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Baskonia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 87-74
23-20 15-17 28-16 21-21
Position#8
Record12-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#16
Record7-16
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game88.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2016
Meetings · Baskonia v Olimpia Milano
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19 Jan 2018
BAS82
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BAS94
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29 Jan 2015
BAS102
MIL83
13 Mar 2014
BAS65
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BAS64
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BAS108
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A27/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H29/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H03/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A05/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A09/02
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H12/02
ACB
Tenerife
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A24/02
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A26/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
32-23
30-20
10-16
21-20
14-21
21-27
28-24
15-16
21-23
16-20
19-20
19-16
18-15
23-24
31-27
18-22
21-24
16-23
29-16
27-18
20-21
19-20
21-27
22-15
23-19
16-21
29-26
20-15
15-29
29-24
25-21
21-23
17-24
22-26
25-23
23-18
21-21
28-25
27-24
175.4Avg total
88.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.880.1161.0+0.752%
Season at home (11)81.173.2154.3+7.973%
Season away (12)80.686.5167.1-5.933%
Last 10 (10)88.387.1175.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)92.090.8182.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.595.5173.0-18.00%
vs Similar (11)76.381.6157.9-5.418%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.376.6164.9+11.894%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A30/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H02/02
Euroleague
Varese
#10
W
98-82
98
82
+16
A05/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A09/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H16/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H18/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H19/02
Italian Cup
Barcelona
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H23/02
Euroleague
Caserta
#13
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A26/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
21-17
15-16
17-17
20-24
18-27
23-22
28-14
25-21
29-19
19-24
25-18
27-15
27-25
20-29
12-21
23-21
19-16
28-21
23-21
28-18
17-26
16-17
16-14
18-26
27-19
14-19
28-20
11-19
23-17
22-18
28-20
22-22
23-19
10-24
23-18
17-20
20-15
17-19
24-20
164.6Avg total
83.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.788.3171.0-5.630%
Season at home (12)84.785.7170.3-1.050%
Season away (11)80.591.2171.7-10.69%
Last 10 (10)83.880.8164.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)80.878.0158.8+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.286.3164.5-8.120%
vs Similar (9)83.085.6168.6-2.633%
vs Weaker (10)89.479.1168.5+10.390%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +4.1+4.1
BaskoniaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A27/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H29/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A05/02
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/02
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H12/02
ACB
Tenerife
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/02
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#15
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A26/02
ACB
81.2Avg total
40.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.576.8+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.035.473.4+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.880.6+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.381.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.682.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)33.939.573.4-5.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.535.578.0+7.088%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A30/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H02/02
Euroleague
Varese
#10
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A05/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A09/02
Euroleague
Brescia
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H18/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H19/02
Italian Cup
Barcelona
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/02
Euroleague
Caserta
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/02
Lega A
84.6Avg total
43.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.542.984.4-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.583.6+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)40.844.685.4-3.836%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.343.181.4-4.830%-
vs Similar (9)41.844.986.7-3.144%-
vs Weaker (10)44.040.984.9+3.160%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.9
51.5%
50.7%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.8
34.5%
37.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.714.0
79.1%
75.6%14.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.8
57.8%
50.7%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.28.1
40.1%
37.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.414.1
72.7%
75.6%14.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLLWWLWLLW
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWWLWWL
#8
League position
#16
-3.1
Net rating
+5.8
109.7
Offensive rating
113.0
112.8
Defensive rating
107.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
58.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.5%
3-point %
40.1%
62.3%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 113.0Defence112.8 · 107.2Shooting51.6% · 58.6%3-point %34.5% · 40.1%Ball care16.3% · 20.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17ATecnyconta Zaragoza99-88
24/02/17AAnadolu Efes85-96
18/02/17HReal Madrid99-103 OT
16/02/17HTenerife90-81
12/02/17HObradoiro CAB87-86
09/02/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-85
05/02/17AMoraBanc Andorra91-82
03/02/17HReal Madrid71-79
29/01/17HBarcelona84-92
27/01/17ABarcelona93-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/17ACaserta78-74
23/02/17HBarcelona78-83
19/02/17HSassari84-74
18/02/17HReggiana87-84
16/02/17HBrindisi77-75
12/02/17HBrescia93-79
09/02/17AAnadolu Efes86-90
05/02/17AVarese98-82
02/02/17HDarussafaka89-87
30/01/17AAvellino68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL52%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%73%33%
Points / game80.881.180.6
Allowed / game80.173.286.5
Point differential+0.7+7.9-5.9
Avg total161.0154.3167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL30%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%50%9%
Points / game82.784.780.5
Allowed / game88.385.791.2
Point differential-5.6-1.0-10.6
Avg total171.0170.3171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2418675%86.880.0+6.8
2 CSKA Moscow2317674%87.980.3+7.5
3 Olympiacos2417771%78.873.5+5.3
4 Fenerbahce2416867%77.075.0+2.0
5 Panathinaikos2314961%78.175.9+2.2
6 Crvena zvezda24141058%75.073.3+1.7
7 Baskonia23121152%80.880.1+0.7
8 Anadolu Efes23121152%84.784.1+0.6
9 Darussafaka23111248%79.279.8-0.7
10 Zalgiris Kaunas24101442%78.180.5-2.4
11 Barcelona2391439%72.976.1-3.2
12 Bamberg2481633%79.280.2-1.0
13 Galatasaray2481633%78.883.2-4.5
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2481633%78.083.6-5.6
15 Unics Kazan2371630%76.881.0-4.2
16 Olimpia Milano2371630%82.788.3-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2315282187
Olimpia Milano2017162174
← all games of the day
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