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Baskonia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-78
23-20 26-22 21-12 18-24
Position#18
Record4-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#13
Record7-6
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Baskonia v Olimpia Milano
02 Oct 2026
BAS86
MIL76
05 Dec 2025
BAS88
MIL78
29 Oct 2024
BAS88
MIL83
14 Mar 2024
BAS88
MIL73
01 Dec 2022
BAS78
MIL62
08 Oct 2021
BAS64
MIL78
26 Mar 2021
BAS86
MIL69
18 Jan 2019
BAS80
MIL75
19 Jan 2018
BAS82
MIL83
02 Mar 2017
BAS87
MIL74
19 Nov 2015
BAS94
MIL82
29 Jan 2015
BAS102
MIL83
13 Mar 2014
BAS65
MIL83
29 Nov 2012
BAS64
MIL62
11 Feb 2009
BAS108
MIL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 81
H31/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
89-79
89
79
+10
89avg 81
H02/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
87-76
87
76
+11
89avg 81
H06/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
89-114
89
114
-25
83avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 81
A13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
58avg 81
A16/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
95-73
95
73
+22
98avg 81
H21/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
110-91
110
91
+19
107avg 81
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
67-82
67
82
-15
63avg 81
A25/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
21-28
22-19
21-17
18-17
11-23
34-16
26-23
23-14
23-20
19-23
22-19
11-28
17-21
19-17
33-20
24-26
24-32
26-28
15-28
18-25
25-28
25-18
15-18
19-19
24-20
19-31
21-21
14-26
28-15
25-18
28-14
33-23
38-23
14-22
25-23
24-18
18-19
12-17
13-28
172.5Avg total
86.9Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.590.0175.5-4.531%
Season at home (7)88.484.0172.4+4.457%
Season away (6)82.297.0179.2-14.80%
Last 10 (10)86.985.6172.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)87.685.2172.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)91.797.6189.3-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.189.6177.8-1.543%
vs Weaker (6)92.590.7183.2+1.867%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
93-61
93
61
+32
100avg 81
A02/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
92-98
92
98
-6
85avg 81
A05/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
95avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-72
80
72
+8
77avg 81
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 81
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
83-105
83
105
-22
74avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
82-86
82
86
-4
81avg 81
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
102-88
102
88
+14
102avg 81
A26/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
26-12
16-22
24-11
20-27
21-29
27-24
24-18
16-16
17-20
26-12
14-25
25-13
21-16
21-16
20-18
18-9
22-23
16-19
24-21
27-21
20-22
20-13
21-31
15-21
23-23
22-21
20-21
25-25
20-24
19-27
19-29
21-30
20-14
24-26
17-16
27-25
27-23
25-14
23-26
172.3Avg total
88.4Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.583.5168.0+1.154%
Season at home (6)86.087.7173.7-1.750%
Season away (7)83.379.9163.1+3.457%
Last 10 (10)88.483.9172.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)87.090.4177.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.389.3181.7+3.067%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.480.1162.5+2.347%
vs Weaker (11)86.076.1162.1+9.964%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
BaskoniaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H31/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H02/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A09/11
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A11/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A13/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H21/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A25/11
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
43.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.445.489.8-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.944.991.7+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)41.946.087.9-4.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.687.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)48.243.291.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)46.044.790.7+1.360%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.746.089.7-2.350%-
vs Weaker (6)43.245.388.5-2.250%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A02/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A05/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A07/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H09/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/11
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/11
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H20/11
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A23/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A26/11
Euroleague
84.7Avg total
43.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.383.2+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.641.285.8+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.439.580.9+1.956%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.984.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.690.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.746.391.0-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.838.780.5+3.167%-
vs Weaker (11)44.040.584.5+3.555%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.2
59.1%
60.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.4
35.6%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.915.5
77.9%
78.2%15.5
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.9
57.7%
60.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.8
39.6%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
78.2%15.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
LWWLLLLWWW
Olimpia Milano
WLLLWWWWLW
#18
League position
#13
+1.2
Net rating
+5.6
115.0
Offensive rating
118.8
113.8
Defensive rating
113.2
56.7%
Effective FG%
58.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.6%
3-point %
39.6%
67.3%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 118.8Defence113.8 · 113.2Shooting56.7% · 58.4%3-point %35.6% · 39.6%Ball care18.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Baskonia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas67-82
23/11/25HBilbao110-91
21/11/25HBayern95-73
16/11/25ABarcelona83-91
13/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-89
11/11/25AHapoel Tel-Aviv89-114
09/11/25AForca Lleida80-86
06/11/25HVirtus Bologna87-76
02/11/25HTenerife89-79
31/10/25HAnadolu Efes86-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv102-88
23/11/25ATrieste82-86
20/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv83-105
16/11/25HTrapani80-86
14/11/25HOlympiacos88-87
12/11/25HLyon-Villeurbanne80-72
09/11/25HTreviso87-63
07/11/25AAnadolu Efes97-93 OT
05/11/25ABrescia92-98
02/11/25AReggiana93-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%57%0%
Points / game85.588.482.2
Allowed / game90.084.097.0
Point differential-4.5+4.4-14.8
Avg total175.5172.4179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game84.586.083.3
Allowed / game83.587.779.9
Point differential+1.1-1.7+3.4
Avg total168.0173.7163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1410471%90.483.8+6.6
2 Monaco149564%90.883.1+7.6
3 Crvena zvezda149564%86.381.9+4.4
4 Valencia149564%89.085.3+3.7
5 Panathinaikos149564%88.785.6+3.1
6 Barcelona149564%85.684.1+1.4
7 Olympiacos138562%86.481.8+4.6
8 Fenerbahce138562%79.678.5+1.1
9 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%85.580.4+5.1
10 Real Madrid148657%84.282.5+1.7
11 Olimpia Milano137654%84.583.5+1.1
12 Virtus Bologna136746%81.583.3-1.8
13 Dubai136746%86.288.1-1.8
14 Paris145936%90.492.1-1.8
15 Partizan145936%82.487.2-4.9
16 Anadolu Efes145936%80.185.7-5.6
17 Bayern145936%77.483.7-6.3
18 Baskonia134931%85.590.0-4.5
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%88.692.6-4.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1431121%76.185.9-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2326211888
Olimpia Milano2022122478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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