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Baskonia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-69
10-16 23-16 27-13 26-24
Position#10
Record16-14
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#4
Record19-11
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game77.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31
European cup2020
Meetings · Baskonia v Olimpia Milano
02 Oct 2026
BAS86
MIL76
05 Dec 2025
BAS88
MIL78
29 Oct 2024
BAS88
MIL83
14 Mar 2024
BAS88
MIL73
01 Dec 2022
BAS78
MIL62
08 Oct 2021
BAS64
MIL78
26 Mar 2021
BAS86
MIL69
18 Jan 2019
BAS80
MIL75
19 Jan 2018
BAS82
MIL83
02 Mar 2017
BAS87
MIL74
19 Nov 2015
BAS94
MIL82
29 Jan 2015
BAS102
MIL83
13 Mar 2014
BAS65
MIL83
29 Nov 2012
BAS64
MIL62
11 Feb 2009
BAS108
MIL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
89-67
89
67
+22
98avg 76
A18/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 76
H26/02
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
90-74
90
74
+16
no box
H28/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
95avg 76
H03/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
57-71
57
71
-14
49avg 76
A05/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
69avg 76
A07/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 76
H12/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
58avg 76
H14/03
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
79-75
79
75
+4
72avg 76
A18/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 76
A21/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
23-23
24-20
18-10
21-16
27-11
18-21
21-19
26-20
22-21
22-15
20-18
15-21
28-11
25-26
23-8
4-25
22-8
19-17
12-21
18-20
22-19
18-25
29-14
17-15
16-18
27-12
18-26
20-27
16-18
24-21
14-19
17-14
15-31
13-14
34-16
20-19
25-16
24-20
16-17
154.3Avg total
81.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.576.3155.9+3.253%
Season at home (15)80.172.4152.5+7.767%
Season away (15)78.980.3159.2-1.340%
Last 10 (10)81.772.6154.3+9.180%
Last 5 (5)80.676.2156.8+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.475.3153.8+3.183%
vs Weaker (15)86.777.7164.4+8.967%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 78
A22/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
84-74
84
74
+10
85avg 78
H25/02
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
98-72
98
72
+26
102avg 78
H28/02
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 78
H03/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
48avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 78
A11/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 78
A14/03
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
56-72
56
72
-16
44avg 78
H19/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
70-57
70
57
+13
64avg 78
H21/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-21
16-14
16-25
29-26
27-17
14-13
14-18
30-11
29-22
23-21
16-18
28-24
24-26
17-28
23-22
19-13
15-19
16-13
19-19
14-14
14-16
18-19
14-12
30-10
17-24
23-21
14-21
24-13
23-27
28-25
24-27
12-15
17-23
15-17
12-17
26-14
12-14
15-12
17-17
152.9Avg total
78.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.877.7158.5+3.163%
Season at home (16)82.677.0159.6+5.662%
Season away (14)78.878.5157.3+0.364%
Last 10 (10)78.274.7152.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)73.871.6145.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.374.3151.5+3.064%
vs Weaker (18)86.876.9163.8+9.978%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
BaskoniaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A18/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H26/02
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#12
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A05/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/03
ACB
Bayern
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H12/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A18/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
ACB
76.5Avg total
39.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.681.2+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.938.682.6+5.379%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.479.9-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.776.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.476.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.541.573.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.639.577.1-1.942%-
vs Weaker (15)45.338.984.1+6.480%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A22/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H25/02
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H28/02
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/03
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A11/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A14/03
Lega A
Barcelona
#2
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H19/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H21/03
Lega A
79.6Avg total
42.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.679.7+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.436.781.1+7.768%-
Last 30 away (11)40.936.577.4+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.879.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.071.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.836.876.6+3.045%-
vs Weaker (18)45.337.382.6+8.083%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.0
50.9%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.89.2
42.2%
38.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
79.3%13.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.7
50.3%
52.7%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.010.1
42.1%
38.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.111.7
83.0%
79.3%11.7
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWLWWLWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWLWLWWL
#10
League position
#4
+12.3
Net rating
+5.3
113.8
Offensive rating
111.2
101.5
Defensive rating
105.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
55.5%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
42.2%
3-point %
42.1%
69.5%
Assist %
58.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 111.2Defence101.5 · 105.9Shooting55.3% · 55.5%3-point %42.2% · 42.1%Ball care18.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21ABilbao85-72
18/03/21AZenit Petersburg79-75
14/03/21HReal Madrid74-85
12/03/21HBayern78-71
07/03/21AObradoiro CAB87-78
05/03/21ABarcelona57-71
03/03/21HOlympiacos91-66
28/02/21HFuenlabrada90-74
26/02/21HCrvena zvezda87-67
18/02/21AKhimki M.89-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HCantu70-57
19/03/21HBarcelona56-72
14/03/21ABrescia99-92
11/03/21ACSKA Moscow84-76
07/03/21ATrento60-61
05/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-64
03/03/21HFenerbahce92-100
28/02/21HFortitudo Bologna98-72
25/02/21HKhimki M.84-74
22/02/21AZenit Petersburg70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW53%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game79.580.178.9
Allowed / game76.372.480.3
Point differential+3.2+7.7-1.3
Avg total155.9152.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%47%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %63%62%64%
Points / game80.882.678.8
Allowed / game77.777.078.5
Point differential+3.1+5.6+0.3
Avg total158.5159.6157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %10%6%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3022873%80.572.7+7.8
2 CSKA Moscow30201067%83.480.3+3.1
3 Anadolu Efes31201165%82.775.2+7.5
4 Olimpia Milano30191163%80.877.7+3.1
5 Bayern31191261%78.777.7+1.0
6 Fenerbahce30181260%79.279.1+0.1
7 Real Madrid31181358%79.877.3+2.5
8 Zenit Petersburg30171357%77.075.2+1.8
9 Valencia31171455%81.580.9+0.7
10 Baskonia30161453%79.576.3+3.2
11 Zalgiris Kaunas31151648%76.577.7-1.3
12 Olympiacos30141647%78.980.3-1.4
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29121741%78.479.4-1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne30121840%77.580.4-2.9
15 Alba Berlin30111937%78.582.9-4.5
16 Panathinaikos29101934%79.281.7-2.5
17 Crvena zvezda3192229%74.679.7-5.1
18 Khimki M.3032710%77.990.4-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1023272686
Olimpia Milano1616132469
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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