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CSKA Moscow vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-84
10-30 24-17 21-23 21-14
Position#1
Record18-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.1
CSKA Moscow
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Position#4
Record18-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2020
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2022
CMO57
MIL67
11 Mar 2021
CMO76
MIL84
08 Mar 2019
CMO101
MIL95
12 Oct 2017
CMO93
MIL84
13 Jan 2017
CMO101
MIL64
13 Feb 2015
CMO97
MIL75
21 Oct 2010
CMO73
MIL88
22 Oct 2008
CMO90
MIL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
L
66-69
66
69
-3
62avg 81
H29/01
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
88avg 81
A01/02
VTB United League
Valencia
#8
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
no box
A04/02
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
L
102-107
102
107
-5
96avg 81
H07/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
A10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 81
H13/02
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 81
A25/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
72avg 81
A02/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
70-100
70
100
-30
60avg 81
A04/03
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
101-67
101
67
+34
107avg 81
H07/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
12-15
21-10
6-19
29-24
28-24
12-22
21-23
17-25
26-22
20-17
21-20
25-21
23-20
31-27
23-39
22-22
22-11
22-22
25-25
19-22
10-17
17-20
25-15
24-12
20-14
15-23
16-25
23-23
28-10
17-19
16-28
13-31
15-24
17-20
25-25
27-16
22-13
29-18
23-20
170.2Avg total
85.3Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.180.1163.3+3.067%
Season at home (12)81.875.8157.5+6.067%
Season away (15)84.283.7167.9+0.567%
Last 10 (10)85.384.9170.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)80.279.0159.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.180.9163.0+1.250%
vs Weaker (22)88.177.5165.6+10.677%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
80-52
80
52
+28
no box
H11/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
96-65
96
65
+31
no box
H13/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
87-68
87
68
+19
91avg 79
H18/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
58avg 79
A22/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
84-74
84
74
+10
85avg 79
H25/02
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
98-72
98
72
+26
102avg 79
H28/02
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 79
H03/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
60-61
60
61
-1
48avg 79
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
22-12
18-9
21-21
20-25
22-13
30-11
24-16
21-15
27-6
26-15
13-23
21-12
18-15
26-21
22-20
15-19
23-21
16-14
16-25
29-26
27-17
14-13
14-18
30-11
29-22
23-21
16-18
28-24
24-26
17-28
23-22
19-13
15-19
16-13
19-19
14-14
14-16
18-19
14-12
151.7Avg total
82.3Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.678.0159.5+3.664%
Season at home (15)84.377.3161.7+7.067%
Season away (13)78.478.7157.1-0.362%
Last 10 (10)82.369.4151.7+12.970%
Last 5 (5)80.674.2154.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.576.7155.2+1.755%
vs Weaker (17)86.676.9163.5+9.876%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.2-1.2
CSKA MoscowOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H29/01
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A01/02
VTB United League
Valencia
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A04/02
Euroleague
BC Kalev/Cramo
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/02
VTB United League
Enisey
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A10/02
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H13/02
VTB United League
Olympiacos
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A25/02
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A02/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
28-55
28
55
-27
A04/03
Euroleague
Minsk
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H07/03
VTB United League
82.3Avg total
43.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.282.0+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.436.278.7+6.258%-
Last 30 away (18)44.739.484.2+5.361%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.182.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.476.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.639.878.4-1.138%-
vs Weaker (22)45.737.683.3+8.168%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H11/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#2
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H18/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A22/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#18
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H25/02
Euroleague
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H28/02
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#9
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A05/03
Euroleague
Trento
#8
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A07/03
Lega A
77.3Avg total
43.7Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.536.680.2+6.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.437.182.4+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)40.836.076.8+4.875%-
Last 10 (10)43.733.677.3+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.683.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.031.077.0+15.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.537.177.5+3.455%-
vs Weaker (17)45.537.583.1+8.082%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.1
52.6%
52.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
38.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.117.7
80.1%
79.3%17.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.6
50.6%
52.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.510.5
42.9%
38.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.211.9
83.8%
79.3%11.9
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WLWWLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+0.4
Net rating
+3.8
110.6
Offensive rating
116.0
110.2
Defensive rating
112.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.4%
3-point %
42.9%
66.1%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 116.0Defence110.2 · 112.2Shooting52.8% · 56.2%3-point %35.4% · 42.9%Ball care19.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
CSKA Moscow wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/12/20Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow87-91 OT
08/03/19CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-95
08/11/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow85-90
11/01/18Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow81-107
12/10/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano93-84
13/01/17CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano101-64
08/12/16Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow64-79
09/04/15Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow79-88
13/02/15CSKA Moscow v Olimpia Milano97-75
24/11/10Olimpia Milano v CSKA Moscow71-65
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HMinsk101-67
04/03/21AAnadolu Efes70-100
02/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-80
25/02/21AOlympiacos75-74
13/02/21HZenit Petersburg71-74
10/02/21AEnisey91-80
07/02/21HBC Kalev/Cramo102-107
04/02/21AValencia103-105 OT
01/02/21AZielona Gora90-93
29/01/21HBayern66-69
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21ATrento60-61
05/03/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-64
03/03/21HFenerbahce92-100
28/02/21HFortitudo Bologna98-72
25/02/21HKhimki M.84-74
22/02/21AZenit Petersburg70-79
18/02/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-68
14/02/21HPesaro87-59
13/02/21HVenezia96-65
11/02/21HReggiana80-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game83.181.884.2
Allowed / game80.175.883.7
Point differential+3.0+6.0+0.5
Avg total163.3157.5167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)60% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %15%0%27%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game81.684.378.4
Allowed / game78.077.378.7
Point differential+3.6+7.0-0.3
Avg total159.5161.7157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)0% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2820871%80.873.2+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow2718967%83.180.1+3.0
3 Olimpia Milano28181064%81.678.0+3.6
4 Bayern28181064%79.077.4+1.6
5 Anadolu Efes27171063%82.276.2+6.0
6 Real Madrid28171161%79.876.8+3.1
7 Fenerbahce28171161%80.080.2-0.2
8 Zenit Petersburg27161159%77.275.3+1.9
9 Zalgiris Kaunas28151354%77.476.8+0.6
10 Baskonia28141450%79.676.6+3.0
11 Valencia28141450%82.282.5-0.3
12 Olympiacos28121643%78.981.0-2.1
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne28121643%77.380.1-2.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv26111542%79.178.8+0.2
15 Alba Berlin28101836%77.882.7-4.9
16 Panathinaikos2691735%79.582.1-2.5
17 Crvena zvezda2872125%73.779.3-5.6
18 Khimki M.2732411%78.590.8-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1024212176
Olimpia Milano3017231484
← all games of the day
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