at home (9)	81.2	87.0	168.2	-5.8	11%
Season away (9)	69.9	81.9	151.8	-12.0	22%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	78.1	153.8	-2.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	76.8	155.0	+1.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	76.4	87.0	163.4	-10.6	41%
vs Similar (12)	74.1	79.2	153.3	-5.2	33%
vs Weaker (1)	85.0	90.0	175.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.0	19.9	43.9	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.1	40.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.8	42.5	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	23.3	42.0	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.4	18.9	42.3	+4.5	72%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.8	37.1	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	19.9	35.6	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.5	20.4	37.9	-2.9	24%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.8	42.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	20.4	42.5	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.7	44.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	21.3	39.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	23.3	20.3	43.7	+3.0	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.3	37.7	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.2	33.8	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	41%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	27.0	47.0	-7.0	0%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

40-36

A03/01

ACB

CSKA Moscow

41-50

-9

A07/01

Euroleague

Real Betis

#11

63-36

+27

H10/01

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#22

45-42

H15/01

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

49-47

A17/01

ACB

Barcelona

48-37

+11

H21/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

43-46

-3

H24/01

ACB

Olympiacos

41-35

H28/01

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

54-35

+19

A31/01

ACB

Baskonia

37-41

-4

H05/02

Euroleague

86.6Avg total

46.1Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	40.7	84.8	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.4	41.0	86.4	+4.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	40.4	82.9	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	40.5	86.6	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	38.8	83.4	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	44.7	81.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.3	42.4	83.8	-1.1	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	46.7	39.2	85.9	+7.5	83%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

44-36

H12/01

Liga A

Murcia

36-35

A17/01

ACB

Penarol

40-45

-5

H20/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

25-26

-1

A22/01

Liga A

Gran Canaria

31-42

-11

H24/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

44-50

-6

A25/01

Liga A

Joventut Badalona

#13

26-32

-6

A31/01

ACB

Obras Sanitarias

#12

23-31

-8

H01/02

Liga A

Olimpico

47-34

+13

H03/02

Liga A

Penarol

38-46

-8

A06/02

Liga A

73.1Avg total

35.4Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	39.0	74.8	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.6	38.1	76.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	37.7	73.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	38.6	74.2	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	36.3	40.4	76.7	-4.1	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	35.2	36.6	71.8	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	45.0	80.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	18.3	40.7	+4.0	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.7	20.6	41.2	+0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.7	18.9	41.6	+3.8	72%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.9	41.5	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	22.5	39.6	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	20.6	40.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.1	22.6	39.8	-5.5	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	21.8	41.2	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.4	19.5	42.9	+3.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.7	35.7	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.2	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.9	42.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	35%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	25.0	49.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	39.7	84.0	+4.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.3	39.1	84.4	+6.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.1	40.4	83.5	+2.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.2	83.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	39.3	37.0	76.3	+2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	45.6	39.6	85.2	+6.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	43.9	82.9	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	42.7	83.9	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	45.0	82.0	-8.0	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	40.4	80.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	38.2	80.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	38.5	44.6	83.2	-6.1	18%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.9	42.7	81.6	-3.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	50.0	45.0	95.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/15	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	75-80
29/03/15	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	92-66
07/12/14	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	89-84
13/04/14	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	64-71
24/11/13	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	72-57
05/05/13	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	93-82
09/12/12	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	74-87
22/04/12	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	85-80
11/12/11	Estudiantes v Real Madrid	90-85
22/01/11	Real Madrid v Estudiantes	82-61

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/02/16	H	Baskonia	68-77
31/01/16	A	Manresa	102-70
28/01/16	H	Olympiacos	84-72
24/01/16	H	Unicaja	85-80
21/01/16	H	Barcelona	86-87
17/01/16	A	Fuenlabrada	85-91
15/01/16	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	92-86
10/01/16	H	Real Betis	107-83
07/01/16	A	CSKA Moscow	81-95
03/01/16	A	Baskonia	80-86

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/02/16	A	Penarol	86-81
03/02/16	H	Olimpico	86-80
01/02/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-65
31/01/16	A	Joventut Badalona	58-75
25/01/16	A	Obras Sanitarias	85-83
24/01/16	H	Gran Canaria	70-87
22/01/16	A	Boca Juniors	61-70
20/01/16	H	Penarol	85-81
17/01/16	A	Murcia	70-83
12/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	78%
Home	WWLWW	75%
Away	WWLLW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	78%	75%	80%
Points / game	91.5	95.2	88.5
Allowed / game	78.6	80.9	76.7
Point differential	+12.9	+14.4	+11.8
Avg total	170.1	176.1	165.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	62%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

ACB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	17%
Home	LLWLL	11%
Away	WLLLL	22%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	17%	11%	22%
Points / game	75.6	81.2	69.9
Allowed / game	84.4	87.0	81.9
Point differential	-8.9	-5.8	-12.0
Avg total	160.0	168.2	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	0% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Valencia	19	18	1	95%	84.3	72.5	+11.7
2	Barcelona	19	17	2	89%	83.1	70.7	+12.4
3	Baskonia	19	15	4	79%	85.2	75.4	+9.8
4	Real Madrid	18	14	4	78%	91.5	78.6	+12.9
5	Gran Canaria	19	12	7	63%	80.2	74.3	+5.9
6	Unicaja	19	10	9	53%	76.6	73.4	+3.2
7	Fuenlabrada	19	10	9	53%	79.9	81.3	-1.4
8	Bilbao	19	10	9	53%	77.4	79.5	-2.1
9	MoraBanc Andorra	19	9	10	47%	81.5	81.8	-0.4
10	Murcia	19	8	11	42%	76.0	77.6	-1.6
11	Joventut Badalona	19	8	11	42%	78.8	81.4	-2.6
12	Tenerife	19	7	12	37%	76.3	80.0	-3.7
13	Manresa	19	7	12	37%	71.7	79.4	-7.7
14	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	19	6	13	32%	79.2	80.9	-1.7
15	Obradoiro CAB	19	6	13	32%	75.9	78.2	-2.2
16	Real Betis	19	6	13	32%	75.5	85.7	-10.2
17	Gipuzkoa	19	4	15	21%	70.5	83.8	-13.4
18	Estudiantes	18	3	15	17%	75.6	84.4	-8.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	22	28	25	22	97
Estudiantes	21	18	22	18	79

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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