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Baskonia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-73
19-18 29-16 21-21 19-18
Position#9
Record15-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#12
Record12-16
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Olimpia Milano
02 Oct 2026
BAS86
MIL76
05 Dec 2025
BAS88
MIL78
29 Oct 2024
BAS88
MIL83
14 Mar 2024
BAS88
MIL73
01 Dec 2022
BAS78
MIL62
08 Oct 2021
BAS64
MIL78
26 Mar 2021
BAS86
MIL69
18 Jan 2019
BAS80
MIL75
19 Jan 2018
BAS82
MIL83
02 Mar 2017
BAS87
MIL74
19 Nov 2015
BAS94
MIL82
29 Jan 2015
BAS102
MIL83
13 Mar 2014
BAS65
MIL83
29 Nov 2012
BAS64
MIL62
11 Feb 2009
BAS108
MIL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 67
H28/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
109-112 OT
109
112
-3
98avg 67
A30/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 67
H01/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
78-95
78
95
-17
71avg 67
A04/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
97avg 67
H08/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
67avg 67
H11/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
96-111
96
111
-15
96avg 67
A01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
80-98
80
98
-18
74avg 67
A03/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 67
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
103-96
103
96
+7
94avg 67
H10/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
20-24
22-19
23-22
19-25
33-31
24-26
18-12
20-26
34-21
19-16
19-19
17-26
24-20
19-27
18-22
23-20
29-19
19-22
23-19
18-22
18-21
19-21
23-17
34-32
20-23
24-23
18-33
22-26
17-22
18-20
23-30
23-10
19-24
21-13
25-24
23-19
27-23
32-28
21-26
181.2Avg total
90.7Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.084.0168.0-0.054%
Season at home (15)81.379.5160.7+1.860%
Season away (13)87.189.2176.3-2.246%
Last 10 (10)90.790.5181.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)89.091.4180.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.287.2170.5-4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.889.0175.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (6)86.579.3165.8+7.267%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
70avg 75
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 75
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
69-55
69
55
+14
70avg 75
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
80-57
80
57
+23
76avg 75
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
100-77
100
77
+23
94avg 75
H17/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 75
H18/02
Italian Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
77-81
77
81
-4
65avg 75
A01/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
94-63
94
63
+31
97avg 75
H03/03
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
70avg 75
H08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
69avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
20-9
16-23
21-16
23-19
25-10
18-25
15-22
13-14
23-11
19-17
14-13
20-17
19-6
26-12
15-22
31-20
29-17
14-21
26-19
19-24
17-19
17-17
19-17
13-22
22-17
21-23
21-19
29-13
25-17
27-20
13-13
22-21
19-19
23-27
21-16
19-24
18-23
17-17
21-20
153.6Avg total
81.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.277.0154.2+0.243%
Season at home (15)76.972.1149.0+4.967%
Season away (13)77.582.8160.3-5.215%
Last 10 (10)81.172.5153.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)80.677.6158.2+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.377.0147.3-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.276.8152.1-1.650%
vs Weaker (14)80.869.2150.0+11.686%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
BaskoniaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H28/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A30/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H01/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A04/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/02
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A03/03
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H10/03
ACB
91.2Avg total
46.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.085.2-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.841.584.2+1.269%-
Last 30 away (14)41.644.786.3-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)46.444.891.2+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.488.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.942.282.1-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.444.888.1-1.450%-
vs Weaker (6)42.239.381.5+2.867%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A04/02
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/02
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H11/02
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H14/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#4
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H17/02
Italian Cup
Basket Napoli
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/02
Italian Cup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/03
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H03/03
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/03
Lega A
77.3Avg total
42.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.735.776.3+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.334.276.5+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)38.237.876.1+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)42.734.677.3+8.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.038.077.0+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.436.977.3+3.567%-
vs Weaker (14)41.435.076.4+6.464%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.521.1
61.2%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.4
38.1%
36.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.813.7
77.0%
77.4%13.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.1
51.6%
53.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.4
36.2%
36.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.713.1
78.4%
77.4%13.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWLLLWLWLW
Olimpia Milano
LWWLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#12
+1.1
Net rating
+13.0
124.7
Offensive rating
112.8
123.6
Defensive rating
99.8
59.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.1%
3-point %
36.2%
61.2%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence124.7 · 112.8Defence123.6 · 99.8Shooting59.3% · 52.8%3-point %38.1% · 36.2%Ball care13.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Baskonia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Baskonia wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HBarcelona103-96
08/03/24HAlba Berlin88-71
03/03/24AGran Canaria80-98
01/03/24AFenerbahce96-111
11/02/24HJoventut Badalona78-81
08/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne94-80
04/02/24ATenerife78-95
01/02/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv92-82
30/01/24ABayern109-112 OT
28/01/24HObradoiro CAB89-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AVirtus Bologna75-84
08/03/24HPartizan85-83
03/03/24HVarese94-63
01/03/24ALyon-Villeurbanne77-81
18/02/24HBasket Napoli72-77
17/02/24HVenezia100-77
14/02/24HTrento80-57
11/02/24HBrindisi69-55
08/02/24HReal Madrid81-76
04/02/24APistoia78-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %54%60%46%
Points / game84.081.387.1
Allowed / game84.079.589.2
Point differential-0.0+1.8-2.2
Avg total168.0160.7176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)67% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %43%67%15%
Points / game77.276.977.5
Allowed / game77.072.182.8
Point differential+0.2+4.9-5.2
Avg total154.2149.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2819968%82.678.4+4.2
3 Monaco29191066%82.078.8+3.3
4 Olympiacos29181162%78.874.7+4.1
5 Panathinaikos29181162%81.077.1+3.9
6 Fenerbahce29181162%85.081.6+3.4
7 Virtus Bologna28171161%80.380.7-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv29161355%86.987.1-0.2
9 Baskonia28151354%84.084.0-0.0
10 Partizan28131546%83.683.9-0.3
11 Valencia29131645%76.578.2-1.7
12 Olimpia Milano28121643%77.277.0+0.2
13 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
14 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda29101934%81.381.3+0.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2862221%78.085.8-7.8
18 Alba Berlin2952417%75.985.9-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1929211988
Olimpia Milano1816211873
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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